Sat discussion

S

SportsNut

Breaking it down briefly
<TABLE style="WIDTH: 100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=Column_Date_Headers_Odds><TD colSpan=7>MLB Baseball - Sat 4/18

</TD></TR><TR class=Column_Headers_Odds><TD colSpan=3>Game</TD><TD>Run Line</TD><TD>Money Line</TD><TD>Total Runs</TD><TD>More</TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>901</TD><TD>Atlanta Braves
JJ. Reyes</TD><TD>+1.5 -185</TD><TD>+109</TD><TD>OVER 9 -112</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>09:35 AM</TD><TD>902</TD><TD>Pittsburgh Pirates
I. Snell</TD><TD>-1.5 +175</TD><TD>-117</TD><TD>UNDER 9 +102</TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>903</TD><TD>Florida Marlins
J. Johnson</TD><TD>-1.5 +112</TD><TD>-142</TD><TD>OVER 8.5 -105</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>10:05 AM</TD><TD>904</TD><TD>Washington Nationals
S. Olsen</TD><TD>+1.5 -122</TD><TD>+134</TD><TD>UNDER 8.5 -105</TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>905</TD><TD>Milwaukee Brewers
Y. Gallardo</TD><TD>+1.5 -145</TD><TD>+156</TD><TD>OVER 7.5 -104</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>10:10 AM</TD><TD>906</TD><TD>New York Mets
JO. Santana</TD><TD>-1.5 +135</TD><TD>-164</TD><TD>UNDER 7.5 -106</TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>907</TD><TD>St Louis Cardinals
K. Lohse</TD><TD></TD><TD>+122</TD><TD></TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>12:40 PM</TD><TD>908</TD><TD>Chicago Cubs
R. Dempster</TD><TD></TD><TD>-130</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>909</TD><TD>Arizona D-Backs
D. Davis</TD><TD>+1.5 -145</TD><TD>+152</TD><TD>OVER 8 +109</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>01:05 PM</TD><TD>910</TD><TD>San Francisco Giants
T. Lincecum</TD><TD>-1.5 +135</TD><TD>-160</TD><TD>UNDER 8 -119</TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>911</TD><TD>San Diego Padres
S. Hill</TD><TD>+1.5 -135</TD><TD>+159</TD><TD>OVER 9.5 +100</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>04:05 PM</TD><TD>912</TD><TD>Philadelphia Phillies
B. Myers</TD><TD>-1.5 +125</TD><TD>-167</TD><TD>UNDER 9.5 -110</TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>913</TD><TD>Cincinnati Reds
A. Harang</TD><TD>+1.5 -181</TD><TD>+118</TD><TD>OVER 8 -109</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>04:05 PM</TD><TD>914</TD><TD>Houston Astros
W. Rodriguez</TD><TD>-1.5 +171</TD><TD>-126</TD><TD>UNDER 8 -101</TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>915</TD><TD>Colorado Rockies
A. Cook</TD><TD>+1.5 -146</TD><TD>+150</TD><TD>OVER 8 -122</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>12:40 PM</TD><TD>916</TD><TD>Los Angeles Dodgers
C. Billingsley</TD><TD>-1.5 +136</TD><TD>-158</TD><TD>UNDER 8 +112</TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>917</TD><TD>Oakland Athletics
T. Cahill</TD><TD>+1.5 -165</TD><TD>+121</TD><TD>OVER 9.5 +116</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>10:05 AM</TD><TD>918</TD><TD>Toronto Blue Jays
B. Tallet</TD><TD>-1.5 +155</TD><TD>-129</TD><TD>UNDER 9.5 -126</TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>919</TD><TD>LAA Angels
D. Oliver</TD><TD>+1.5 -176</TD><TD>+114</TD><TD>OVER 9 -107</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>04:10 PM</TD><TD>920</TD><TD>Minnesota Twins
K. Slowey</TD><TD>-1.5 +166</TD><TD>-122</TD><TD>UNDER 9 -103</TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>921</TD><TD>Cleveland Indians
F. Carmona</TD><TD>+1.5 -155</TD><TD>+121</TD><TD>OVER 10.5 -104</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>12:40 PM</TD><TD>922</TD><TD>New York Yankees
C. Wang</TD><TD>-1.5 +145</TD><TD>-129</TD><TD>UNDER 10.5 -106</TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>923</TD><TD>Chicago White Sox
M. Buehrle</TD><TD>+1.5 -145</TD><TD>+150</TD><TD>OVER 8 -112</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>04:05 PM</TD><TD>924</TD><TD>Tampa Bay Rays
S. Kazmir</TD><TD>-1.5 +135</TD><TD>-158</TD><TD>UNDER 8 +102</TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>925</TD><TD>Baltimore Orioles
A. Eaton</TD><TD>+1.5 +115</TD><TD>+250</TD><TD>OVER 9.5 +114</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>04:05 PM</TD><TD>926</TD><TD>Boston Red Sox
J. Beckett</TD><TD>-1.5 -125</TD><TD>-270</TD><TD>UNDER 9.5 -124</TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>927</TD><TD>Kansas City Royals
Z. Greinke</TD><TD>+1.5 -169</TD><TD>+111</TD><TD>OVER 9.5 +113</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD2><TD>05:05 PM</TD><TD>928</TD><TD>Texas Rangers
K. Millwood</TD><TD>-1.5 +159</TD><TD>-119</TD><TD>UNDER 9.5 -123</TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>Sat 4/18</TD><TD>929</TD><TD>Detroit Tigers
E. Jackson</TD><TD>+1.5 -181</TD><TD>+114</TD><TD>OVER 8 -102</TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=AD1><TD>06:10 PM</TD><TD>930</TD><TD>Seattle Mariners
E. Bedard</TD><TD>-1.5 +171</TD><TD>-122</TD><TD>UNDER 8 -108</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


