CollegeKingRex
CTG Regular
OK fellas, back for the final full card of the season (though next week will be plenty busy as well)... Another winner last week thanks in large part to Illinois going to Columbus and winning the game on the field...
Swamped here at the shop. Had a lean to Hawaii last night once it got below six but was wise to stay away from it. Hell of a game and a finish.
Another tough card today. Gotta stay selective.
West Virginia has a couple of extra days to prepare and the BCS berth for winning the league (and if they get some health, a chance to play for it all) is rapidly approaching. Dangerous Cincy figures to give them a battle for 60 minutes but Mounties are 12-3 ATS last 15 away from Morgantown and doesn't seem to get rattled. Big plays figure to get the guests the cash.
The play: West Virginia -5.5 for a medium bet.
I made UConn almost a full touchdown higher than they did so will gladly lay less than 20 at home against sorry Cuse. I'm a tad worried about the non-explosive nature of the Husky offense and the potential backdoor being ajar but Cuse has been a profitable fade for me all year.
The play: UConn -19 for a small bet.
Should be a raucous atmosphere in Bloomington today as IU likely needs another win to get to 7 and cement a bid in a bowl for the first time since the Mallory Era. A rare sellout is expected as the Hoosiers wear throwback uniforms and honor their 1967 Rose Bowl team. Emotional advantage goes to IU, and that and QB Lewis should be enough to propel them over a mediocre Purdue unit this time.
THe play: Indiana ML for a medium bet.
Congrats to Messy State, where coach Sylvester Croom should be in any discussion for national coach of the year honors. The Dawgs will likely be bowling in December for the first time since Jackie's time in Starkvuhl, but this is a tough spot. Johnson is probable and Monk is now back for the Hogs, and this will likely be McFadden's last home game. Extra motivation for the Little Rock native, who returns home to play this one. He had just 84 yards on 26 carries last season, a 14-point Hog win.
The play: Arkansas -10.5 for a medium bet.
Boise really rolling now so I can see them perhaps getting over hefty tariff before the break against overmatched in-state rival Vandals, who are just 1-9 ATS last 10 WAC games... Boise owns wins in last two by combined 94-7 and are 18-3 ATS on the blue field in their last 2 home games since 1997...
The play: Boise -33.5 for a medium bet.
You have seriously contrasting efforts last week to offer value in Houston today. The Cougs were mysteriously whitewashed last week in Tulsa while Marshall shocked everyone by thrashing East Carolina. But the Thundering Turd are just 3-12 as a road dog since 2005 and I'll bank on Houston to come with a better effort today in hopes of getting to a better bowl.
THe play: Houston -11.5 for a medium bet.
Really liking N.C. State and their recent performances under great coach Tommy O'Brien. The Pack have won four in a row and own five straight covers now, and catch six against a Wake team that mystifyingly disappeared last week at Clemson. The Pack should come after Skinner, who has been really getting beat up lately and NC State figures to play extremely hard as their pursuit of a small bowl continues. Take the points.
The play: NC State +6 for a medium bet.
Louisville's defense is much better than it was earlier in the season, when it was chewed up and spit out by about everyone. With capable Brohm back firing bullets, expect the Cards to trade punches with South Florida throughout, and give them a chance to win it at the end.
The play: Louisville +8 for a medium bet.
Minnesota with nothing left to play for but pride, but I have been impressed by the slow progress made by the Gophers (especially on defense, where they were particularly solid - albeit at Iowa - last week). Weber seems to have a grasp on the spread and with Donovan banged up and Hill likely out, it's likely to be third-string Brown who gets the call again. Expect this to go to the gun.
THe play: Minnesota +14 for a big bet and ML small.
TCU now steamrolling towards the post-season with the return of all-everything D-End Blake and UNLV has lost last six. No problem laying it against this much-maligned bunch, which might be coachless once again soon.
THe play: TCU -17 for a medium bet.
Pitt looks inviting at 12 or more but I passed for now.
Great situational spot for Northwestern, catching Illinois the week after the big shocker. Wildcats need a win to likely wrap up a bowl bid, but team speed and athleticism will make it tough to come by, even though I expect a flat effort out of the Zookers.
Monroe/Bama game should be a shootout. The Hawks have yet to contain a BCS-capable offense on the road.
THe play: ULM/Bammer OVER 54 for a medium bet.
