Rochclone Week 8 NCAAF

[rochclone]

Big week 7 and now back on the positive side of the ledger.


Week One 44-31-2 +$447.55 (+17.90 Units)
Week Two 40-35-1 -$81.35 (-3.25 Units)
Week Three 32-28-1 +$45.47 (+1.82 Units)
Week Four 26-30-2 -$294.05 (-11.76 Units)
Week Five 26-23-0 +$278.00 (+11.12 Units)
Week Six 25-30-0 -$653.75 (-26.15 Units)
Week Seven 31-20-0 +$561.05 (+22.44 Units)


Overall 222-197-6 52.94% +$302.92 (+12.11 Units)


Futures:

Alabama Over 10.5 Wins 4.64 Units to win 2.00 Units (6-0)--Difficult to see them losing two games at this point
Arkansas State Over 7.5 Wins 1.00 Units to win 1.35 Units (3-3) Will need a win at WKU or vs. Louisiana for a chance.
Army Over 4.5 Wins 3.45 Units to win 3.00 Units (3-4) Huge game this weekend against Temple.
California Under 4.5 Wins 1.15 Units to win 1.00 Units (1-5) Might get to three wins but this looks good.
Central Florida Over 8.5 Wins 1.00 Units to win 2.10 Units (4-1) Louisville, Houston and Rutgers...just need one of those for a W.
Florida Under 8.5 Wins 1.00 Units to win 1.30 Units (4-2) Georgia, at South Carolina, Florida State and at Missouri still left. Looking good here.
Florida Atlantic Under 3.5 Wins 1.30 Units to win 1.00 Units (2-5) Pretty much a certain loss. This team could go 6-6 could coaching job by Pelini.
Hawaii Under 3.5 Wins 1.10 Units to win 1.00 Units (0-6) Might be 2-3 wins but not seeing four at this point.
Iowa Under 5.5 Wins 1.00 Units to win 1.05 Units (4-2) Northwestern and Michigan games at home will be deciding factor
Iowa State Over 4.5 Wins 3.15 Units to win 3.00 Units (1-5) Pretty much a loss at this point.
Northern Illinois Over 9.5 Wins 5.40 Units to win 4.00 Units (6-0) Not sure how they could screw this up.
Pittsburgh Under 5.5 Wins 3.00 Units to win 3.90 Units (3-2) Likely a loss as I see 7-5 at this point.
Tulane Over 5.5 Wins 1.00 Units to win 1.20 Units (5-2) Utep at home, FAU on the road and UTSA on the road. Should be a W.
UNLV Under 4.5 Wins 3.00 Units to win 2.00 Units (4-2) Looking like a loss.
West Virginia Under 5.5 Wins 1.00 Units to win 1.75 Units (3-3) Need to get the Texas Tech win this weekend.
Buffalo Over 5.5 Wins 2.10 Units to win 2.00 Units (4-2) Should be a W if they can beet UMASS and Miami (Ohio)
UCONN Under 5.5 Wins 6.00 Units to win 6.90 Units (0-5) at UCF, Louisville, Rutgers. Not sure how this could go wrong.

 

[rochclone]

Tuesday night game:

Western Kentucky is going to establish the run with Andrews. This team knows their identity as they have rushed 220 times this year for 1355 yds (6.16 yds per carry) and averages over 36 rushing attempts per game. ULL is giving up 4.7 yds per carry on defense. Western Kentucky has a revenge angle from last year and quite frankly I don't trust T. Broadway in any spot...let alone a Sun Belt championship tilt. The key issue as always when a person bets the Hilltoppers is turnovers. WKU has turned the ball over 18 times in 6 games. However over the last two contests they have only turned it over 3 times. If WKU has zero or one turnover in this game then I think they win comfortably. Looking at a 35-27 type of game.

The Play:

Western Kentucky -3.0 (2.8 Units)

Gl to all this week.

 

[Reds4]

Nice bounce back week Rochclone. Good luck this week!

 

[rochclone]

0.2 Unit Plays
Purdue +27.5--Won
Navy +8.0--Won
Minnesota +12.0--Won
Florida -3.0--Loss
Northern Illinois -16.0
Duke +2.0
Kansas +23.5
Colorado -21.5--Won
Clemson plus 4.5


0.4 Unit Plays
Colorado State +7.0
Auburn plus 13.5
Old Dominion plus 17.0
UNLV plus 25.5


0.6 Unit Plays
Memphis -4.0--Loss
New Mexico plus 13.0


0.8 Unit Plays
Syracuse +7.0--Loss
Buffalo -20.5
Houston plus 9.5
Georgia State plus 16.5
Boise State -24.5

1.0 Unit Plays
Ohio -17.0--Won
Akron -7.0--Push
Wisconsin -14.0

 

[rochclone]

1.2 Unit Plays
Ohio State -17.0 (0.6) -18.0 (0.6)
Washington State plus 39.0

1.4 Unit Plays
USC plus 3.0

1.6 Unit Plays
Ball State -19.5

1.8 Unit Plays
Wake Forest plus 5.0


2.0 Unit Plays
Texas Tech -5.5--Won
UCLA plus 4.0
Alabama -29.0

2.2 Unit Plays
Uconn +14.0--Loss


2.4 Unit Plays
ECU -22.0--Won
Vanderbilt +7.5--Won

2.6 Unit Plays
South Carolina -7.0 (1.4) -7.5 (1.2)
--Loss
2.8 Unit Plays
Western Kentucky -3.0--Loss
Army +2.5--Loss
Utah plus 3.5

 

[rochclone]

3.0 Unit Plays
Miami (Fla) -9.5--Loss
UCF +12.0--Won
TCU +7.5--Loss
Kent State +6.5
Indiana +7.5
North Texas -3.5
Washington plus 3.0
Ole Miss plus 10.0
Iowa State plus 33.5
Rice -18.0
Oregon State -11.0

Plenty more to add and will be adding throughout the day on Saturday.

 

[mrob]

gl buddy I think you are dead nuts on with many of those

 

[Streakin]

Win money, roch

 

[Marlo]

get it Roch

 

[Silkydiamonds]

Good luck today Roch

 

[dilaudid8]

roch keep up the great work bol

 

[rochclone]

Thanks fellas.

Some additions:
Auburn plus 13.5 (0.4 Units)
South Carolina -7.5 (1.2 Units)--now a 2.6 Unit play
Wake Forest plus 5.0 (1.8 Units)
Ohio State -18.0 (0.6 Units) now a 1.2 Unit play.

Be back later. UCLA and North Texas will be 3.0 Unit plays.

 

[rochclone]

Colorado -21.5 (0.2 Units)

 

[bull]

GL Roch I like those 3 unit plays

 

[rochclone]

UCLA plus 4.0 )2.0 units
North Texas -3.5 (3.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Adding:
Washington plus 3.0 (3.0 Units)
Alabama -29.0 (2.0 Units)
Ole Miss plus 10.0 (3.0 Units)
Iowa State plus 33.5 (3.0 Units)
Georgia State plus 16.5 (0.8 Units)
Old Dominon plus 17.0 (0.4 Units)

 

[rochclone]

USC plus 3.0 (1.4 Units)
Clemson plus 4.5 (0.2 Unit)
Boise State -24.5 (0.8 Units)
Wisconsin -14.0 (1.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Final Adds:
UNLV plus 25.5 (0.4 Units)
New Mexico plus 13.0 (0.6 Units)
Washington State plus 39.0 (1.2units)
Utah plus 3.5 (2.8 Units)
Rice -18.0 (3.0 Units)
Oregon State -11.0 (3.0 Units)

 

[Streakin]

Really want to add piss and beavers. GL