Rochclone Week 11 NCAAF

rochclone

Pretty much a regular
Terrible Week 10. Will need about 2-3 good weeks to dig out of that one. Especially disappointing since I had just scraped my way back to even. On a positive note I have two future winners out of the 3 plays and the last play (Iowa State) is currently a push.

Tuesday Night:

Ohio-6.5 (1.2 Units)
Toledo -3.0 (2.8 Units)
 
Wednesday Night:

Northern Illinois -7.0 (3.0 Units)
Western Michigan TT Over 34.5 (1.4 Units)
Western Michigan +3.0 (3.0 Units)

I'm going to be opposite a ton of people that I respect on this board tonight but I really feel like Western Michigan is going to win this game. Lots of respect for Matt Johnson and that Falcon offense. And of course I think they will be able to move the ball against WMU...as they have moved the ball against everyone this year. However, I think WMU slows this game down a little bit with their run game. Franklin and Bogan are averaging 5+ yards per carry on the year. Zach Terrell may not have the same TD/INT ratio as Johnson but he is a gamer. And similar to the effect that Northern Illinois has on Toledo......WMU has simply owned the Falcons over the years including holding the Falcons to under 300 yards of total offense last year.

HFA, National TV, underdog role and the history of beating the Falcons is enough to convince me that WMU is the play this evening. Prediction: WMU 41 Bowling Green 34
 
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Thursday Night:

Georgia Tech -2.5 (0.6 Units)
UL Lafayette +2.5 (2.6 Units)
UL Lafayette TT Over 28.5 (3.0 Units)
 
Futures:

Utah Over 7.5 Wins 3.20 Units to win 3.68 Units --Win
Western Kentucky Over 7.5 Wins 4.80 Units to win 3.00 Units --Win
Iowa State Over 3.0 Wins 6.60 Units to win 4.00 Units --Sitting on a push



Week One 46-37-1 (-$219.65) (-8.78 Units)
Week Two 42-34-0 (+$122.45) (+4.89 Units)
Week Three 24-25-2 (-$9.85) (-0.39 Units)
Week Four 33-27-2 (-$119.35) (-4.77 Units)
Week Five 38-24-2 (+$642.75) (+25.71 Units)
Week Six 32-29-3 (-$457.10)(-18.28 Units)
Week Seven 28-33-1 (-$370.98) (-14.84 Units)
Week Eight 32-34-0 (-$174.55) (-6.98 Units)
Week Nine 35-26-0 (+$534.91) (+21.39 Units)
Week Ten 31-45-1 (-$1,089.00) (-43.56 Units)

Overall: 341-314-12 (-$1,140.37) (-45.61 Units)​
 
0.2 Unit Plays (Season Record 46-39-0)
Michigan State -15.0
North Texas +41.0
UMASS -7.0
FIU +12.0
Rutgers +8.5
SMU +21.5
UNLV +7.5
Fresno State +5.0


0.4 Unit Plays (Season Record 27-30-2)
South Carolina +7.5
Northwestern -16.0
Akron -7.0
Syracuse +28.0
BYU -7.0

0.6 Unit Plays (Season Record 35-24-2)
Georgia Tech -2.5--Loss
Texas +8.5
Arkansas State -14.5
Notre Dame -26.5
Idaho +19.0
 
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0.8 Unit Plays (Season Record 18-16-0)
Ohio State -16.0
Texas State -2.5
Cincy -18.5

1.0 Unit Plays (Season Record 25-20-0)
UTEP +6.0
UTSA -3.5
New Mexico +30.5
Washington State +10.0

1.2 Unit Plays (Season Record 16-17-1)
Ohio -6.5--Win
UL Lafayette 2H TT Over 13.5--Win
Kansas +45.0
Air Force +1.0
Arkansas +7.0

1.4 Unit Plays (Season Record 18-12-0)
Western Michigan TT Over 34.5--Loss
Colorado +16.5
Vanderbilt -3.5
 
1.6 Unit Plays (Season Record 14-14-0)
Tulane +2.5

1.8 Unit Plays (Season Record 13-17-1)
Stanford -10.0

2.0 Unit Plays (Season Record 14-9-0)
NC State +9.5

2.2 Unit Plays (Season Record 8-21-1)
Michigan -13.0
San Diego State -24.5

2.4 Unit Plays (Season Record 10-17-0)
Washington +2.5
Nevada -1.0

2.6 Unit Plays (Season Record 9-10-0)
UL Lafayette +2.5--Loss
Duke -2.5
FAU +6.0
Minnesota +12.0

2.8 Unit Plays (Season Record 11-9-0)
Toledo -3.0--Win
Alabama -7.5
 
3.0 Unit Plays (Season Record 76-64-5)
Northern Illinois -7.0--Win
Western Michigan +3.0--Loss
UL Lafayette TT over 28.5--Loss
Auburn -1.0
Virginia +13.5
UNC -12.5
Iowa State +14.0
Southern Miss -7.5
Troy +6.0
Houston -7.0
Temple -2.5
Baylor -2.5
Utah -6.0
California -21.5
Texas Tech -5.5
 
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Texas Tech TT over 38.5 (1.0 Unit)
North Carolina TT over 41.0 (1.4 Units)
Iowa State TT Over 23.0 (3.0 Units)
Troy TT Over 26.0 (2.4 Units)
 
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