Rochclone NCAAF Week 4

[rochclone]

Futures:

Utah Over 7.5 Wins 3.20 Units to win 3.68 Units 3-0 and thinking I'm in good shape on this one. Pac-12 is tough and long way to go.

Western Kentucky Over 7.5 Wins 4.80 Units to win 3.00 Units 2-1 and still liking my position.....the loss of Leon Allen is a major issue.

Iowa State Over 3.0 Wins 6.60 Units to win 4.00 Units 1-2 nothing short of unbelievable. 32 yd FG miss at the end of the regulation or else they are 2-1. Win against KU and then will need another for a push.



Week One 46-37-1 (-$219.65) (-8.78 Units)
Week Two 42-34-0 (+$122.45) (+4.89 Units)
Week Three 24-25-2 (-$9.85) (-0.39 Units)

Overall: 112-96-3 53.79% (-$107.05) (-4.28 Units)


0.2 Unit Plays (Season Record 18-13-0)
Stanford -15.5
Kansas +14.0
UCF +15.0
West Virginia -16.5

0.4 Unit Plays (Season Record 10-7-1)


0.6 Unit Plays (Season Record 11-10-0)
LSU -24.5
FIU +14.0
New Mexico -3.5
Memphis TT Over 39.0--Win


0.8 Unit Plays (Season Record 6-6-0)
Northern Illinois +4.5


1.0 Unit Plays (Season Record 10-7-0)
Southern Miss +22.0

1.2 Unit Plays (Season Record 6-5-1)
Navy -7.0


1.4 Unit Plays (Season Record 8-3-0)
Central Michigan +26.5

1.6 Unit Plays (Season Record 7-2-0)

1.8 Unit Plays (Season Record 3-6-0)
Georgia Tech -7.5

2.0 Unit Plays (Season Record 4-3-0)
Indiana -3.5

2.2 Unit Plays (Season Record 3-10-0)

2.4 Unit Plays (Season Record 1-3-0)

2.6 Unit Plays (Season Record 3-2-0)

2.8 Unit Plays (Season Record 3-4-0)
Boise State -2.5 (2.6 Units) -1.0 (0.2 Units)

3.0 Unit Plays (Season Record 19-15-1)
Memphis -7.5--Loss
BYU +5.0
Bowling Green -2.5
Rice +34.5

 

[Play2win]

Agree Memphis, GL Roch

 

[rochclone]

Thursday Night Play:

Memphis -7.5 (3.0 Units)--Top unit play tonight and despite the money coming in on G. Kiel and the Bearcats I think Memphis is going to take the Bearcats to the woodshed. Memphis is an extremely experienced offense and it has shown through the first three games. Lesser competition against Missouri State and Kansas but against Bowling Green last weekend they came back from down 10 points; holding Bowling Green scoreless on their last three possessions. Paxton Lynch has completed over 75% of his passes and has a 6:0 TD/INT ratio. The offense is averaging 54 points and 570 yards per game. The defense is rebuilt this year and although they have given up yards they have done a nice job of getting stops when necessary. 354 yards per game and 24 points per game for the Memphis defense. The offense puts up so many points this year that eventually the defense is able capitalize as the opposition starts to take chances.

Cincy will apparently have Gunner Kiel tonight. I quite frankly don't think it matters. Kiel has had a nice completion pct. but has thrown 4 INTS in 2.5 games. Certainly Kiel getting knocked out of the Miami (Ohio) game must be taken into consideration but Cincy was struggling before he was hurt. At the time he was injured Cincy was up 24-23 in the 3rd quarter. Bottom line is that the Bearcats have not done a good job of taking care of the ball...-8 in Turnovers this year. The defense is going to struggle mightily against the accuracy of Paxton and the memories of 41-14 from last year have to be in the back of the Bearcats. I love Justin Fuentes and think he is going to be a great...not good...but great P5 coach someday. Add in the fact that Kiel is probably 80% at best and I think this will be an absolute blood bath.

Memphis 48 Cincy 24

Memphis Over 39.0 (0.6 Unit)

 

[rochclone]

Friday Plays:
Boise State -2.5 (2.6 Units) -1.0 (0.2 Units)
Stanford -15.5 (0.2 Units)

Saturday a.m. plays (11:00 a.m.-2:00 p.m)

Navy -7.0 (1.2 Units)
Georgia Tech -7.5 (1.8 Units)
BYU +5.0 (3.0 Units)
Central Michigan +26.5 (1.4 Units)
Bowling Green -2.5 (3.0 Units)
Kansas +14.0 (0.2 Units)
UCF +15.0 (0.2 Units)
LSU -24.5 (0.6 Units)
Southern Miss +22.0 (1.0 Units)
Indiana -3.5 (2.0 Units)
Northern Illinois +4.5 (0.8 Units)
FIU +14.0 (0.6 Units)
West Virginia -16.5 (0.2 Units)
Rice +34.5 (3.0 Units)
New Mexico -3.5 (0.6 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Southern plus 49.0 (0.2 Units)
Colorado -54.0 (0.4 Units)
North Carolina -37.5 (0.8 Units)
Kansas TT Over 24.5 (1.0 Unit)

 

[rochclone]

Iowa -26.0 (0.4 Units)
Ohio plus 8.5 (2.4 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Another 0.8 Units on Kansas plus 13.0

 

[spanishshark]

GL today :cheers3:

 

[rochclone]

Buffalo -1.0 (0.8 Units)
Va Tech -10.0 (2.8 Units)
San Diego State plus 14.0 (0.2 Unita)
Western Michigan plus 34.5 (0.4 Units)
Tennessee -1.5 (1.4 Units)

 

[rochclone]

WKU -20.5 (0.2 Units)
UMASs plus 29.0 (0.4 Units)
Marshall -6.5 (0.4 Units)
Appy State -7.5 (3,0 Units)
Oklahoma State -3.0 (3.0 Units)

 

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Illinois -3.5 (0.4 Units)
UL Monroe plus 37.0 (1.0 Unit$

 

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California -1.0 (0.6 Units(
TCU -4.6 (3.0 Umits)

 

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Army -1.5 (2.6 Units)
Louisville -30.5 (0.6 Units)

 

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Toledo -3.5 (2.0 Units)
Ole Miss -27.0. (2.4 Units)
Texas AM -6.0 (1.8 Units)
FAU -10.0 (3.0 Units)
Colorado State -9.0 (2.4 Units)
SMU -13.5 (1.6 Units)
UL Lafayettw -7.4 (0.2 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Missouri plus 3.0 (1.6 Units)
Miss State plus 1.0 (1.8 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Houston -18.0 (1.2 Ynits)
Hawaii plus 24.5 (0.4 Units$
UTEP -27.5 (0.2 Units)
NC State -17.5 (2.4 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Georgia Southern -16.0 (1.0 Unit)

 

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Northwestern 2H -10.5 (2.2 Units)

 

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Arizona State plus 4.0 (3.0 Ynits$
Fresno State plus 4.5 (1.2 Units)

 

[rochclone]

Utah 2H TT Over 13.0 (2.6 Units)

 

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Georgia Southern 2H -7.5 (3.0 Units)

 

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UNLV 2H -3.5 (0.2 Units)

 

[rochclone]

USC 2H TT Over 13.5 (3.0 Units)