Saturday chip hale is clueless Discussion

[GWarner27]

ARI had to win the game 3x last night and made me miss out on my beauty sleep...

leans from the BOL open (movement):
StL -124/o7.5 -115 (now -105)
SD +104
NYM u7 -115 (-125)
MIN +121 (+114)
BAL +125
TB -119
OAK +134/u7.5 -120
LAA +110/u8
ATL +126

on the radar:
PIT -130
ARI +122
DET -126

 

[Fondybadger]

First glance I'm liking:
Phillies +180
White Sox/Tigers o7.5 (slight lean Tigers)
Jays -140 & o8
Indians +103
Reds/Cards u7.5 & Reds +135
Padres +105
Orioles +140 & over
Brewers +130
Marlins +140 and over
Yanks/Rays over (lean Rays)
Royals -145
Angels +115
Dbacks +130
Dodgers -180 (more likely RL)
Mariners -220 (more likely RL) and over

 

[BiffTFinancial]

leans
Braves
Pads
Orioles/game over/FF over/O's TT over
Angels/Astros FF over [4?]
Yankees/Rays under 7'
A's

like A's best, then Rays under and O's/over one way or the other.

 

[BiffTFinancial]

booked
Orioles TT over 4 (+100)
Yankees/Rays under 7 (+100)
A's ML (+123)

leans
Nats RL (+120)
Braves (+129)
Pads ML (+105)
Angels/Astros FF over 4

 

[BiffTFinancial]

Last three seasons, Jordan Zimmerman has had 8 starts in which he allowed 5+ ER. Nats are 6-2 RL in his next start, outscoring opponents 43-24. And one of those losses was 11-0 to Mets. Take that one out, Nats outscoring opponents 43-13 in 7 other Zimmerman bounceback starts. Zimmerman's last four home starts vs Phils: 11-0, 7-0, 11-2, 5-2.

 

[aplous]

Nearly 0% chance they play tonight in KC due to rain and Brett Lowrie being a dirty cunt

 

[Play2win]

Zimmerman 2-1 1.96 vs Phi last season, 9 day starts 4-1 1.47, 17 hm starts 7-2 2.57

 

[Play2win]

Aaron Harang (phi) - throws R at wsh - 1:05 PM ET - Nationals Park [SIZE=-1]RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo BB-Ref FanGraphs[/SIZE]

BATTER	SB	CS
Reed Johnson [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	1	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Dan Uggla [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Ryan Zimmerman [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Bryce Harper [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Danny Espinosa [SIZE=-1]S[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Wilson Ramos [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Denard Span-x [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Jayson Werth [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	1	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Ian Desmond [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	1	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Nate McLouth-x [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	2	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Yunel Escobar [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Anthony Rendon-x [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Michael Taylor [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Jose Lobaton [SIZE=-1]S[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]

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[TD="class: textright"]H[/TD]
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[TD="class: textright"]AVG[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]OBP[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]SLG[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]OPS[/TD]
[TD="align: left"] other site links[/TD]

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Jordan Zimmermann (wsh) - throws R vs. phi - 1:05 PM ET - Nationals Park [SIZE=-1]RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo BB-Ref FanGraphs[/SIZE]

BATTER	SB	CS
Cesar Hernandez [SIZE=-1]S[/SIZE]	0	1	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Domonic Brown-x [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Darin Ruf [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Cody Asche [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Grady Sizemore [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Chase Utley [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Ryan Howard [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Carlos Ruiz [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Ben Revere [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	1	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Freddy Galvis [SIZE=-1]S[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Cameron Rupp [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Jeff Francoeur [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]

<tbody>
[TD="class: textright"]AB[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]H[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]2B[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]3B[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]HR[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]RBI[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]BB[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]SO[/TD]

[TD="class: textright"]AVG[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]OBP[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]SLG[/TD]
[TD="class: textright"]OPS[/TD]
[TD="align: left"] other site links[/TD]

[TD="class: textright"]3[/TD]
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---

 

[BiffTFinancial]

Last two seasons, Zimmerman has been -150 to -200 fave (covers closing #) 23 times. Nats are 20-3 ML, 15-8 RL in those games. yeah, Nats RL for me.

 

[Play2win]

ZIMMERMANN is 26-8 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

 

[Play2win]

Ross 2.60 home/4.70 road
4-13 on 5 days, did have a good start at Wrigley last season
SD 5-14 road -100 to -125 last 2 seasons
SD 9-25 on road off win L2 seasons
Hendricks 12-2 L2 seasons (teams record)

 

[tuck321]

Knight likes Zimmerman a lot. 1.80 ERA over 20 innings and Harang has something over 5. Oh well

 

[Play2win]

Tillman 4-1 2.44 7 starts on 5 days in '14, 2.78 in 9 day starts '14, 7-3 2.69 vs Bos, 3-1 2.68 in 7 starts at Fenway, 3.15 3 starts with Meals

Clay March/April worst by month 4.72 31 starts, knocked out after giving up 6 earned in 2.1 vs O's last season, 4.68 in 7 day starts '14

Tillman 7-1 rd dog +125 - +150 L2 seasons (teams record)
Tillman 9-1 after team lost previous game L2 seasons (teams record)
Bos 3-11 Clay home starts L2 seasons
Bos 12-21 Clay home starts vs AL East career

 

[Play2win]

Bailey 1-5 5.74 @ Busch

 

[Play2win]

Min 13-5 Hughes day starts L2 seasons

 

[Play2win]

Sanchez 0-2 4.97 vs CWS in '14

 

[austinhous]

GW, you do any more work on the D-Backs? I noticed it's Rubby's best rest. I did see a couple dudes looking at a Giants' "bounce-back" game, but since last season they are only 2-7 SU after being shut out. Plus they are on an 0-8 SU run.

 

[tuck321]

Locked in KC strong play I think
Locked in Houston first half and game a little dangerous but mandatory
Locked in Tampa first half and game correct based on pitching and trends

 

[tuck321]

GW, you do any more work on the D-Backs? I noticed it's Rubby's best rest. I did see a couple dudes looking at a Giants' "bounce-back" game, but since last season they are only 2-7 SU after being shut out. Plus they are on an 0-8 SU run.

The 0-8 trend is the problem

 

[tuck321]

Bottom line is even a corner rat fights at the end. SF is looking at a spot where this starter is what they have left. That is how bad their pitching is. It could be right to fade them anyway.

 

[Play2win]

Agree tuck

 

[austinhous]

Tillman

Nice job on the Orioles today. They are now 21-11 SU lined > 0 in Tillman starts the L2 seasons (12-3 SU during the day, 9-0 SU L9). Another situation the O's have done well in during that same time is after being shut out. Since 2013 they are 15-3 SU in the subsequent game after being shut out. Add that one to the ol' toolbox as well.