Rochclone Week 5 NCAAF

[rochclone]

One of the worst weeks of my capping career and the units lost in comparison to w/l record makes me sick. Need to keep grinding and stay the course. Luckily NFL and Baseball have kept me afloat.

Season Win Totals:

Idaho Over 4.5 Wins (1.05 Units to win 1.00 Units)--Looks a little better after the win against UNLV
New Mexico Over 7.0 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.50 Units)--Must win against SJSU but quite frankly I would take a push
Cincy Over 7.5 Wins (2.84 Units to win 2.40 Units)--A win against USF would go a long way.
San Diego State Over 9.5 Wins (4.86 Units to win 3.40 Units)--Should be a W.
Iowa State Over 3.5 Wins (5.40 Units to win 4.00 Units)--Still think there is a chance here but will need an upset with Tech & W. Virginia late in the season.

Week Zero 2-0-0 (+3.80 Units)
Week One 51-41-3 (+2.60 Units)
Week Two 34-38-2 (-17.51 Units)
Week Three 35-26-3 (+0.45 Units)
Week Four 23-35-4 (-32.28 Units)

Overall: 144-140-13 (-$1,023.45) (-42.93 Units)


0.2 Unit Plays (Season Record 23-14-3)
Auburn -32.5
UNC +10.5
Illinois +20.0

0.4 Unit Plays (Season Record 14-15-1)
Virginia +4.0
South Carolina +17.5


0.6 Unit Plays (Season Record 14-10-1)
Ohio State -38.0
Temple -13.0
NIU +4.0

0.8 Unit Plays (Season Record 8-7-1)
Northwestern +13.0
E. Michigan +2.0
Wake Forest +11.5
Akron -7.0


1.0 Unit Plays (Season Record 9-8-2)
Toledo +3.5
Georgia Tech +7.5
Applachain State -19.0

1.2 Unit Plays (Season Record 6-5-0)
Kansas TT Over 25.5--Loss
Colorado -19.0


1.4 Unit Plays (Season Record 6-8-0)
Purdue +10.5

1.6 Unit Plays (Season Record 7-5-1)
Florida -10.0
UMASS +2.5
San Jose State +11.0


1.8 Unit Plays (Season Record 5-9-0)

2.0 Unit Plays (Season Record 3-7-0)
Toledo TT Over 23.5
Buffalo +19.0
Navy +7.0
Minnesota +2.5

2.2 Unit Plays (Season Record 2-7-0)
Kansas +28.0--Loss



2.4 Unit Plays (Season Record 8-3-0)
Ohio -3.0


2.6 Unit Plays (Season Record 6-6-1)


2.8 Unit Plays (Season Record 6-5-0)
UCONN +28.0--PUSH
ECU -3.0
TCU +3.5


3.0 Unit Plays (Season Record 27-31-3)
Washington -3.5
Syracuse +10.0
Iowa State +17.0
Texas +2.5
Tennessee -4.0
Michigan -11.0
Kansas State +3.0
Troy -14.0
Old Dominion -8.5
California -2.5
Ole Miss -14.5
Alabama -35.0

 

[rochclone]

Thursday's Plays:

Kansas +28.0 (2.2 Units)--Kansas was -6 in Turnovers two weeks ago at Memphis but defensively they actually performed alright. 5 sacks and when you look at the defense they have average to below average. Certainly a different beast with Mahomes and Tech this evening but the Tech defense is atrocious. Kansas will be able to run the ball tonight. The o-line was better against Memphis and the staff knows that ball control is the only way they can keep this game competitive. Tech is going to give up at least 24-28 points and therefore they will need to score 52+ to cover. They might but I think KU shortens the clock and this is a 49-27 type of game.

