Saturday perfect totals only Discussion

GWarner27

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
leans from BOL open:
PIT +140
LAA -152
TOR -102
MIN o8
KC -110
BOS o8.5
CHW +126
MIA +133
COL o10
CIN +108
StL o7.5

on the radar:
PIT u9
 
played MIA +133, as my never-ending Koehler journey continues

post open leans:
COL o9.5
BOS o8.5
MIN o8

on the radar:
StL o7
KC -125
TOR -109
 
played COL o10 once I saw Brian Knight at 1B

still considering:
BOS o8.5: Fagan
MIN o8: Hernandez

on the radar:
KC -125: Segal
TOR -109: Scott
 
Really like KC to bounce back tomorrow..like Duffy in this spot, Bud Norris gets hit hard on the Road
 
brsport13 said:
Really like KC to bounce back tomorrow..like Duffy in this spot, Bud Norris gets hit hard on the Road
Click to expand...

careful KC can't hit the water if they fell out of a boat and though I don't respect Norris the O's are the far better team right now
 
I liked the Atlanta/STLouis over a lot.. and then I saw Kulpa was behind the dish.. will probably keep me off
 
What you are saying is he is an over ump who has just had stilted games the last few years. Possible.
 
Houston first 5 if Noesi does have a problem in the day should be easy. Cosart last 4 in the first half 3-0-1 and he seems to have his walks problem under control.
 
The Reds have faced left handed pitching 31 times. In those games they have scored 30 runs.
Hamels who threw over 13o pitches last game has won at least 10 in a row facing this team.
 
[TABLE="class: tablehead, width: 612"]
<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: transparent; ">[TR="class: stathead, bgcolor: transparent !important"]
[TD="bgcolor: transparent !important, colspan: 13"]CLEVELAND INDIANS CAREER STATISTICS VS. SCOTT KAZMIR[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: colhead, bgcolor: #E8E8E8 !important"]
[TD]BATTER[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]AB[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]H[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2B[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3B[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]HR[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]RBI[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]BB[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]SO[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]AVG[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]OBP[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]SLG[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]OPS[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-29145"]
[TD="bgcolor: transparent"]Mike Aviles[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].111[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].273[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].222[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].495[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-28535, bgcolor: transparent"]
[TD="bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]Michael Bourn[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-30043"]
[TD="bgcolor: transparent"]Michael Brantley[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]9[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].222[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].222[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].222[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].444[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-28671, bgcolor: transparent"]
[TD="bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]Asdrubal Cabrera[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]12[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].143[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].143[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-3226"]
[TD="bgcolor: transparent"]Jason Giambi[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]20[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]8[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].150[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].261[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].150[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].411[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-32108, bgcolor: transparent"]
[TD="bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]Yan Gomes[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-31007"]
[TD="bgcolor: transparent"]Jason Kipnis[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].333[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].667[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-28582, bgcolor: transparent"]
[TD="bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]David Murphy[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]14[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].143[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].200[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].143[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].343[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-6124"]
[TD="bgcolor: transparent"]Ryan Raburn[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]17[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].176[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].176[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].353[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].529[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow player-10-30280, bgcolor: transparent"]
[TD="bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]Carlos Santana[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddrow player-10-5937"]
[TD="bgcolor: transparent"]Nick Swisher[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]35[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].143[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].211[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].229[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: transparent"].439[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenrow bi, bgcolor: transparent"]
[TD="bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]Totals[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]127[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]17[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]10[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"]35[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].134[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].203[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].189[/TD]
[TD="class: textright, bgcolor: #F1F1F1"].392[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Timmy has good record last 2 seasons off a win, but not off a loss

LINCECUM is 5-15 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
 
[TABLE="width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: matchupHeader, bgcolor: #EEEEDD, align: center"]SAM DEDUNO vs. SEATTLE [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][TABLE="width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: matchupCells Text, bgcolor: #F6F6F6"]DEDUNO is 2-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 0.90 and a WHIP of 0.950.[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
TAMPA BAY is 7-15 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 2 seasons.
 
PITTSBURGH is 3-12 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
 
Volquez has been either bad or poor though his carer on 6 days rest. Last year 4.98 ERA
 
tuck321 said:
Baseball-reference shows that Erlin has never pitched in Colorado!!
Click to expand...


In for a rude awakening if he has control problems like I expect

tuck321 said:
The Reds have faced left handed pitching 31 times. In those games they have scored 30 runs.
Hamels who threw over 13o pitches last game has won at least 10 in a row facing this team.
Click to expand...

probably no votto again and they gotta face Cliff on Sunday, yikes
 
Who was the jag that lined the Pods to score o/u 4.5 runs? Is that a huge red flag alarm type shit to anyone else? The book must think Lyles is in for some regression. What is the deal.
 
tuck321 said:
Baseball-reference shows that Erlin has never pitched in Colorado!!
Click to expand...

love to fade guys who have never pitched in Mile High. Think the line is lower because Erlin has pretty good numbers on the year, but those are primarily from Petco, where he's given up 1 ER in L2 starts (13.1 IP). Think the Rocks bats punish him today.
Col -122

Natspos -1 EV - Gio should bounce back nicely today at home against a Muts team who he has absolutely dominated. Also played Nats TT Ov 3-1/2. Just not buying the fat man on the road keeping the runs to a minimum today.

