Rochclone NCAAF Week Four

[rochclone]

Week 3 was profitable but at 33-24-1 it should have produced much more than a unit in profit.

Futures:

Washington State Under 5.5 Wins (1.00 Units to win 1.10 Units)--Good start looks like a W.
Kentucky Over 3.5 Wins (1.65 Units to win 1.00 Units)--Likewise a good start should be a W.
Indiana Over 5.5 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.30 Units)--Likely a L.
Michigan State Over 9.5 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.00 Units)--Time will tell.
North Carolina Over 8.5 Wins (2.00 Units to win 2.90 Units)--A win this week would be huge.
Iowa State Over 3.5 Wins (2.80 Units to win 2.00 Units)--Will come down to the last couple weeks.
Washington Over 9.5 Wins (3.00 Units to win 4.80 Units)--Starting to look better.
Cincy Over 8.5 Wins (4.40 Units to win 4.00 Units)--Like this play.
Buffalo Over 6.5 Wins (4.00 Units to win 4.80 Units)--Trouble.
Ole Miss Over 8.5 Wins (9.25 Units to win 5.00 Units)--Good shape but it will be a grind.



Week One 39-42-1 -$383.70 (-15.35 Units)
Week Two 39-34-1 -$33.85 (-1.35 Units)
Week Three 33-24-1 +25.75 (+1.03 Units)

Overall: 111-100-3 -($391.80) (-15.67 Units)


0.2 Units (Season Record 15-18-0)
Tulane +17.0
Louisville -27.0
Toledo -14.0
Troy plus 41.5



0.4 Units (Season Record 16-9-1)
Akron +9.0
E. Michigan +45.5
North Carolina +3.0
Miami (Ohio) +28.5


0.6 Units (Season Record 14-9-0)
Georgia Tech +7.5
UMASS +27.5
Kansas -3.5
Texas A&M -33.5
Georgia State +34.5


0.8 Units (Season Record 7-8-0)
Idaho +14.0
Oklahoma -7.5

1.0 Units (Season Record 8-4-1)
Syracuse -2.5
Texas State +13.0
Utah State +2.5


1.2 Units (Season Record 3-4-1)
Bowling Green +27.0
Florida +14.0

1.4 Units (Season Record 6-3-0)
Colorado -9.0
Northern Illinois +13.5

1.6 Units (Season Record 4-4-0)
Army -2.5


1.8 Units (Season Record 6-3-0)
UConn +2.0 (1.2 Units) +1.5 (0.6 Units)
Minnesota -10.0
South Alabama +3.0

2.0 Units (Season Record 3-5-0)
Utah +3.5
Southern Miss -1.0

2.2 Units (Season Record 3-6-0)
Kansas State +7.0--WIN
Iowa +6.5


2.4 Units (Season Record 3-4-0)


2.6 Units (Season Record 2-5-0)


2.8 Units (Season Record 3-6-0)
South Carolina -21.5
Navy -6.5


3.0 Units (Season Record 18-14-0)
Mississippi State +9.0
Middle Tenn State +12.0
Florida Atlantic +4.0
Missouri -13.5
Virginia +14.5
Rice -6.0

 

[rochclone]

Kansas State +7.0 (2.2 Units)

 

[mrob]

nice hit

 

[rochclone]

Good start to the week. Here are the plays up until 7:00 p.m. CST and excluding FBS v. FCS matchups which I will post tomorrow when the lines at Heritage become available.


0.2 Units
Tulane +17.0
Louisville -27.0
Toledo -14.0


0.4 Units
Akron +9.0
E. Michigan +45.5
North Carolina +3.0
Miami (Ohio) +28.5


0.6 Units
Georgia Tech +7.5
UMASS +27.5
Kansas -3.5
Texas A&M -33.5
Georgia State +34.5

 

[rochclone]

0.8 Units
Idaho +14.0
Oklahoma -7.5

1.0 Unit
Syracuse -2.5
Texas State +13.0
Utah State +2.5

1.2 Units
Bowling Green +27.0
Florida +14.0


1.4 Units
Colorado -9.0
Northern Illinois +13.5

1.6 Units
Army -2.5

1.8 Units
UConn +2.0 (1.2 Units) +1.5 (0.6 Units)
Minnesota -10.0
South Alabama +3.0

 

[rochclone]

2.0 Units
Utah +3.5
Southern Miss -1.0

2.2 Units
Iowa +6.5

2.4 Units
None

2.6 Units
None

2.8 Units
South Carolina -21.5
Navy -6.5


3.0 Units
Mississippi State +9.0
Middle Tenn State +12.0
Florida Atlantic +4.0
Missouri -13.5
Virginia +14.5
Rice -6.0

 

[rochclone]

Parlay fun:

UConn ML
Bowling Green +27.0
E. Michigan +45.5
Rice -6.0

0.2 Units to win 2.58 Units

5 team
South Carolina -21.5
Middle Tenn State +12.0
Miss. State +9.0
Utah State ML +120
Arizona -8.0

0.2 Units to win 5.64 Units

6 team
Missouri -13.5
Army -2.5
Minnesota -10.0
Utah ML +150
FAU ML +155
Virginia +14.5

0.2 Units to win 16.73 Units


15 team
Missouri -10.0
Army -3.0
Utah ML +150
South Carolina -23.5
FAU ML +155
Middle Tenn State +10.0
South Alabama ML +125
Houston -21.0
Washington State +31.0
Virginia +17.0
Rice -3.0
San Diego State +7.0
Mississippi State +9.0
Nebraska -7.0
Arizona -6.0

0.2 Units to win 3,401.32 Units

 

[rochclone]

As far as late games are concerned should be heavily involved in the following: Houston, Nebraska, Arizona, San Diego State and Southern Utah.

I like North Texas and La Tech in the FBS/FCS match-ups. Good luck to all.

 

[bull]

roch - That Southern Utah team has my money, too. Passing on the other three.

LOL maybe you'll agree with me that the WKU-MTSU play last week deserved no more than .02 worth in your hierarchy.
I thought of you as those OTs kept rolling along.
Glad you picked the right side.
GL tomorrow.
bull

 

[rochclone]

Western Illinois plus 24.5 (0.6 Units)
Purdue -3.0 (0.4 Units)

 

[HUNT]

gl roch

 

[rochclone]

Maine plus 23.0 (0.2 Units)
Temple -39.0 (1.0 Unit)

 

[rochclone]

North Texas -35.5 (3.0 Units)

 

[B.A.R.]

Gl on your plays bud...

 

[rochclone]

NC State -39.0 (1.6 Units)
Buffalo -23.0 (0.4 Units)
Bethune-Cookman plus 27.0 (0.2 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Louisiana Tech -23.0 (2.6 Units)
Western Michigan 12.5 (0.4 Units)
New Mexico State plus 4.0 (0.2 Units)
Houston -21.0 (2.4 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Last ones:

Washington State plus 23.5 (1.8 Units)
Florida State -10.5 (1.0 Unit)
San Diego State plus 10.0 (2.6 Units)
Nebraska -8.0 (3.0 Units)
Arizona -8.0 (3.0 Units)
UL Lafayette plus 18.5 (0.5 Units)
Southern Utah plus 17.5 (3.0 Units)