Rochclone Week 5 NCAAF

[rochclone]

Futures:

Washington State Under 5.5 Wins (1.00 Units to win 1.10 Units)--Good start looks like a W.
Kentucky Over 3.5 Wins (1.65 Units to win 1.00 Units)--Likewise a good start should be a W.
Indiana Over 5.5 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.30 Units)--Looking a lot better.
Michigan State Over 9.5 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.00 Units)--Time will tell.
North Carolina Over 8.5 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.90 Units)--Done.
Iowa State Over 3.5 Wins (2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units)--Will come down to the last couple weeks.
Washington Over 9.5 Wins (3.00 Units to win 4.80 Units)--Starting to look better.
Cincy Over 8.5 Wins (4.40 Units to win 4.00 Units)--Like this play.
Buffalo Over 6.5 Wins (4.00 Units to win 4.80 Units)--Trouble.
Ole Miss Over 8.5 Wins (9.25 Units to win 5.00 Units)--Good shape but it will be a grind.



Week One 39-42-1 -$383.70 (-15.35 Units)
Week Two 39-34-1 -$33.85 (-1.35 Units)
Week Three 33-24-1 +25.75 (+1.03 Units)
Week Four 27-28-2 -$192.40 (-7.69 Units)

Overall: 138-128-5 -$584.20 (-23.37 Units)


0.2 Units (Season Record 17-24-0)
Kansas State -27.0
Indiana -3.5
Akron +20.0
Buffalo -6.5
Auburn -32.0
UNC +14.5


0.4 Units (Season Record 20-12-1)
Tennessee +17.0
Louisville -21.0
NC State +18.0
Colorado +14.5


0.6 Units (Season Record 19-10-0)
Tulane +11.5
South Florida +34.5
UAB -17.0
Washington +7.5
E. Illinois plus 8.0


0.8 Units (Season Record 9-8-0)
Kentucky -17.0
Navy -7.0


1.0 Unit (Season Record 10-7-1)
FAU +5.5

1.2 Units (Season Record 3-6-1)
MTSU +3.5
New Mexico +4.5 (0.6 Units) +5.0 (0.6 Units)


1.4 Units (Season Record 6-4-1)
Georgia Southern -17.5--WON
TCU -32.0


1.6 Units (Season Record 5-5-0)
Northwestern +9.5

1.8 Units (Season Record 8-5-0)
Missouri +4.5


2.0 Units (Season Record 5-5-1)

2.2 Units (Season Record 4-6-0)
Virginia Tech -21.0
Yale plus 14.5

2.4 Units (Season Record 4-4-0)
Iowa -9.5

2.6 Units (Season Record 2-7-0)
Texas -12.0

2.8 Units (Season Record 3-8-0)
South Alabama -4.0


3.0 Units (Season Record 23-19-0)
Oklahoma State -14.0--LOSS
Arizona State +3.0--LOSS
Michigan State -27.5
Colorado State +9.0
Bowling Green -5.0
Minnesota +13.0
Virginia -27.5
Texas A&M -8.5
Temple -5.5
Cincy +17.0

 

[rochclone]

Thurs/Friday Plays

Georgia Southern -17.5 (1.4 Units)
Oklahoma State -14.0 (3.0 Units)
Arizona State +3.0 (3.0 Units)
New Mexico +4.5 (0.6 Units)
Middle Tenn. State +3.5 (1.2 Units)


4 team parlay:
G. Southern -17.0
OSU -14.0
Arizona State ML
MTSU ML

0.2 Units to win 4.00 Units

Gl to all tonight.

 

[Frank Costanza]

Baylor thoughts?

 

[rochclone]

I will have Iowa State put for less than a Unit. Likely to fall within the .6 or .8 Unit range. Baylor is a different beast on the road in conference play. I think Baylor is 3-11 ATS on grass under Briles. Don't hold me to that number but I remember reading something like that this week. Fairly certain that the Baylor boys aren't too concerned about Iowa State after the beatdown they gave to us last year. I would expect a 45-28 type of game.

 

[rochclone]

Added another .6 Units on New Mexico +5.0 to make that a 1.2 Unit game tonight. Changes have been made above.

11:00 a.m.-2:00 p.m.
Tennessee +17.0 (0.4 Units)
Kentucky -17.0 (0.8 Units)
Michigan State -27.5 (3.0 Units)
Northwestern +9.5 (1.6 Units)
Iowa -9.5 (2.4 Units)
Tulane +11.5 (0.6 Units)
Kansas State -27.0 (0.2 Units)
TCU -32.0 (1.4 Units)
South Florida +34.5 (0.6 Units)
Colorado State +9.0 (3.0 Units)
Virginia Tech -21.0 (2.2 Units)
Indiana -3.5 (0.2 Units)
Akron +20.0 (0.2 Units)
Bowling Green -5.0 (3.0 Units)

 

[rochclone]

2:30 p.m.-3:30 p.m.
Buffalo -6.5 (0.2 Units)
Louisville -21.0 (0.4 Units)
Minnesota +13.0 (3.0 Units)
NC State +18.0 (0.4 Units)
Virginia -27.5 (3.0 Units)
Texas A&M -8.5 (3.0 Units)
UAB -17.0 (0.6 Units)
Navy -7.0 (0.8 Units)
Temple -5.5 (3.0 Units)
Auburn -32.0 (0.2 Units)
Texas -12.0 (2.6 Units)
Colorado +14.5 (0.4 Units)
Washington +7.5 (0.6 Units)

 

[rochclone]

4:00 p.m.-6:00 p.m.
FAU +5.5 (1.0 Unit)
South Alabama -4.0 (2.8 Units)
Cincy +17.0 (3.0 Units)
UNC +14.5 (0.2 Units)
Missouri +4.5 (1.8 Units)

 

[bull]

As one who plays more games than most, I always check your thread b4 making any of my FBS plays. I like to see who you pick and the value you place on them - although I don't adopt that betting strategy for myself. Thanks for posting, Mr Roch. :cigarguy:

And , of course, GOOD LUCK.

 

[Schrute]

GL this week Roch

Crush the card

 

[~Utah]

big card..GL!

 

[rochclone]

E. Illinois plus 8.0 (0.6 Units)
Yale plus 14.5 (2.2 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Thanks Alex. It is always a big card for me. The last three years have been very good but a tough start to this one.

 

[rochclone]

Toledo -12.0 (0.8 Units)
Rice -9.0 (1.6 Units)
uL-Monroe -14.0 (2.0 Units)
Boise State -13.0 (2.8 Units)

 

[rochclone]

New Mexico State plus 42.0 (0.2 Units)
Ole Miss -20.5 (0.2 Units)
Duke plus 5.0 (2.6 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Iowa State plus 21.0 (1.2 Units)
Texas State plus 3.0 (0.2 Units)
Notre Dame -9.0 (3.0 Units)
USC -7.5 (2.8 Units)
Utah -14.0 (1.8 Units)
Nebraska -21.0 (1.6 Units)
UNLV plus 18.0 (0.2 Units)
Nevada -6.5 (2.0 Units$

 

[Coolslaw1]

With on Tx St and Irish...BOL tonight





View attachment 37021



Thats a bad day

 

[rochclone]

Iowa State 2H Over 10.5 (2.2 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Finally, the week I have been looking for: 35-18-2 and up a little over 17 units this week.