Round 2 Plays

[smh212]

Playoffs: 11-11 -0.17 units

Going to keep Round 2 in one thread. Had some ups and downs in round 1. Round 2 presents us some with some cases of teams coming off a 7 game series, versus teams that had a bit more rest. Match up dynamics change, coaching strategies change. Don't allow to let past biases get in the way of the here and now.

WASHINGTON +4 (1) and WASHINGTON +155 (.25)
MY line: Ind -1.5

I was went 1-2 betting the Wash/Chi series. Washington showed a maturity and a confidence that I didn't believe they had until I saw it. Wins in game 2 and 5 on the road showed me a lot. The Pacers went 7 games with an NBA team that won 37 games this year. Reading statements out of Indiana that playing Jeff Teague will help them with John Wall, playing Korver will help them with Beal.....that is fucking laughable. Beal brings so much more to the table than Korver, it's not even close. Wall is better than Teague, and Nene and Gortat down low will battle West, and shrink Hibbert even more. My opinion on Indiana has not changed. They still suck.

Good Luck.

:shake:

 

[Greencastle]

Agreed

 

[emkee]

GL, Smh.

 

[Play2win]

Agree Wiz, BOL

 

[Greencastle]

Good call man

 

[emkee]

:shake:

 

[twinkie13]

Great call man

 

[smh212]

Thanks fellas. Still alot of work to do. Clippers showed me something last night, more specifically CP3, showed me something I didn't believe he had.

 

[nbafan88]

Do you think he can duplicate that performance tomorrow? That game was over from the get go.

 

[tazz]

good call on washington game 1 smh

 

[smh212]

5/6

Playoffs: 12-11 +1.39 units

Wash got it done last night, as expected. Will wait out game 2, hope Indy wins, and come back w/ Wash.

nbafan....No, I do not think he can repeat. but I don't think I will betting OKC until game 3.

HEAT -7 (1.25)
My line: Mia -8

Tough spot for team old here. Off a 7 game series, and now face a well rested Miami team that actually got some practice time in. I hope the Heat roll this one, to setup a Nets bet in game 3.

Considering the Blazers, but need to look a bit deeper.

GL.

:cheers:

 

[emkee]

Good catch on the 7, Heat the 'right play'.

GL...

 

[smh212]

Thanks fellas.....passing the Blazers. My opinion, is that the refs favor the Spurs BIG TIME.

 

[emkee]

Nice call, man.

Was always the correct side, pissed I didn't pull the trigger.

Scales are starting to level, very good sign.

 

[smh212]

5/9

Playoffs: 13-11 +2.64 units

WIZARDS -4 (1.25)
My line: Wash -5

I bet this early, and glad I did. It's a pass for me at 5, and I like Indy to come back in game 2.

Wash/Ind UNDER 183.5 (1.25)
My line 181

The Wizards have struggled in this series to score the basketball. Their top performer on offense has been Gortat. Team taking a lot of mid range jumpers, not good. Found this chart to be very telling:

[h=4]Washington Wizards Stats vs. Indiana Pacers[/h]

Player
Bradley Beal
Marcin Gortat
John Wall
Trevor Ariza
Nene
Drew Gooden
Martell Webster
Andre Miller
Trevor Booker
Al Harrington
Kevin Seraphin
Chris Singleton
Garrett Temple

<thead>
[TH="colspan: 3, align: center"]Pts/Gm[/TH]
[TH="colspan: 3, align: center"]Reb/Gm[/TH]
[TH="colspan: 3, align: center"]Ast/Gm[/TH]

[TH="align: right"]vsIND[/TH]
[TH="align: right"]All[/TH]
[TH="align: right"]%dif[/TH]
[TH="align: right"] vsIND
[/TH]
[TH="align: right"]All[/TH]
[TH="align: right"]%dif[/TH]
[TH="align: right"]vsIND[/TH]
[TH="align: right"]All[/TH]
[TH="align: right"]%dif[/TH]

</thead> <tbody>
[TD="align: right"]16.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 17.4
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] -5.0%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.4%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]14.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.2%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19.3%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-41.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]12.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-37.0%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-11.5%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-14.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]12.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-16.9%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-8.4%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-9.4%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]10.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.5[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-29.2%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-28.7%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-30.6%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]6.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-7.6%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]60.2%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.8%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]5.6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-39.8%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.6%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-32.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]4.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.5%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]48.1%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-77.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]3.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-54.5%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-23.9%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-11.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]3.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-50.7%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-88.7%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-67.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]2.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.6[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-52.3%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.4[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-83.1%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-36.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]1.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-66.7%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-84.8%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.2[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-100.0%
[/TD]

[TD="align: right"]0.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.7[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-53.0%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4.7%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-100.0
[/TD]

</tbody>

The only starter who has outperformed his regular season output in scoring the basketball is Gortat. Wall has stuggled big time, Beal has been basically the same gy, but Ariza, and Nene have really struggled. I think this one is played in the 80's.

CLIPPERS -4 (1.25)
My line: Lac -5.5

Why is this game not lined similar to game two in OKC? I have these teams rated as even and the series going 7. Will look for OKC in game two if the Clips take this one.

Good Luck.

:shake:

 

[smh212]

5/10

Playoffs: 14-14 +1.51 units

Really pissed at myself for the Wizards bet. I believed that the Pacers had turned the corner, yet, due to the "3" I bought on Washington I held onto my play. The under cashed easily. As for the Clippers, we witnessed another game, where CP3 puts up numbers, but can't get his team a win....again. My opinion is that he is one of the most overrated players in the NBA. He simply has not won playoff games in the NBA. Maybe, he turns it around, but Durant and Westbrook are not going to make it easy.

Mia/NJ UNDER 189 (1.25)
My line 186

Do the Nets make it a game for 4 full qtrs tonight? Maybe. Either way, they will have trouble scoring the ball, and if they are to keep it close as the pointspread would lead you to believe then a high 80's low 90's game figures.

Good Luck.

:cheers:

 

[smh212]

Adding:

Lebron UNDER 14.5 rebs+assts (.75)

During the regular season Lebron avg 14.31 rebs +assists when on the road. However, against the Nets in this series he is down to 11.3. Main culprit has been assists, where he is down 20% compared to his regular season numbers. This series has provided games at both ends of the specturm: A game played with Miami scoring 100+ and being very efficient on offense, and a game where they scored in 90's where the Nets clamped down more on defense. Considering that I like the UNDER in game 3, this makes sense to me.

 

[smh212]

Adding:

Lebron UNDER 14.5 rebs+assts (.75)

During the regular season Lebron avg 14.31 rebs +assists when on the road. However, against the Nets in this series he is down to 11.3. Main culprit has been assists, where he is down 20% compared to his regular season numbers. This series has provided games at both ends of the specturm: A game played with Miami scoring 100+ and being very efficient on offense, and a game where they scored in 90's where the Nets clamped down more on defense. Considering that I like the UNDER in game 3, this makes sense to me.

BATTIER UNDER 8 pts

 

[smh212]

5/12

16-14 +1.63 units

Missed with the Miami under last time out, but hit both props.

Mia/Bro UNDER 188 (1.25)
My line: 185

If the Russian cat from NJ keeps hitting 3's at this rate then god bless. I expect a tempo similar to game 2.

GL.

:shake:

 

[smh212]

5/14

16-15 +0.25 units

Going exotic tonight.

SPURS TEAM TOTAL OV 108 (1)

4 team parlay
Heat -330
Spurs -380
Bos/Mtl un 5, -120
OKC +4.5, -110

Risking 1 to win 4.76 units