Rochclone Week One NCAAF

[rochclone]

Great to be back for Week One of College Football.

My technique is different than most but every game is wagered on and is placed on a 0.2 Unit to 3.0 Unit scale. Worked well for 4-5 years. Did not work so well last year.

Season Total Plays:
Utah Over 7.5 (+115) 3.2 Units to win 3.64 Units
WKU Over 7.5 (-160) 4.80 Units to win 3.00 Units
Iowa State Over 3.0 (-165) 6.60 Units to win 4.00 Units

 

[rochclone]

Thursday's Games:

5:00 p.m.
North Carolina +1.5 (0.6 Units)
UCF -11.5 (1.8 Units)

 

[rochclone]

6:00 p.m.

Oklahoma State -21.5 (2.2 Units)
Elon +27.0 (1.2 Units)
VMI +34.0 (0.8 Units)
Toledo -26.0 (0.4 Units)

 

[rochclone]

6:30-7:00 p.m.

Alcorn State +41.0 (0.4 Units)
Villanova -6.0 (3.0 Units)
Western Kentucky -2.5 (3.0 Units)
Utah -4.5 (3.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

8:00 p.m. to 12:00 a.m.

TCU -16.5 (2.4 Units)
Idaho +6.5 (0.6 Units)
Southern Utah +31.5 (0.2 Units)
Duke -7.0 (2.0 Units)
UTSA +31.5 (0.2 Units)
Nevada -23.5 (1.0 Units)
New Hampshire +6.5 (1.8 Units)
Abilene Christian +20.5 (0.2 Units)
Hawaii +7.0 (1.4 Units)

 

[rochclone]

5 team parlay:

Utah -4.5
Duke -7.0
Hawaii +7.0
WKU -2.5
Villanova -6.0

0.2 Units to win 4.82 Units

Gl to all tonight.

 

[rochclone]

Quick write-up on a couple:

WKU -2.5--Doughty is terrific and will be one of the best QB's that Vandy will see all year. This team won the last 5 to end the season and should continue to improve in Brohm's second year. Difficult to see how WKU won't score point with Leon Allen who averaged over 118 yds/game on the ground last year. Top two WR's return as well. The concern (see Bahamas Bowl) is WKU's defense. I'm just not sure how Vandy can exploit that defense consistently. Vandy returns 18 starters including Johnny McCrary at QB. However, he only completed 51% of his passes and had a 9/8 TD:INT ratio. Ralph Webb will get his yards on the ground but with the loss of CJ Duncan for the year the Commodore receivers are lacking. I think Vandy will struggle to keep in this one. WKU 38 Vandy 28


Utah -4.5--I think the Utes are a sleeper this year. Very solid defense last year and Whittingham has kept his defensive totals (yearly) under 400 yds for the last 7 years. The defense returns 7 starters from an unit that gave up only 24.9 pts per game last year. On the offensive side of the ball Utah has a capable QB in Travis Wilson and perhaps the best RB in the nation in Devontae Booker. This team doesn't beat themselves and Rice-Eccles should be electric tonight.

 

[Schrute]

GL tonight Roch

 

[rochclone]

Georgia State -8.5 (1.0 Unit)

 

[bull]

Great to see you, Roch. Turn on the win faucet today and tomorrow.
bull

 

[Timh]

BOL on the season Roch.

 

[rochclone]

Army -11.5 (0.2 Units) 13.5 (1.4 Units)
Syracuse -33.5 (1.0 Units)
Michigan State -17.0 (3.0 Units)
Baylor -36.5 (3.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Weber State plus 29.5 (0.4 Units)
Illinois -14.0 (2.8 Units)
Washington plus 12.5 (0.6 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Baylor 2H TT Over 24.5 (1.6 Units)

 

[rochclone]

11:00
Northwestern plus 10.0 (3.0 Units)
Georgia -35.0 (0.6 Units)
Kansas plus 1.0 (1.2 Units)
Rutgers -35.0 (0.2 Units)
Illinois State plus 10.0 (2.2 Units)
Maryland -21.0 (0.4 Units)
Ole Miss -41.5 (0.6 Units)
Navy -27.0 (1.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

11:30-12:00 pm
Clemson -34.5 (1.2 Units)
Youngstown State plus 15.0 (0.2 Units)
Maine plus 26.0 (1.0 Unit)

 

[rochclone]

1:00 pm

Portland State plus 30.5 (0.2 Units)
Illinois -12.0 (2.8 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Decent start to the day. A few big ones at 2:30
2:30 p.m-3:00 pm.
Arkansas -31.5 (1.0 Unit)
Auburn -10.0 (2.8 Units)
Virginia +17.5 (3.0 Units)
Texas Tech -13.5 (0.8 Units)
BYU +5.0 (3.0 Units)
Old Dominion -6.5 (2.6 Units)
Temple +6.0 (2.0 Units)
Rice -27.5 (0.4 Units)
FAU +3.0 (0.4 Units)
Air Force -34.5 (0.2 Units)
Buffalo -13.5 (1.6 Units)
Miami (Ohio_) -11.5 (1.2 Units)
Appalachain State -37.5 (1.8 Units)
Colorado State -51.0 (0.6 Units)
Wyoming -18.0 (1.0 Units)
Tennessee -22.0 (1.4 Units)
Indiana -19.5 (0.2 Units)
Missouri -42.5 (0.2 Units)

 

[rochclone]

4:30 -5:00 pm
California -43.0 (1.0 Unit)
Bethune-Cookman plus 39.5 (0.6 Units)
Towson plus 30.0 (0.2 Units)
South Alabama -23.0 (0.8 Units)
NC State -24.5 (3.0 Units)

 

[HUNT]

Gl roch

 

[rochclone]

Florida -34.5 (0.4 Units)
Arizona State plus 3.0 (1.0 Unit)
UNLV plus 22.0 (0.2 Units)
Oklahoma -31.0 (3.0 Units)
Louisana plus 16.5 (0.4 Units)
West Virginia -16.5 (0.8 Units)
Texas plus 9.0 (1.8 Units)
Florida State -28.0 (1.0 Unit)
Wisconsin plus 11.5 (0.8 Units)
Miss. State -20.5 (2.8 Units)
Arkansas State plus 27.5 (1.0 Unit)

 

[rochclone]

Louisiana Tech -39.5 (0.4 Units)
Florida AM plus 28.0 (0.2 Units)
Missouri State plus 24.0 (0.2 Units)
MTSU -38.5 (0.8 Units)
Cincy -46.5 (2.2 Units)
Kansas State -37.5 (1.6 Units)
LSU -38.0 (0.2 Units)
E. Wash plus 35.0 (0.2 Uniys)
Houston -37.0 (0.6 Units)
New Mexico -42.0 (0.8 Units)
SDSU -36.5 (0.6 Units)
Iowa state -10.0 (3.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Marshall -7.0 (2.6 Units)
Virginia Tech plus 14.0 (3.0 Units)