GL all; I'll try to respond to any questions about specific games and get in here for some halftime fun if I do anything later...
:cheers:
Swamped here at the shop. Had a lean to Hawaii last night once it got below six but was wise to stay away from it. Hell of a game and a finish.
Another tough card today. Gotta stay selective.
West Virginia has a couple of extra days to prepare and the BCS berth for winning the league (and if they get some health, a chance to play for it all) is rapidly approaching. Dangerous Cincy figures to give them a battle for 60 minutes but Mounties are 12-3 ATS last 15 away from Morgantown and doesn't seem to get rattled. Big plays figure to get the guests the cash.
The play: West Virginia -5.5 for a medium bet.
I made UConn almost a full touchdown higher than they did so will gladly lay less than 20 at home against sorry Cuse. I'm a tad worried about the non-explosive nature of the Husky offense and the potential backdoor being ajar but Cuse has been a profitable fade for me all year.
The play: UConn -19 for a small bet.
Should be a raucous atmosphere in Bloomington today as IU likely needs another win to get to 7 and cement a bid in a bowl for the first time since the Mallory Era. A rare sellout is expected as the Hoosiers wear throwback uniforms and honor their 1967 Rose Bowl team. Emotional advantage goes to IU, and that and QB Lewis should be enough to propel them over a mediocre Purdue unit this time.
THe play: Indiana ML for a medium bet.
Congrats to Messy State, where coach Sylvester Croom should be in any discussion for national coach of the year honors. The Dawgs will likely be bowling in December for the first time since Jackie's time in Starkvuhl, but this is a tough spot. Johnson is probable and Monk is now back for the Hogs, and this will likely be McFadden's last home game. Extra motivation for the Little Rock native, who returns home to play this one. He had just 84 yards on 26 carries last season, a 14-point Hog win.
The play: Arkansas -10.5 for a medium bet.
Boise really rolling now so I can see them perhaps getting over hefty tariff before the break against overmatched in-state rival Vandals, who are just 1-9 ATS last 10 WAC games... Boise owns wins in last two by combined 94-7 and are 18-3 ATS on the blue field in their last 2 home games since 1997...
The play: Boise -33.5 for a medium bet.
You have seriously contrasting efforts last week to offer value in Houston today. The Cougs were mysteriously whitewashed last week in Tulsa while Marshall shocked everyone by thrashing East Carolina. But the Thundering Turd are just 3-12 as a road dog since 2005 and I'll bank on Houston to come with a better effort today in hopes of getting to a better bowl.
THe play: Houston -11.5 for a medium bet.
Really liking N.C. State and their recent performances under great coach Tommy O'Brien. The Pack have won four in a row and own five straight covers now, and catch six against a Wake team that mystifyingly disappeared last week at Clemson. The Pack should come after Skinner, who has been really getting beat up lately and NC State figures to play extremely hard as their pursuit of a small bowl continues. Take the points.
The play: NC State +6 for a medium bet.
Louisville's defense is much better than it was earlier in the season, when it was chewed up and spit out by about everyone. With capable Brohm back firing bullets, expect the Cards to trade punches with South Florida throughout, and give them a chance to win it at the end.
The play: Louisville +8 for a medium bet.
Minnesota with nothing left to play for but pride, but I have been impressed by the slow progress made by the Gophers (especially on defense, where they were particularly solid - albeit at Iowa - last week). Weber seems to have a grasp on the spread and with Donovan banged up and Hill likely out, it's likely to be third-string Brown who gets the call again. Expect this to go to the gun.
THe play: Minnesota +14 for a big bet and ML small.
TCU now steamrolling towards the post-season with the return of all-everything D-End Blake and UNLV has lost last six. No problem laying it against this much-maligned bunch, which might be coachless once again soon.
THe play: TCU -17 for a medium bet.
Pitt looks inviting at 12 or more but I passed for now.
Great situational spot for Northwestern, catching Illinois the week after the big shocker. Wildcats need a win to likely wrap up a bowl bid, but team speed and athleticism will make it tough to come by, even though I expect a flat effort out of the Zookers.
Monroe/Bama game should be a shootout. The Hawks have yet to contain a BCS-capable offense on the road.
THe play: ULM/Bammer OVER 54 for a medium bet.
GL all; I'll try to respond to any questions about specific games and get in here for some halftime fun if I do anything later...
:cheers:
