Seabass wk1

[Seabass]

Wasn't planning on tracking my picks here-I'd hate to get in everyones way!-but it looks like my other site that I've been posting at is going in the wrong direction, so I'll track my record here...Normally I put up my "tell me why I'll lose" thread, but most of these lines are old and most of these games are popular on this board, so I'll keep it brief...

UNLV -8, 3.3 to win 3
VT -24, 2.2 to win 2
LSU -16.5, 2.2 to win 2
Buffalo +32, 2.2 to win 2
Texas -37.5, 2.2 to win 2
UVA -4, 2.2 to win 2
DUKE/UCONN u 51, 2.2 to win 2

parlay
2 units to win 1.566 units
Rutgers, LSU, WVU, VT, MIA, MSU, IOWA, ASU, USC, TEX, SC :36_11_6:

Of the above, there aren't too many that I think need explaining. UNLV seemed really good to me at the time, but as the line has moved and injuries have mounted, I would love to get off that bet. That being said, as you can tell, these bets were all placed awhile ago, and that happens sometimes when you get in early. The games that I don't see getting much talk around here are UVA (Wyoming is generally well coached and all, but UVA really did play well last year considering the youth on the team, and they should be better this year...hopefully I'm not just getting swayed by my UVA grad student friend)...

Buffalo +32 is one that Carolinablue has been talking up, but not many other people around here. Buffalo hung in a lot of games last year...but more importantly, how is Rutgers going to win by 5 TDs? Brian Teel isn't going to light the air up...Ray Rice will run and run and run, but that will keep the clock moving and I bet Buffalo has enough to score once or twice on Rutgers...

The Duke/UConn game is somewhat of a gut feel as a UConn fan...UConn has a new starting QB and they won't want to test him, which should result in a lot of carries for Donald Brown...yes he's good, but not good enough that he'll never get stopped for a loss or anything...the kicking game is still a question for UConn as well so you can probably count on a missed FG or two...

GL fellas...I've probably got more coming once Matchbook gets 'em all up

 

[B.A.R.]

Wasn't planning on tracking my picks here-I'd hate to get in everyones way!-but it looks like my other site that I've been posting at is going in the wrong direction, so I'll track my record here...Normally I put up my "tell me why I'll lose" thread, but most of these lines are old and most of these games are popular on this board, so I'll keep it brief...

UNLV -8, 3.3 to win 3
VT -24, 2.2 to win 2
LSU -16.5, 2.2 to win 2
Buffalo +32, 2.2 to win 2
Texas -37.5, 2.2 to win 2
UVA -4, 2.2 to win 2
DUKE/UCONN u 51, 2.2 to win 2

parlay
2 units to win 1.566 units
Rutgers, LSU, WVU, VT, MIA, MSU, IOWA, ASU, USC, TEX, SC :36_11_6:

Of the above, there aren't too many that I think need explaining. UNLV seemed really good to me at the time, but as the line has moved and injuries have mounted, I would love to get off that bet. That being said, as you can tell, these bets were all placed awhile ago, and that happens sometimes when you get in early. The games that I don't see getting much talk around here are UVA (Wyoming is generally well coached and all, but UVA really did play well last year considering the youth on the team, and they should be better this year...hopefully I'm not just getting swayed by my UVA grad student friend)...

Buffalo +32 is one that Carolinablue has been talking up, but not many other people around here. Buffalo hung in a lot of games last year...but more importantly, how is Rutgers going to win by 5 TDs? Brian Teel isn't going to light the air up...Ray Rice will run and run and run, but that will keep the clock moving and I bet Buffalo has enough to score once or twice on Rutgers...

The Duke/UConn game is somewhat of a gut feel as a UConn fan...UConn has a new starting QB and they won't want to test him, which should result in a lot of carries for Donald Brown...yes he's good, but not good enough that he'll never get stopped for a loss or anything...the kicking game is still a question for UConn as well so you can probably count on a missed FG or two...

GL fellas...I've probably got more coming once Matchbook gets 'em all up

First, never getting in anyones way..ever. Second...LMAO...touts1019:tiphat:




Alright, your card. I can't argue about much. I haven't looked at Barfalo much and never saw that total in Uconn-Duke. I wouild like some tidbits on that one if you could.


GL:cheers:

 

[TroyStacks]

never bet buffalo you'll get fucked when its 1st and goal at th2 and these dipshits decide to throw the ball and it gets picked 6 the other in the forth quarter to back door you like a bad prison scene. fuck them stay away!!!!!

 

[E.T.G.]

I'm with stacks, fuck Buffalo. Losers killed me vs. BC last yr

On another note, got no idea what forum you speak of but hope you post your plays here this season..

 

[RJ Esq]

PorkySheepFucker1019.com rules!

Good luck, Seabass.

 

[HUNT]

hey seabass..we value you here, you are one of our most respected members..good luck this year bro.

 

[UTSUX]

GL SEABASS. :cheers:

 

[Seabass]

I'm with stacks, fuck Buffalo. Losers killed me vs. BC last yr

On another note, got no idea what forum you speak of but hope you post your plays here this season..

Haha RJ hit the nail on the head.

B.A.R, I'll add some info on those games in either a couple hours or tmw...

As for Buffalo vs. BC, yeah, I lost that game too. That sucked. If you look at my signature, you can know exactly how I feel about BC. That being said, it was one game. Buffalo covered against Auburn.

More intelligent thoughts in the morning...

 

[JumpOnBoard]

UVA is one of the two plays I've locked in already as well.....love that play...

Search for vegaskyle's thread on that game as it's very informative...

 

[Seabass]

Adding Memphis +3 over Ole Piss, 3.36 to win 3

I'm so relieved I finally got this line. I really thought I had waited too long, but Matchbook managed to set the line at 3 instead of 2.5, and I got someone to take an offer from me at a slightly lower juice than they got out there now.

Zach and I had a quick little discussion going on this game on a different site, but suffice to say, I'm pleased that he's backing off his position on Miss. I just think that Memphis is in position to have a real good season (Phil Steele sure loves them, haha) and these winnable games early at home are what you need to do that...

Oh and B.A.R, don't worry, that response is still coming on UC-Duke...haha

 

[metsrp86]

FYI... Duke is planning to open up their offense this year. Their coach said they want to take alot more shots down the field and attack through the air. That said, its still Duke....just something to keep in mind when playing O/U with them.

 

[chips t]

I like the Buffalo. Don't know if I'll pull the trigger. I think Rutgers will be a good fade team this year. Plus they might just keep it in first gear for this one.

 

[RambleOn]

Hey bud -

Yes, I am backing off my position. My thoughts on our team were based on what I thought was the quarterback situation, and some playmakers that I thought were going to be part of the team. With the way the team looks now, I really don't know what to think. I actually still think we win the Memphis game, because we always do, but I can't fault you for grabbing the 3.

BOL.

 

[Seabass]

Good to hear from ya, Ramble. I'm actually a lot less confident than I used to be when we talked earlier on this game-to be honest it caught me off guard and took away some confidence when I saw Memphis get 3-started to make me think I was missing something. Still, getting 3, its hard to find fault there...so we'll see. GLTU this year.

As for Duke, i always appreciate the comments, even if they go against my side. In the next few weeks my threads will be "tell me why I'll lose" because honestly, I prefer seeing the other sides to seeing more support for my side-it helps me learn better when I actually do lose.

With that being said, though, I hear that with the Duke offense-but I just don't see them scoring a ton of points to start the season. The major concern is that Duke games were much more high scoring over the 2nd half of last season...but does that mean that Duke starts slow on the points and then accelerates a bit? Who knows, maybe its too hard to figure out there...but one thing that will help to keep this score down is that the game will be tightly contested. At the end of the game I expect to see both teams go back to the safe route on offense (like I said, I think UConn will play it safe and pound the run game all day long, but I'm not as sure about Duke). Maybe this play ended up being more of a gut feel than a calculated one with reasoning, but I really think that 51 is a lot of points and it won't be hit.

Adding one more play, too...

Auburn -13.5, -102. Took some info from another board on this one-its just amazing to see how much depth Kansas State is down right now, which I think could help Auburn turn this one into a laugher.

 

[B.A.R.]

Interesting, I haven't really read much about anyone liking Auburn on any board so its nice to see a fresh opinion. nice number you got too.

GL

 

[RJ Esq]

At that number I'd lean Auburn, but it would be a no play.

If it gets to 14 or more I'd lean and might play K State.

 

[Seabass]

Interesting, I haven't really read much about anyone liking Auburn on any board so its nice to see a fresh opinion. nice number you got too.

GL

Obviously its tough to lay a big number with Auburn in general and Ron Prince really surprised some people at Kansas State last year, so I think its a game that a lot of people looked at and said "why bother with this". With that being said, there was a lot of turnover with assistant coaches at KSU this past year-Prince sounds like a real jackass-apparently he wasn't happy once with the way practice was going, so he had his assistant coaches run stairs with the team. Add to that the mess with Josh Freeman not being allowed to practice for awhile because he was out of shape, and I just really feel like you have a team ripe for a blowout. Auburn is definitely not an easy team to start a season against, either.

I have two final plays and then I'm done for this week. I feel like I'm getting carried away because of my excitement for the season to start, but thats no reason to play 15 games a week, which is what I'm close to doing if I keep doing research on this stuff. both games, too, I got lousy numbers on at Matchbook...if I had hit these early, I would have saved a couple points. They say you can tell the good gamblers by getting the best lines-I feel like this week, I've done a terrible job of doing that. Usually I'm okay though.

Kent St. +3.5 (-102) 2units
Iowa -12 (+103) 3 units

That's all from me this week, unless you guys all decide to team up and agree that there is some play that absolutely cannot lose because you've already seen tomorrow's newspaper, or something like that...

time to start looking at week 2 to distract me a bit

 

[Santacapper]

GL Seabass

 

[Seabass]

Not a tremendous first day because of the UNLV blatant misread. I almost sold off of it, but I didn't want to get middled...who knows, maybe I would hvae...but I was planning on selling around 7 so I guess it wouldn't have mattered anyway.

A few numbers got where I want them...and I decided that it just wouldn't be a Seabass season without me betting on Miami at every point humanly possible. It's all for 2 units a pop, -103 juice (tha U is +105)

COLO -2.5
MIZZ -4
MIAMI -18.5
SYR +3.5

Hope you all are smokin' em...

 

[RetroVK]

gl with cuse in the dome tonight seabass