Kansas TT Over 25.5 (1.2 Units)


UConn +28.0 (2.8 Units)--I have made some money on Houston the last couple weeks and I certainly understand the revenge angle. However when you look at the history and the total for the game it is difficult to play Houston in this spot. UConn defense is fairly salty and I suspect they will be able to come up with a handful of stops. I can't see Houston scoring 35+ against this defense as they have only given up that amount once in the last 17 game. I think this is a 34-14 type of game and I think Houston might float through this one a little bit. I would not be surprise if Newsome has a little bit of success on the ground although the Cougars rushing defense is ridiculous averaging 37 rushing yards per game.

Best of luck to the dogs tonight but follow at your own risk as I'm clearly not seeing things as well as I would hope.

 

[bull]

Good luck, mr roch. Both games the type I usually avoid.

 

[rochclone]

Washington -3.5 (3.0 Units)
Toledo +3.5 (1.0 Unit)
Toledo TT over 23.5 (2.0 Units)

 

[Play2win]

Washington -3.5 (3.0 Units)
Toledo +3.5 (1.0 Unit)
Toledo TT over 23.5 (2.0 Units)

I like :cheers3:
GL this weekend

 

[rochclone]

Sat 11:00-5:00 p.m. games

0.2 Units
Auburn -32.5
UNC +10.5
Illinois +20.0

0.4 Units
Virginia +4.0
South Carolina +17.5

0.6 Units
Ohio State -38.0
Temple -13.0
N. Illinois +4.0

0.8 Units
Northwestern +13.0
E. Michigan +2.0
Wake Forest +11.5
Akron -7.0

1.0 Unit
Georgia Tech +7.5
Appy State -19.0


1.2 Units
Colorado -19.0

1.4 Units
Purdue +10.5

1.6 Units
Florida -10.0
UMASS +2.5
San Jose State +11.0

1.8 Units
None

2.0 Units
Buffalo +19.0
Navy +7.0
Minnesota +2.5


2.2 Units
None

2.4 Units
Ohio -3.0

2.6 Units
None

2.8 Units
ECU -3.0
TCU +3.5


3.0 Units
Syracuse +10.0
Iowa State +17.0
Texas +2.5
Tennesse -4.0
Michigan -11.0
Kansas State +3.0
Troy -14.0
Old Dominion -8.5
California -2.5
Ole Miss -14.5
Alabama -35.0


Will add crossover and Team Totals throughout the day as well as the 6:00 p.m.-11:00 p.m. games

 

[rochclone]

Alcorn State +50.5 (0.2 Units)
Syracuse TT Over 31.5 (3,0 Units)
Iowa State TT Over 23.0 (1.0 Unit)
Houston Baptist +51.5 (0.4 Units)
Incarnate World +15.5 (2.8 Uniys)

 

[rochclone]

Old DominonTT Over 34.0 (1.2 Units)
TCU TT Over 31.5 (1.6 Units)
Troy TT Over 36.5 (2.6 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Marshall +17.0 (1,8 Units)
Ole Miss TT Over 43.5 (1,8 Units)
Cincy +7.5 (2.6 Units)
MTSU -17.5 (1.4 Units)
UTEP +22.0 (1.2 Units)
FAU -3.0 (3.0 Units)
Western Michigan -3.0 (3.0 Units)
WMU TT Over 31.5 (1.2 Units)
Southern Miss -26.0 (2.6 Units)
Arizona State +9.5 (0.8 Units)
Indiana +5.5 (0.4 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Missouri +11.5 (3.0 Units)
San Diego State -19.0 (1.4 Units)
New Mexico State +5.0 (0.2 Units)
Clemson +1.0 (2.2 Uniys)
Washington State +1.5 (3.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Colorado State -5.5 (0.8 Uniys)
Utah State +23.5 (1.6 Units)
Fresno State +9.0 (2.2 Units)
Nevada -3.5 (1.8 Units)
Arizona +12.0 (3.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Arizona TT Over 23.5 (3.0 Units)
Clemson 2H +2.5 (3.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Colorado State 2h -4.0 (5.0 Ubits)