Scarf 2019 NFL Week 2

scarf31

scarf31

CTG Moderator
Staff member
Preseason Record (9-6) (+7.01 Units)

Regular Season Record (8-5) (-0.85 Units)

Week 2 Plays

Buccaneers +7 (-120) (1.2/1) W
Rams -2.5 (-115) (1.15/1) W
Falcons +1.5 (-110) (1.1/1) W
(GOY) Chiefs -6 (-110) (1.1/1) W
(GOY) Cowboys -3 (-105) (1.05/1) W
Patriots -26.5 (+203) (0.5/1.02) W
Colts -3.5 (+256) (0.5/1.28) L
Ravens -20.5 (+201) (0.5/1.01) L
Over 59.5 KC/Oak (+204) (0.5/1.02) L
Over 54 Sea/Pit (+228) (0.5/1.14) PUSH
Under 43.5 Buf/NYG (+115) (1/1.15) W
6Pt Tease Det +7.5 / Den +8 (-120) (1.2/1) W
1H Chi/Den Under 16.5 (+165) (0.5/0.83) W
LIVE Chiefs ML -111 (1.11/1) W
2H Falcons ML (+110) (1/1.1) PUSH

Experimenting with some alt plays this season for half-units to test out some theories I have. Plays 6-10 above all selling 7/7.5 points...all of those were played Tuesday. Especially with the pinball totals in this league, think selling points might have some serious value but like I said...am experimenting with some stuff, so we shall all learn together.

As always, not afraid to fire on stuff i see in game especially if I feel strongly about it...Lions fucked me and Dre Kirkpatrick getting an idiotic 15-year UC penalty kicked my right in the crotch despite having a winning record. BOL gang...
 
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Buccaneers +7 (-120) (1.2/1)
Rams -2.5 (-115) (1.15/1)
Falcons +1.5 (-110) (1.1/1)
(GOY) Chiefs -6 (-110) (1.1/1)
(GOY) Cowboys -3 (-105) (1.05/1)
Patriots -26.5 (+203) (0.5/1.02)
Colts -3.5 (+256) (0.5/1.28)
Ravens -20.5 (+201) (0.5/1.01)
Over 59.5 KC/Oak (+204) (0.5/1.02)
Over 54 Sea/Pit (+228) (0.5/1.14)

1568295833127.png
 
These are cool and a very interesting way to bet. Would 44-10 Pats shock anyone at all? Also, rookie qbs going into Balty generally struggle. We saw what Lamar can do with his arm last week, the Cards secondary isn't any better.

the ONLY one I question is the Colts...without Luck they seem like a team that is looking to run the ball and be less dynamic. I do think they cover that game and I think they win, but I hate that hook; they could very easily win by a fg or less. Ill be on them though, so I hope they win by a TD for ya
 
eggman said:
Where did you get those lines? Those are great.
Click to expand...

Buccaneers +7 (-120) (1.2/1) - MyBookie
Rams -2.5 (-115) (1.15/1) - MyBookie
Falcons +1.5 (-110) (1.1/1) - MyBookie
(GOY) Chiefs -6 (-110) (1.1/1) - 5D GOY Lookahead Line
(GOY) Cowboys -3 (-105) (1.05/1) Sportsbook GOY Lookahead Line
Patriots -26.5 (+203) (0.5/1.02) - Heritage
Colts -3.5 (+256) (0.5/1.28) - Heritage
Ravens -20.5 (+201) (0.5/1.01) - Heritage
Over 59.5 KC/Oak (+204) (0.5/1.02) - Heritage
Over 54 Sea/Pit (+228) (0.5/1.14) - Heritage

Heritage allows you to buy (or sell) up to like 9-10 points on sides and totals. Think for NFL that's a huge chance to exploit some of these fuckers.

If anyone wants to join, throw in my account number 83455 as your referral! LOL

Would love to have them as a CTG sponsor, but they don't do that for anybody....
 
D-Woww said:
These are cool and a very interesting way to bet. Would 44-10 Pats shock anyone at all? Also, rookie qbs going into Balty generally struggle. We saw what Lamar can do with his arm last week, the Cards secondary isn't any better.

the ONLY one I question is the Colts...without Luck they seem like a team that is looking to run the ball and be less dynamic. I do think they cover that game and I think they win, but I hate that hook; they could very easily win by a fg or less. Ill be on them though, so I hope they win by a TD for ya
Click to expand...

Theory here is that I'm betting these numbers early in the week and then going for the max exploit of 2/1 or better price...that's the thought behind messing around with some of these figures. I could've gone with the 2.5 on Indy, Dan, but I think Tenny is way overrated coming off the asskicking of the Browns...Wouldn't surprise me to see Indy do what they did last Sunday night game of last season and win by DD.

Like I've said from the start, this whole NFL betting year for me is going to be about trying "outside the box" ways to bet these games...betting into those Sunday morning numbers is just too GD difficult IMO. Lot of unconventional stuff I'm going to work in this season.
 
Might be getting greedy, but I’m seeing it well...

2H Falcons ML (+110) (1/1.1)

Philly offense is a MASH unit right now...Matty Ice has the deep ball vs the Eagles secondary any time he wants it. Worth a play...GL gang
 
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