:cheers:
 
Under 9.5 @ Texas -125 :

Millwood good form so far , pitched @ KC last year vs Grienke won 2-1 , Grienke lost 2-1 twice last year vs Texas home and away , previous season he won 8-1 @ Texas......only 3 runs and 2 earned last 3 starts vs them in 18 innings and hasnt alloweda run yet ..

Grienke wasnt that sharp last outing so on the fence if I like him but do like KC to win the series ...

Probably a popular play so holding off a tad might go 1st H under instead.....


This jumps out but hoping the scoring barrage in Texas keeps people away :cheers:
 
nawlins51 said:
Like the Dbacks and under 8 for that game. But wtf do i know about bases.
Click to expand...

Tough to lay it on Lincecum now until he figures it out especially since its not like SFG is a good team who can overcome his sloppy starts. That would make the under scary though because Davis is real inconsistent and SFG can get some off him ...

Thinking about Texas tmrw because today I had KC and sort of in my way of thinking to back TExas now. Today you had Meche a PK vs Harrison and now Millwood -125 or so vs Grienke. Essentially Meche and Grienke same type of SP (not style but strength) and Meche probably better innings eater . Anyway Millwood is loads better then Harrison and the price difference is a mere 15 cents ...would then come back with KC on Sunday .....

LAA is tough as well because they are real thin and while Oliver has had a career turnaround past few seasons not sure what to expect . Like Minny to win the series as well so looking for reasons to play them rather then pass...

Houston looks solid but after today that pen sure is dicey . LaTroy Hawkins closing with Valverde aching back and Brocail on the CL. He blew a1-0 game today ...

:cheers:GL bro



 
SportsNut said:
Tough to lay it on Lincecum now until he figures it out especially since its not like SFG is a good team who can overcome his sloppy starts. That would make the under scary though because Davis is real inconsistent and SFG can get some off him ...

Thinking about Texas tmrw because today I had KC and sort of in my way of thinking to back TExas now. Today you had Meche a PK vs Harrison and now Millwood -125 or so vs Grienke. Essentially Meche and Grienke same type of SP (not style but strength) and Meche probably better innings eater . Anyway Millwood is loads better then Harrison and the price difference is a mere 15 cents ...would then come back with KC on Sunday .....

LAA is tough as well because they are real thin and while Oliver has had a career turnaround past few seasons not sure what to expect . Like Minny to win the series as well so looking for reasons to play them rather then pass...

Houston looks solid but after today that pen sure is dicey . LaTroy Hawkins closing with Valverde aching back and Brocail on the CL. He blew a1-0 game today ...

:cheers:GL bro
Click to expand...

Good shit Nut. Let me just tail since i suck at bases.
 