Brew Crew -117 with Garza. Quoted in spring training as saying each time he takes the hill against the Cubs he wants to shove it in their asses. Better lineup today for the Crew with CarGo and Braun back. Also taking a shot at over 7-1/2 in this one. Not sure I get the line - wind blowing slightly out; neither pitcher is lights out and Brian Gorman is fairly neutral ump.
 
Like most of these picks
Feel currently that the strongest favorite is Anaheim
Wilson on 4 days rest career 43-23
Last year 13-3 3.10 ERA
This year 1-0 8 innings 1.13 ERA
Now playing after a team loss and in a personal bounce back spot after a bad game and consecutive losses
Opponent likely to top out at 5 innings with Tampa pen very weak going 10.1 innings last 3 games
Facing a pitcher who its fair to say is questionable
 
jdoggoakley said:
Brew Crew -117 with Garza. Quoted in spring training as saying each time he takes the hill against the Cubs he wants to shove it in their asses. Better lineup today for the Crew with CarGo and Braun back. Also taking a shot at over 7-1/2 in this one. Not sure I get the line - wind blowing slightly out; neither pitcher is lights out and Brian Gorman is fairly neutral ump.
Click to expand...

what made garza so pissed? It's not like he would have wanted to play for a 100-loss team in the prime of his career
 
austinhous said:
Who was the jag that lined the Pods to score o/u 4.5 runs? Is that a huge red flag alarm type shit to anyone else? The book must think Lyles is in for some regression. What is the deal.
Click to expand...

Lyles is smoke and mirrors, cost himself (and me) a win @SD earlier in the year cuz he messed around in the bottom of the 5th to the point where a lopsided game was suddenly 4-3 and Weiss almost yanked him before he could even qualify for the W.

3-1 last night with SD challenging late is a great sign, saw Hawkins and made him throw 20+ after being asleep for 8 innings
 
GW it is funny that you mention that game because it is also the last time Lyles pitches on six days of rest. I have Lyles 5-0 L5 to the OVER when he pitches on six days of rest, going back to his Astros days (since July 21 of last year). He allowed 27 runs (24 earned) in 26.2 innings pitched in those five games.

Game log:
[TABLE="width: 386"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="align: center"]Date[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Site[/TD]
[TD]Opp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]IP[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]ER[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]21-Jul-13[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]home[/TD]
[TD]Mariners[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]13-Aug-13[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]away[/TD]
[TD]Athletics[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]23-Aug-13[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]home[/TD]
[TD]Blue Jays[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]17-Sep-13[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]home[/TD]
[TD]Reds[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]14-Apr-14[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]away[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Lyles has a 1.25 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in three starts at Coors this season. And the Padres have the worst wOBA (.269) in the MLB. That's why I was like, who is the jag that set this team total at 4.5. They have scored the least amount of runs in the majors. Something doesn't add up.
 
Just came by to mention Lyles problem on 6 days rest. Losing my appetite for sides here. Maybe a first half over. Colorado hitting is still not back.
 
Johnnyonthespot said:
I think you guys have the Colorado game figured out. Padre and over scenarios. Good stuff.
Click to expand...

i really like over, not sure SD wins at all as the Rockies just win there and I think Erlin will have a tough day

austinhous said:
GW it is funny that you mention that game because it is also the last time Lyles pitches on six days of rest. I have Lyles 5-0 L5 to the OVER when he pitches on six days of rest, going back to his Astros days (since July 21 of last year). He allowed 27 runs (24 earned) in 26.2 innings pitched in those five games.

Game log:
[TABLE="width: 386"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="align: center"]Date[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Site[/TD]
[TD]Opp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]IP[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]ER[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]21-Jul-13[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]home[/TD]
[TD]Mariners[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]13-Aug-13[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]away[/TD]
[TD]Athletics[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]23-Aug-13[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]home[/TD]
[TD]Blue Jays[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]17-Sep-13[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]home[/TD]
[TD]Reds[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]14-Apr-14[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]away[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
Click to expand...

one of my 3 game-winning wild pitch losses this season

GatorsLeafsBills said:
Gio sucks a massive cock
Click to expand...

co-rect, got me on Sunday then this garbage
 
tuck321 said:
Just came by to mention Lyles problem on 6 days rest. Losing my appetite for sides here. Maybe a first half over. Colorado hitting is still not back.
Click to expand...

KC is the opposite park from COL and they had to deal with Shields then Bellino ringing up guys on pitches that nearly bounced (Tulo ejected in the 5th), so I wouldn't sell the farm yet
 
Doing some moderate vomiting as Cosart has walked 4 men. 4 run lead to start may not be nearly enough in first 5
 
played Norris extremely last minute (raced to get her in) based on KC not being able to hit and no Perez
 
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