JROCK1966
Pretty much a regular
Posted a few possible dog plays over in @ProV1Colt s thread but wanted to post some more. In my quest to find some ML dog plays I sometimes uncover some good-looking fav plays. I'll try and add them as I research thru the week. First up is not a good one for me which should be for obvious reasons.....
South Carolina @ Kentucky: Historically speaking, teams, coming off wins like Kentucky's last weekend, have not fared well at all the following week. In similar situations of game margins, total offensive & defensive comparisons, and QB efficiencies, the records are 2-4 SU and 2-4 ATS. Pic 1. When I substitute turnover margin for QB efficiency, the only matchup that hit was a SU loss for the home team. See Pic 2.
Kentucky played with the most emotion last Saturday night that I can remember a Kentucky team ever playing with. It was uncharted territory for this Ky fan to watch. One intangible not many people know about is after the Murray State game two weeks ago, there was a tragic accident outside of Kroger Field that took the life of a 4 year old boy. Coach Stoops and several Ky football players served as honorary pallbearers at the child's funeral last week. I also read Ky was playing Saturday night in honor of that child's memory. The crowd noise was also loud as it ever has been. These factors undoubtedly added to the emotional level Ky was playing with. There is no way to go but down emotionally-speaking for the Ky team this week vs. USCjr. It is going to be very hard for this team to duplicate that level of emotional play and avoid a letdown. Coach Stoops said in his presser, though, that he loves the way this team goes about its business day to day week to week and that they were "kicking a new door down every week." Certainly this Ky team has already accomplished feats this year it has not done in 30-40 years so they can certainly do the same next Saturday. It'll be interesting to see if these Cats are so business-like that they can buck these historical trends.
Not playing this game. I can't wager against my team and I currently do not have confidence this Ky team can avoid the letdown. I've just witnessed too many other letdowns by Stoops' teams in the past to have confidence they can put away a team as good as USCjr after the recent emotional high. And the line Vegas has set tells you this game is most likely going down to the wire where 1 turnover can make a difference and Terry Touchdown is still good for at least 1 a game. Hope I'm wrong...we'll see.
South Carolina @ Kentucky: Historically speaking, teams, coming off wins like Kentucky's last weekend, have not fared well at all the following week. In similar situations of game margins, total offensive & defensive comparisons, and QB efficiencies, the records are 2-4 SU and 2-4 ATS. Pic 1. When I substitute turnover margin for QB efficiency, the only matchup that hit was a SU loss for the home team. See Pic 2.
Kentucky played with the most emotion last Saturday night that I can remember a Kentucky team ever playing with. It was uncharted territory for this Ky fan to watch. One intangible not many people know about is after the Murray State game two weeks ago, there was a tragic accident outside of Kroger Field that took the life of a 4 year old boy. Coach Stoops and several Ky football players served as honorary pallbearers at the child's funeral last week. I also read Ky was playing Saturday night in honor of that child's memory. The crowd noise was also loud as it ever has been. These factors undoubtedly added to the emotional level Ky was playing with. There is no way to go but down emotionally-speaking for the Ky team this week vs. USCjr. It is going to be very hard for this team to duplicate that level of emotional play and avoid a letdown. Coach Stoops said in his presser, though, that he loves the way this team goes about its business day to day week to week and that they were "kicking a new door down every week." Certainly this Ky team has already accomplished feats this year it has not done in 30-40 years so they can certainly do the same next Saturday. It'll be interesting to see if these Cats are so business-like that they can buck these historical trends.
Not playing this game. I can't wager against my team and I currently do not have confidence this Ky team can avoid the letdown. I've just witnessed too many other letdowns by Stoops' teams in the past to have confidence they can put away a team as good as USCjr after the recent emotional high. And the line Vegas has set tells you this game is most likely going down to the wire where 1 turnover can make a difference and Terry Touchdown is still good for at least 1 a game. Hope I'm wrong...we'll see.