Snell looked real good last sunday after the first inn home run ...Snell usually real good or real bad vs. atl ...Pirates cant seem to win b2b ....JJ Reyes sucks

Harang has been awesome and efficient just not getting any run support ...May look at a Hou TT UNDER ...

damn shame nats blew that game tonite

Philly finally scored a 1st inn. run , may play yes on them for the next couple games...they tend get on a roll
 
Guess with ATL its a game to decipher who is healthy . They should have won today because they had Maholm on the ropes early but they didnt deliver . Which I should not take anything from Maholm for wiggling out of those spots . The game was probably decided top 2nd think 3 straight base hits to load them and Kotchman works him and pops up then a groundball back to the pitcher for the inning ending DP.. I agree that Snell obviously looked good but these teams are tough to figure for me ..cant overlook Snell's 3 very good career starts vs Pitt at home vs inconsistent Reyes....Pitt or pass?

Not sure yet about the 1st inn run but did hit Phillies to score 1st today . How the fuck did they blow that game ? Cost me a 3 team parlay but I aint complaining when I had Boston , TB and Minny all rally for me ...definetly like Myers and Philly

Interesting to see what Josh Johnson has when he takes the mound in Wash after that game vs da Mutts....have a feeling that price might get crazy and again Wash played well but didnt make the plays to win......hungover though ? really cant afford to be imo

Might have to take a stab at Wang and the Yanks tmrw. He has been awful but as far as we know he is healthy . Yanks have the edge in pens . Looking at like this .....Lincecum hasnt pitched well either and still is -160 where is Wang is -130 with a better team behind him......granted Wang has been horrific but he has LOST (as in received the decision I believe) consecutive starts something like three or four times in his career ! Tuck will point out how good the Yanks are on Sat's at home ....hint 29-11 L40 home Saturdays games......thats 73% for -130 ? Wang has only been real good or real bad vs CLE seeing him as real bad so far makes me think real good could show up when no one expects it to...UNDER for sure 10.5 is kinda ridiculous IMO....



Cahill pitched a solid game and lost 1-0 with jays turning to Tallet and the pen have to like Oakland here . Also the 1 pm start does them no favors after returning from a 7 game road trip IMO with no rest ......

Hard to not lean Johan after that gem he lost in FLA thanks to a dropped flyball. No run support yet as both games were 2-1 ....Gallardo rocked last outing if i recall..neither team playing well ...

Billingsley has been good so far but Cook has pitched so well in the past vs LAD its hard to overlook that considering the price. I think Rockies win this series and while Jimenez faces McDonald still cant trust Ubaldo on the road which might make Cook the safer choice as crazy as that sounds.....also Cook should have beat Philly but consecutive 2 run inn in the 8th and 9 th prevented that ......possibly under ?

Dempster was a tad off last start and Lohse has been spot on. Not crazy about the Cubs play and might look at STL here ...despite Dempster home success because Lohse probably has a tad better past history ....

Lincecum should rename his Cy Young award the SD/Zona gift card because those 2 teams he just dominanted and RHB not what Zona wants to stack vs him..

Harang has really good history @ Houston and Wandy is pretty good vs CIncy as well . The losses for each in the past tend to be low scoring . Also Harang was terrible when he came back from injury in late 08 so dont weigh those starts imo and vs houston was one of thoses...

Cant not like Kazmir at this point especially since Beurhle has been good vs TB in the past but still usually allowing some runs...

As much as I like Boston here tough to see the value here with Beckett having some issues vs Balt recently . Eaton wasnt all that bad in his last start just stuck in a few bad spots and didnt escape...like I said Boston needs to get hot and now 2 straight wins ....

Slowley hasnt been good biut LAA is a mess now ..pen had to go 5 innings today and has a spot starter going...like Twins to win the series and only looking at them...

bedard has been real good but EJax hasnt been far behind and looking at how well EJax did vs SEA last year hard to pass on him IMO . DET with the better lineup and tough RH is a tougher task IMO .....

:cheers:1st glimpse!



























 
Good thing about the Yanks total @ 10.5 ..?? Two guys who throw real hard 2 seamers probably the 2 hardest throwing sinkerballers in the game ...groundball after groundball if these guys are anywhere close to on.....UNDER !!!!!!!!!!!:cheers:
 
i've been riding the marlins a lot to start the season and see no reason not to do so again tomorrow. will probably be on a combination of ML, RL and TT over. besides being a big josh johnson fan, i am looking to fade scott olsen until he proves me wrong.
 
lots of big comebacks today, see if it carries with the team tomorrow...

