Saturday, October 11th Plays and Analysis Thread...

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
Alright, ladies and germs...

This should be a bit more of a volume week for me. I feel pretty good about my reads on around 15-20 teams right now and basically am sticking to that for now. September was terrific, while last week was a bit down, but manageable.

I wanted to get this thread fired up in order to start getting some thoughts down and hopefully some insight from the forum!

Here are the games I am looking at this week with possible leans as well...

I do think Kennesaw is 'live' tomorrow night, but I am not sure if I'll attack that or not. More capping to come...

My Fresno State Bulldogs laying almost a TD is something I'll keep an eye on via the love market. Admittedly, I need to catch up a bit on Colly State.

Big one out in Washington on Friday night that I figure we'll be involved with quite a bit. The lookahead factor plus 6 days rest off, comeback at Maryland does concern me a bit. Any thoughts @jimmymo ?

The Cincy train keeps gaining steam, and this line vs UCF certainly shows the books are ready to show them some respect. The Cats have horrible Okie lite on deck, so i cannot see them looking ahead at all. ML parlay option here, at minimum.

Straight tailing whatever @Dollaz tells us to play in the Old Domination game!

Alright, Clemson came out flying last week after a bye week vs UNC. Did they fix some things via the week off? Or, was this a product of the competition? Next up is a stumbling BC team that just got crushed by Pitt. Any thoughts @M.W. ? I do feel like I want to track a possible TT here.

As I mentioned in the B1G thread, I have a situational lean towards Sparty... still handicapping that one...

Texas Tech is certainly showing that they are ready to be a playoff team. The schedule is favorable moving forward. Next week, they head to ASU for a tough road game. BYU comes into Lubbock in November -- otherwise, they should take care of business. This game vs Kansas is one I'll peek at Team Totals to be honest. Kansas, off a tough one two weeks ago, took care of business last time out. That defense though is a concern. I feel like Tech in the trenches will be a bit too much here.

I'll be tracking Iowa State at Colorado for a live look perhaps...

I'll have a lot more on Michigan and USC each day this week. This game is very exciting for in both as a fan and as a degenerate. More to come on this one here and in the B1G thread...

I'm still trying to figure out what happened with Texas ST last week. They had 500+ yards of offense and 7.2 ypp and only one turnover. Yet, they only had 10 points starting the 4th quarter. That was a tough loss off the bye week to be honest. Big one Saturday vs Troy, and I am digging into this one heavily. Sun BELT!!

The total in Knoxville is 68! Goodness. You know that has my attention to find value either over or under on the live market.

At some point, we'll find a game or two with some TT value on Ohio State, towards overs. Yes, last week happened, but that wasn't one that I was really looking to attack. This Illini defense seems to be faltering a bit. The Hoosiers steamrolled them. USC came on strong after the slow start. Purdue amassed over 450 yards last week as well. Big game for Illinois, though. They need an upset here if they are to take the next step this season. The defense will have to step up for that to even be a conversation.

Notre Dame TT's are always a thought...

Indiana and Oregon are simply starting with a watch and learn approach mindset. If an opportunity arises, we'll grab some action!

That is it for now. Let me know what you are thinking about any of these. Any questions, let me know as well!
 
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