Saturday's NBA Plays...

[emkee]

45-38 (+11.61)

0-1 last night.

Forgot my line-reading glasses yesterday. Weak on my part.

Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings

The play...

Warriors -14 (3 units)

opcorn:

 

[emkee]

2 solid 'situational' spots tonight.

1st one being the Spurs, 2nd being the Dubs.

Spurs line opened too low, imo and they have the massive 'rodeo' road trip starting Monday which takes them into March.

Expected an opener of 12.5 and it closing at 14.

Instead it opened at 11.5 and moved to 12.5 in this solid spot,

When they only just beat the Nuggz at home by 14 on the 17th Jan as 12.5 faves.

It somewhat stinks.

For tonight's play...

6th game in 9 nights for the Kings and 2nd game back home off an 8-game road trip,

Which included a Charlotte-Philly-Houston trek for the final 3 games.

It's no wonder this team shit itself in the 2nd half last night. Anticipating a mega-massacre.

Only the Dubs can wreck this spot and they may but have too eat the steep road chalk either way.

Would lay up to 15.

 

[emkee]

Dubs 4-0 ATS this season as 12+ road chalk winning by an average of 24.2 points.

Team also has 3 days off after tonight so no real need to sit folks.

 

[nbafan88]

looking over the card now..... kings and nugs in obvious bad spots

hate laying these big numbers with the warriors because they usually go into lackadaisical/careless mode when they're coasting.... your last sentence is key

 

[tipyerbartender1]

Thought you might go Cavs tonight, em.

 

[emkee]

Thought you might go Cavs tonight, em.

Got a feeling the Cavs lose tonight, Tip. Definite no-cover though.

But not brave enough to play the Knicks vs Cramps at the Garden.

 

[emkee]

looking over the card now..... kings and nugs in obvious bad spots

hate laying these big numbers with the warriors because they usually go into lackadaisical/careless mode when they're coasting.... your last sentence is key

Not the case on the road though, when Vegas thinks they smash - they do.

 

[Hulu]

Agree, this looks like an easy 20+ win tonight. BOL emkee

 

[emkee]

Making weak reads. Spurs were money. Paralysis by analysis.

Gonna be a tough ask for the Dubs to win by 14 with no Dray, extended minutes for Looney = #moneyburn.

That being said the Queens are due to lose their legs in the 2nd half so there's a chance.

 

[emkee]

Doug Christie an analyst for the Kings network, thought he was in the porn biz with his psycho wife.

 

[emkee]

Dubs have no bigs at all. 4th foul on McFlea...

 

[emkee]

Refs getting involved now. Just woke up the Dubs...