Tallet for bjays is a reliever and jays pen has not been that good...
 
Total in Minn seems nuts. 9 minus 8 cents over. Slowey and Oliver starting against Minn. A relief pitcher these days who pitched recently and has been hit hard twice in Minn and Slowey. Shields gave up 3 runs without getting an out tonight. His era just hit 7.20. Winters is not a great umpire but its really hard for me to see this staying under. Slowey has started 2 home games this season and gone 11.1 innings along with 22 hits and 10 runs.
 
plays so far:

cubs -130 - Dempster at home, Cards have a serious bullpen problem, and as a bonus Pujols may not play.

Dodgers -157 - Billingsley is a stud and shouldn't have a problem with the Rockies offense. I'm not a fan of Cook and think the Dodgers get to him. The Rocks bullpen is lol bad. With the Dodgers at home, I think this game should be more like -175.

Fathers +163 - I love fading Myers at these prices. It's like printing money. I've been on the Padres every day for like a week. Hill is decent which makes this more than worth a shot. Bell has pitched two days in a row, so hopefully they will let him go a 3rd night in a row. He's had no problem with this in the past.

Marlins -142 - Complete mismatch. This game should be like -175 as well. Huge pitching edge for the Fish.

A lot of chalk for me, which I usually don't do. I think these three really warrant it though.
 
http://yankees.lhblogs.com/2009/04/17/new-stadium-a-launching-pad/

There have been 34.5 innings played at the new Stadium and 17 home runs have been hit.
That’s far too small a sample size to draw any conclusions from. But that does seem like a lot. Is the wind howling through those open concourses? Is there some sort of wind tunnel toward right field? And this in cold weather, too.
The details:
April 3 vs. Cubs, exhibition game: 3 homers: Cano, Matsui, Ransom.
April 4 vs. Cubs, exhibition game: 5 homers: Soriano; Jeter, Teixeira (2), Duncan.
April 16 vs Indians: 3 homers: Sizemore, Martinez; Posada.
April 17 vs. Indians: 6 homers: DeRosa; Damon, Teixeira, Cabrera, Jeter, Cano.
Click to expand...
 
Beyond that it seems a little strange to think of under with 2 pitchers who are pitching as badly as this. Sunday will be pound the Yanks day. Much better day of the Week and you get a quality pitcher. The issue is does Carmona still pitch better in the day because then a first half bet on Cleveland might make sense. Anyone know?
 
Just duplicated 4 of Cubskers 4 plays all of which make sense to me. Dempster by the way has won 8 straight at home on Saturday and that was the close one. Mildly steamed over no rl win tonight with the Dodgers who had 5 more hits, 1 more walk, 6 less strikeouts and no errors to one by the Rockies who got 3 runs in the first inning and sat on their behinds for the rest of the game and are going with a pitcher who for a long time has not gotten the job done. Want ump info to see if i play rl as well.
 
Tuck- Think you are correct with the Twins total . Best guess is its all reputation at this point(being we are 10 games deep) . Both teams with strong pitching in recent years especially from their respective pens . As you said 2009 its a different story clearly . Oliver would guess is about 4 innings if he does well then what ?? He pitched on Tuesday so rest wise he is fine but cant think he was stretched out for more then 60 pitches and why risk hurting such a key guy ? Him starting makes no sense to me . The key will be simply how both SP fare here . Both are capable its just a matter of what version shows up . Slowley is the guy who needs to improve and LAA has given trouble to begin with ...if either overworked and struggling pen gets involved its going to be dicey and best case scenario is Oliver tosses a 65-70 pitch gem and some how makes 6 innings..pipe dream??

I like COL still. Broxton had to pitch 1.2 inn to save the day . Rockies will learn from as you approriately put it sitting on a lead . Just think COL has faced tons of good SP so far which will prepare them ...happy I elected to play Col +1.5 RL and Under primarily today getting more on 1st 5 ML then game ML...anyway if it wasnt for Broxton being the most dominant guy out of a bullpen right now Dodgers lose today imo....As great as Billingsley has been its still SFG and SD twolineups who can look putrid at any given moment ...Chad is a beats in day games which the Rockies did struggle in ....

