Rant: It would have been one of those nites if I had about a handful of breaks...really got bent over on 4 totals...Over 192.5 Charlotte ends on 190 thanx to 46 of 64 FT's and a 39 pt 1st Quarter!! , Over 190 ATL pushed but I play it early and get 193 , The Houston and SA game dont even go there ...Hou gets 97 and they cant break 180..bullshit cause SA missed 2 of the easiest layups ever around the 4 minute mark to go in the 2nd Q and seconds later Ming gets pushed to the ground for a no call...and then Garbojsa basket waved off they go to OT 90 up and my 189 under loses...lets see 4 plays x 4 units each(actually 6 units with the Hou over) and you can so how close that is...Hell I was dead wrong with the Minny game and even to a degree ATL though Like I said yesterday they cant close a game or here comeback in one...I played every game except Dallas and LAC and thought I did some nice things(just thinking outloud not looking for a pat on the back....frustrated really)...Wiz 1st Q ML...Stevenson prop...but that +50 unit nite where everyone who was slightily influenced by me walked away a winner did NOT happen....and that pisses me off on this Holiday Weekend..
Okay I am back and focused!
The Wolves simply appear to be falling apart ....however this line is ridiculous IMO even with the Wolves struggling in Indy historically...Up until a day or two ago I would say the Jazz were 3 pts stronger on a neutral court versus Minny well Utah was +1.5 and won SU in Indy on Sunday in game that I thought should have been a PK..so really this should be closer to Indy -3 but the recent run for Indy and fade for Minny has this higher.....With the Wolves defense lacking recently you would expect the Pacers offense to continue to be around 100 pts making an over semi-attractive...leaning Wolves +4.5 +100 and 188.5 is enticing for an over but no call yet...
Right now they just put out Philly -1 and I am sorry but shorthanded at guard and all I dont think the Sixers should be favored...especially if we go back and see Boston was -4 and won by 20....
The Heat are 5-2 ATS on 2 days rest but just 3-4 SU and are 5.5 pt favs. I really like this GS club but I worry about them in back to backs cause of such poor shot selection. An over would enticing but I am not sure yet....GS sees a dropoff in production in backends 96 for 104 against where Miami is 92-94..GS is 1-6 SU in backends but 4-3 ATS...I wonder how they play in the last game but GS has really played well for the most part..almsot won in PHO , bad loss in TOR but tough spot , fade in the 4th Q in NJ but rebound with wins in Boston and Orlando...
Another line that seems out of whack in the pistons number...+9.5 for ATL who covered as +6 in DET already....Pistons hang around the number at home...just a fat line thanks to some foul performances for ATL lately and DET besting Cle on TV...grab these points...anything above -7 was to high IMO...
Have to think with ORL in freefall that a CLE team off 3 straight losses and REVENGE minded are the play....throw out ORLs back to back numbers cause tehy came when they were HOT...cavs were favord in Orl so this seems about right...and cavs won past 4 by 9 +...
I really like how Memphis is playing and this line feels high to me...but they are 0-8 SU on backends and playing off an OT road loss....again an Over seems interesting but 191 has no value...so would lean Under if it actually moved higher....just look at Utah as chalk ...SU losses to NYK and Char and miracle win in ATL..
I swear the schedule maker smokes crack...they just played in NO about a week ago...you have to feel its a real tough spot for SA with there B to B history and NO off OT...thinking UNDER...Spurs won by 26 recently but off a real embarrassing loss would play at 8 probably and dont see NO cracking 80 points here...team total..?
Both Char and Chi playing backends but Bobcats off the upset and Chi was upset....this line seems to high though ta 10...have to look into the matchups more closely.....would say under but 192 is sort of low....
The Bucks are heating up and looking for revenge...but NJ has won 5 staright in the series...Kristic left injured so check his status...this at 206 is high IMO but Bucks offense is smoking so maybe a team total...the nets havent looked good in backends and on teh road...so looking at the -3....
You wonder about LAC heart and a letdown for Houston ...but -9 is high considering it was the same vs a rested Dal team...would actually lean dog cause Ming could be tired here...his is the exception cause of his size..Also a rematch frum Sunday when Hou edged out a win in LA but the total will be interesting...
hard not to fade Tor off an OT road win vs a rested team. The key is SEA being extremely shorthanded...look for Ray Allen to return here..
BOL...will be back with updates...
Okay I am back and focused!
The Wolves simply appear to be falling apart ....however this line is ridiculous IMO even with the Wolves struggling in Indy historically...Up until a day or two ago I would say the Jazz were 3 pts stronger on a neutral court versus Minny well Utah was +1.5 and won SU in Indy on Sunday in game that I thought should have been a PK..so really this should be closer to Indy -3 but the recent run for Indy and fade for Minny has this higher.....With the Wolves defense lacking recently you would expect the Pacers offense to continue to be around 100 pts making an over semi-attractive...leaning Wolves +4.5 +100 and 188.5 is enticing for an over but no call yet...
Right now they just put out Philly -1 and I am sorry but shorthanded at guard and all I dont think the Sixers should be favored...especially if we go back and see Boston was -4 and won by 20....
The Heat are 5-2 ATS on 2 days rest but just 3-4 SU and are 5.5 pt favs. I really like this GS club but I worry about them in back to backs cause of such poor shot selection. An over would enticing but I am not sure yet....GS sees a dropoff in production in backends 96 for 104 against where Miami is 92-94..GS is 1-6 SU in backends but 4-3 ATS...I wonder how they play in the last game but GS has really played well for the most part..almsot won in PHO , bad loss in TOR but tough spot , fade in the 4th Q in NJ but rebound with wins in Boston and Orlando...
Another line that seems out of whack in the pistons number...+9.5 for ATL who covered as +6 in DET already....Pistons hang around the number at home...just a fat line thanks to some foul performances for ATL lately and DET besting Cle on TV...grab these points...anything above -7 was to high IMO...
Have to think with ORL in freefall that a CLE team off 3 straight losses and REVENGE minded are the play....throw out ORLs back to back numbers cause tehy came when they were HOT...cavs were favord in Orl so this seems about right...and cavs won past 4 by 9 +...
I really like how Memphis is playing and this line feels high to me...but they are 0-8 SU on backends and playing off an OT road loss....again an Over seems interesting but 191 has no value...so would lean Under if it actually moved higher....just look at Utah as chalk ...SU losses to NYK and Char and miracle win in ATL..
I swear the schedule maker smokes crack...they just played in NO about a week ago...you have to feel its a real tough spot for SA with there B to B history and NO off OT...thinking UNDER...Spurs won by 26 recently but off a real embarrassing loss would play at 8 probably and dont see NO cracking 80 points here...team total..?
Both Char and Chi playing backends but Bobcats off the upset and Chi was upset....this line seems to high though ta 10...have to look into the matchups more closely.....would say under but 192 is sort of low....
The Bucks are heating up and looking for revenge...but NJ has won 5 staright in the series...Kristic left injured so check his status...this at 206 is high IMO but Bucks offense is smoking so maybe a team total...the nets havent looked good in backends and on teh road...so looking at the -3....
You wonder about LAC heart and a letdown for Houston ...but -9 is high considering it was the same vs a rested Dal team...would actually lean dog cause Ming could be tired here...his is the exception cause of his size..Also a rematch frum Sunday when Hou edged out a win in LA but the total will be interesting...
hard not to fade Tor off an OT road win vs a rested team. The key is SEA being extremely shorthanded...look for Ray Allen to return here..
BOL...will be back with updates...
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