Scarf 5/17 Bases

[scarf31]

Overall Record = (111-105-3) (+14.55 Units)

Favorites = (32-25) (+0.61 Units)
Underdogs = (33-29) (+12.90 Units)

RL Underdogs (+1 or more) = (6-2) (+3.85 Units)
RL Favorites (-1 or more) = (10-9) (+0.91 Units)

Full Game Overs = (11-9-1) (+2.57 Units)
Full Game Unders = (4-5) (-1.33 Units)

(1st 5) Overs = (0-0)
(1st 5) Unders = (0-3) (-3.31 Units)

(1st 5) Favorites = (0-3) (-3.62 Units)
(1st 5) Underdogs = (2-0) (+2.21 Units)

Team Total Overs = (1-3) (-3.71 Units)
Team Total Unders = (0-0)

(1st 5) Team Total Overs = (1-0) (+1.00 Units)
(1st 5) Team Total Unders = (1-0) (+1.00 Units)

Parlays = (3-8) (+0.76 Units)

LIVE Plays = (5-6-2) (+2.12 Units)

Props = (2-3) (-1.41 Units)

5/17 Plays

Marlins (+156) (1/1.56) L
Rockies (+131) (1/1.31) W
Pirates (-123) (1.23/1) W
Over 9½ Oak/Tor (+102) (1/1.02) W
Tigers +1½ (-122) (1.22/1) W
Over 8 Det/Sea (+100) (2/2) L

Even without Realmuto in the starting lineup, I wouldn't bet LA vs. a kettle of fish right now at their current price. Maybe will pop in for tonight as well. Best of luck today, CTG.

 

[scarf31]

Marlins (+156) (1/1.56)

 

[VirginiaCavs]

BOL Scarf

 

[B.A.R.]

You almost have to right now.

 

[Timh]

BOL Scarf.

 

[scarf31]

Thanks, guys. Dodgers woke up today albeit with a rally starting with the kid loading the bases for Turner and a 3-rbi hit. Still feel like the number needed to be played...onto later action...

Rockies (+131) (1/1.31)

 

[scarf31]

Pirates (-123) (1.23/1)

 

[scarf31]

Over 9½ Oak/Tor (+102) (1/1.02)

 

[KJ]

Go scarf go

 

[scarf31]

If I had any balls I’d play my ML lean as well...

Tigers +1½ (-122) (1.22/1)
Over 8 Det/Sea (+100) (2/2)

 

[bee172]

If I had any balls I’d play my ML lean as well...

Tigers +1½ (-122) (1.22/1)
Over 8 Det/Sea (+100) (2/2)

You was spot on with the Tigers..

 

[VirginiaCavs]

You was spot on with the Tigers..

He probably woulda preferred Tigers to lose by 1 so that he doesn‘t kick himself for not betting ML

 

[bee172]

He probably woulda preferred Tigers to lose by 1 so that he doesn‘t kick himself for not betting ML

Probably. But I read this thread and chickened out on Tigers too. So it’s more of a reminder for myself.

 

[scarf31]

Bee, yeah, I chickened out but still am happy with my read. VC, kicking myself more because Gonzales was 13-3 to the over (career) and (6-0 at home), which is why I added the extra unit to the over play. Hope you cashed some of the kitties also.

I am very meticulous about my record keeping because I’m trying to detect patterns where my capping and wagers/sizing might improve throughout the season.

Think I may have found to max totals to 1 unit and that these +1½ small juice laying bets have way more value than I thought they ever could.

All in all, a day where I am up 1.33 Units is not one I can complain about...onto today...will post discussion thread once I get into the office at 9 today.

 

[Ryno14]

Nice day, Scarf. Do it again today.

 

[2daBank]

He probably woulda preferred Tigers to lose by 1 so that he doesn‘t kick himself for not betting ML

Can't look at it that way. I'm a huge fan of taking the +1.5 when it cheaper than the fav is on the money line. I recall a mets/nats series earlier this year where I played muts +1.5 every game, turned out mets actually swept the series but they were all close low scoring contest as expected where there was a incredible amount of value getting those runs. Just cause the ml happened to cash in those instances doesn't change fact the scores could have easily been reversed and the rl played a big difference in a W or L.

#trusttheprocess