Yanks will be very expensive on Sunday but clearly I agree . Would expect around -240..which if past history holds up watch out ...AJ is 1-4 in 5 starts with a 7.20 ERA vs CLE plus 55 runners in 30 innings. Grantedthat goes a way back and he was solid in his loss @ CLE last season but not the prior 2 seasons in CLE...

Clearly Carmona is a guy you want on the hill in day games . Probably has to do with where he is from and thats the weather he is accustomed to playing in . Just like many Latin players start slow in the cold not suprising to think they would prefer pitching in the day = sun and heat ...

As for the total while Wang has been terrible lets see if being home straightens him out as he was always nasty at the old Yankee Stadium . Its just about being flat for him(his pitches) . Not really grading Carmona since his 2nd start was @ Texas ...10.5 is now reflecting the current state of the teams unlike the 1st 2 games which saw 8 and 9 under -120 ...also Yanks had 9 hits today and 5 Hrs ...lineup is thin ...

etc........

With the HRs the ball definetly has better carry in the new stadium mostly to Right-center which was the opposite in the old park which actually knocked the ball down in that area more then anything . Now it doesnt have that current to knock down in the new park. Still the wind was blowing out in the Cubs series and 2 HRs hit the foul poles . Also look at the huge edge NYY has in HRs hit ....14 to 3 in 4 games ...hard to say the park plays small when its so lopsided . Main difference is balls to Right - CF will no longer die ..weather has been pretty good as well compared to April's past...

IF Pujols doesnt play would rethink STL obviously . Cubs pen issues arent much different IMO then STL. Cards will have McClellan , Franklin and Reyes available ..I mean how confident can I be in CHI when they needed a 1-2 mistake pitch to Sori to win 8-7 ? then Marmol comes in and walks the leadoff hitter and plunks Pujols , he did get Ludwick with the gas but lucky that only PH available at that point was Greene who hit into the DP...a LH bat maybe a different story ? Not to mention Cubs ace vs Cards rookie who is raw ...Dempster wasnt good last outing @ MILW imo just that Milw not playing well...same deal with Houston really .......

Same deal with LAD again huge edge on paper and barely scrae by never a good sign IMO ...

SD just getting all the breaks at this point facing quality SP who are less then 100% ...Meredith and Sanchez both survived and Duaner wasnt very good in NY either ...

Hard to disagree with FLA but again same motto as the above. Had huge edges today and barely won actually didnt deserve to win tonight either . Especially with favs the gifts dont always come for free...all 4 wins essentially gifts IMO today and not suprised all came late and by 1 run...Johnson is a beast but Nats have hit every game and Olsen will terrible the 1st outing was better the 2nd time around . Still has the former team motivation as well and still playing wait and see when FLA faces LH...

thats my take for now...:shake:



 
Also Philly game perfect storm ...Madson with 2 outs and 1 on walks Rodriguez on a 3-2 pitch then Gerut singlles to open it up . Headley threw out a runner to end the 8th at home that would have tied it ....
 
JetFavre said:
i've been riding the marlins a lot to start the season and see no reason not to do so again tomorrow. will probably be on a combination of ML, RL and TT over. besides being a big josh johnson fan, i am looking to fade scott olsen until he proves me wrong.
Click to expand...

you gotta think he's motivated to pitch well against his former team. I've been looking for spots to play him, but I just haven't found anything at this point
 
also, the Cards & Cubs had this exact game earlier last year. It was Dempster vs. Lohse on a Saturday afternoon FOX game, and Lohse had just come off a great outing. What ensued was a bad day for Lohse, and i wonder if history repeats itself today?

..great thoughts guys
 
Olsen can have motivation but he better be razor sharp because no one is hitting Johnson right now. Also, Marlins have everything Olsen does when he pitches covered better than any other team.
 
Let me add one more thing to the Johnson angle for the Marlins: he is from the DC/Maryland area! He will have hundereds of friends and family in the stands on Sat., hope that means he is extra sharp but I know this one means a lot to him!
 
Good stuff fellas...

In the LAD game see Martin , Furcal and Broxton all listed as doubtful today . All rest situations..



