Rochclone Week Six NCAAF

[rochclone]

Week Five was outstanding and very much needed to dig myself out of the hole.

Futures:

Washington State Under 5.5 Wins (1.00 Units to win 1.10 Units)--Will be close.
Kentucky Over 3.5 Wins (1.65 Units to win 1.00 Units)--Could be a Win this week.
Indiana Over 5.5 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.30 Units)--Looking a lot better.
Michigan State Over 9.5 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.00 Units)--Big test this week.
North Carolina Over 8.5 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.90 Units)--No chance.
Iowa State Over 3.5 Wins (2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units)--Will come down to the last couple weeks. I think they will have a shot this week.
Washington Over 9.5 Wins (3.00 Units to win 4.80 Units)--Could be tough.
Cincy Over 8.5 Wins (4.40 Units to win 4.00 Units)--Like this play.
Buffalo Over 6.5 Wins (4.00 Units to win 4.80 Units)--A big game this weekend.
Ole Miss Over 8.5 Wins (9.25 Units to win 5.00 Units)--Good shape but it will be a grind.


Week One 39-42-1 -$383.70 (-15.35 Units)
Week Two 39-34-1 -$33.85 (-1.35 Units)
Week Three 33-24-1 +25.75 (+1.03 Units)
Week Four 27-28-2 -$192.40 (-7.69 Units)
Week Five 33-20-2 +$455.87 (+18.23 Units)

Overall: 171-148-7 -$128.13 (-5.13 Units)



0.2 Units (Season Record 23-28-0)


0.4 Units (Season Record 23-13-1)


0.6 Units (Season Record 21-13-0)


0.8 Units (Season Record 10-10-0)
Fresno State -3.0


1.0 Unit (Season Record 11-7-1)
Utah State +20.0


1.2 Units (Season Record 4-7-2)
Florida Atlantic +6.5

1.4 Units (Season Record 8-4-1)
Houston -2.5

1.6 Units (Season Record 8-5-0)


1.8 Units (Season Record 9-6-0)


2.0 Units (Season Record 6-6-1)


2.2 Units (Season Record 6-7-0)


2.4 Units (Season Record 5-4-0)

2.6 Units (Season Record 3-8-0)


2.8 Units (Season Record 5-9-0)


3.0 Units (Season Record 29-23-1)
Arizona +23.0
Louisville -1.0

 

[rochclone]

Thursday Plays:

Florida Atlantic -6.5 (1.2 Units)
Houston -2.5 (1.4 Units)
Arizona +23.0 (3.0 Units)--



4 team parlay:
FAU -6.5
Houston -2.5
Arizona +23.0
Louisville -1.0

0.2 Units to win 2.45 Units

 

[rochclone]

Quick thoughts on tonight's games:

FAU is an underrated team in my estimation. I think the QB Johnson is decent and the running game was adequate against similiar competiton. FIU's defense is solid but I find it difficult to see how they score more than 14 unless the Owls are turning the ball over alot. The Panthers were beneficiaries of plus six in turnovers last week against UAB. That won't be the case tonight.

Houston is the better squad. UCF is limited offensively averaging 299 yds per contest. Tough road contest for the Knights and their QB. Penn State threw all over that secondary and I suspect that Greenberry and O'Korn to have big days.

Arizona is a top play for me. I understand the revenge factor but the Wildcats will put up 31 at a minimum. If Oregon scores 54 I will tip my cap. Just don't see this Oregon in the same light as past Duck squads but they seem to be getting the same respect. Just not as explosive on the edges as they used to be.

 

[STEED]

GL as always this week

 

[HUNT]

Spot on that Oregon game. That team has very difficult time getting to edges. Great job.

 

[rochclone]

Friday Night:

Louisville -1.0 (3.0 Units)
Fresno State -3.0 (0.8 Units)
Utah State +20.0 (1.0 Unit)

GL

 

[Schrute]

Crush it this week Roch

 

[~Utah]

Kill it Roch

 

[rochclone]

0.2 Unit Plays
Ohio plus 4.0
UMASS plus 3.5
Buffalo plus 3.0
E. Michigan plus 25.0
MTSU -18.0
Idaho plus 17.0
Michigan plus 2.0
NC state plus 14.0
Western Kentucky -9.0

 

[rochclone]

0.4 Unit Plays
Vanderbilt plus 33.5
Georgia Tech -2.0
Pittsburgh plus 5.0
Marshall -17.5
Ul Lafayette -15.5
Colorado plus 6.5

 

[rochclone]

0.6 Unit Plays
Wake Forest plus 38.0
Kentucky plus 4.0
Ball State plus 2.5
UL Monroe plus 12.5

0.8 Unit Plays
North Texas plus 13.5
Rice -6.5
UNLV plus 10.5

 

[Play2win]

BOL Roch

 

[rochclone]

1.0 Unit Plays
Northwesten plus 8.0
Notre Dame plus 2.5

1.2 Unit Plays
Kansas plus 28.0
UNC plus 2.0

1.4 Unit Plays
Purdue plus 8.5

1.6 Unit Plays
Northern Illinois -24.5
Tennesse -2.5
Washington State -3.0

 

[rochclone]

1.8 Unit Plays
Cincy -3.5
Kansas State -14.5

2.0 Unit Plays
Ole Miss plus 4.5

2.2 Unit Plays
Auburn -7.5
New Mexico plus 17.0
Nevada plus 4.5

2.4 Unit Plays
UTEP plus 12.0

 

[RetroVK]

nice Friday night , roch .. gl today

 

[rochclone]

2.6 Unit Plays
Maryland plus 7.5
Georgia Southern -19.5

2.8 Unit Plays
Colorado State -17.5
Navy -3.5

3.0 Unit Plays
Baylor -16.5
Toledo -6.0
South Alabama -3.0
USC -11.5
Oklahoma -5.0
Iowa State plus 17.0
Miss. State -2.5
Utah plus 13.5
Michigan State -6.5