With the Marlins game hard to disagree but I am not getting excited with FLA yet . Johnson has pitched twice at home and Fla has played but 3 home games going 1-2 with both losses by 1 run. Which will probably keep me off the Nats +1.5 today .....Ramirez has cooled for the moment ..guessing game with Scott Olsen ........probably just sit on the sidelines unless something strikes me as a reason to back Wash ....:cheers:
 
Reyes will be activated Saturday to start against the Pirates in place of veteran left-hander Tom Glavine, whose surgically repaired pitching shoulder is sore and could lead him to retire if it doesn’t improve in the next two weeks.
Reyes was 3-11 with a 5.81 ERA for the Braves in 2008, including 0-7 with a 7.81 ERA in his final 13 games. He pitched well this spring, but the Braves didn’t have a spot in their rotation after signing Glavine in February to be their fifth starter.
With Glavine questionable, Reyes hopes to impress the Braves and be considered for a more permanent position. He said he finally understands he’s a better pitcher when he doesn’t try to overpower hitters, but rather pitches to contact and goes deeper into games with lower pitch counts.
He gave up five runs (four earned) and seven hits in six innings of his only start for Gwinnett on April 10. Cox said the reports were that Reyes threw well through five innings, before giving up three hits and a walk in fairly heavy rain during the sixth inning.
Saturday is the first time the Braves have required the services of a fifth starter, and they aren’t expected to need one again until April 28. After that, the fifth starter will be required on a more regular basis because of fewer off days in the schedule
 
Geez, I'm not sure I get the LAA/Minny o/u 9. Two BAD bullpens. LAA may only get 5 innings out of Oliver today, turning it over to their pen, and Minny threw Crain AND Nathan last night. Who do they turn to?
 
First half bet on the Brewers plus 50 cents and plus .5 minus 5 cents. Consistency is inportant. Many of the brewers have hit Santana, worse day of the week for him and a bad ump for him. No one has seen Gallardo.
 
SOunds good Tuck ...

and the Twins total is a mystery which scares me but sticking to what I said last night might just be all years of reputation with these 2 teams rather then current form..

played Pitt and Over 8.5 -115 ...couldnt get past those ugly day stats for each ...just seems like weakness vs weakness for each SP and while SNell good past history at home vs ATL bunch of LHs today should be interesting ...:cheers:
 
played Under 1st 5 innings Toronto and game under 9 . Also Oak ML ...

have to admit scared playing OAK after this stat..

Blue Jays are 25-3 in their last 28 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game

<LI class=more>Under is 45-20 in Blue Jays last 65 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 20-9-1 in Blue Jays last 30 vs. American League West.
Maybe Greg Gibson is a lucky charm..

<LI class=morehot>Road team is 4-0 in Gibsons last 4 games behind home plate vs. Toronto. <LI class=morehot>Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games with Gibson behind home plate. <LI class=morehot>Athletics are 15-2 in their last 17 games with Gibson behind home plate. <LI class=more>Over is 5-2-1 in Gibsons last 8 games behind home plate vs. Toronto. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-1 in Gibsons last 15 games behind home plate vs. Oakland. <LI class=more>Under is 13-6-1 in Gibsons last 20 games behind home plate

:cheers:
 
missed the 1st 5 play so went Brewers +1.5 RL despite the fact Johan's first two games were decided by 1 run....leaned over but wasnt crazy when it went to 8..
 
Played Under 10.5 @ Yankee Stadium ....still looking at the Yanks ML...Wang either in a serious rut or just a couple bad outings on the road ...? Wont see him at -130 at home to many times ...

played Rockies ML as well ...:cheers:
 
pulled one out of my ass with the Fish. Too bad Dempster decided not to throw strikes to 7 and 8 hitters.
 
cubsker said:
plays so far:

cubs -130 - Dempster at home, Cards have a serious bullpen problem, and as a bonus Pujols may not play.

Dodgers -157 - Billingsley is a stud and shouldn't have a problem with the Rockies offense. I'm not a fan of Cook and think the Dodgers get to him. The Rocks bullpen is lol bad. With the Dodgers at home, I think this game should be more like -175.

Fathers +163 - I love fading Myers at these prices. It's like printing money. I've been on the Padres every day for like a week. Hill is decent which makes this more than worth a shot. Bell has pitched two days in a row, so hopefully they will let him go a 3rd night in a row. He's had no problem with this in the past.

Marlins -142 - Complete mismatch. This game should be like -175 as well. Huge pitching edge for the Fish.

A lot of chalk for me, which I usually don't do. I think these three really warrant it though.
Click to expand...

nice comeback by the Fish. Add the Tigers at +141. Too much value when you have the better offense, esp. when facing a LHP.
 
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