CollegeKingRex
CTG Regular
Rotten way to end the regular season, and making 19 plays, i fully deserved what happened to me (losing more than 9.5 units). Worst week of the year and was the fifth losing week, frustrating. Hope to do better in these four games.
Gun to head could only have Houston. Each team has played great (17-2 last 19 combined SU) down the stretch and both are doing it on the defensive side of the ball. Chiefs are +16 in turnovers during this win streak but with both key linebackers Hali and Houston banged up and less than 100 percent, give a slight nod to the Texans, which fell behind by three touchdowns in a Week 1 loss that still stings me (Houston that day and Tampa losing to Tennessee both chafed my ass after looking how these teams were after 6 weeks). Chiefs beat no playoff bound teams in their last seven; neither did Houston. Both defenses have largely dominated week in and week out and you can be sure Alex Smith will go back to game manager role that he has excelled at since Jamaal Charles went down for the year. Would generally rather have him than Hoyer here, but Hoyer is playing with legit revenge after being benched vs. KC the first time.
Prediction: KC 20, Houston 19
No play
Bengals haven't won a playoff game since the 1990 season; almost 25 years to this point ago. They've lost in their first playoff game four years running, but QB Andy Dalton, who piloted the Cincy attack in those losses, is out today. For all of the talk about Cincy's failures, let's not forget that the Steelers haven't won a playoff game in 1,812 days, since the 2011 AFC title game, having failed at this level twice since. Cincy finished with just three spread losses all season and went 3-0 ATS when catching points. The difference here is that each team can move the ball, but the Steeler defense isn't very good, and Cincy's is. Weather will be hovering a bit above freezing and it's probably going to rain and there could be a bit of wind.
The Steeler offense struggled moving the ball the last two weeks against division foes. You can be sure that Cincinnati will us some of the things that worked for Baltimore and Cleveland the last two weeks, and one thing about McCarron is that he has been taking care of the ball for the Bengals. Both Pitt stud RB's are out and I don't see them establishing anything on the ground. Making Big Ben one dimensional will make things very tough on Pitt. As good as Antonio Brown has been in his career, his numbers against the Bengals are underwhelming, to say the least: Less than 80 yards per game and just four touchdowns in 11 career games. The Bengal defense has more interceptions than touchdown passes allowed. Home field in-season revenge works here.
Prediction: Cincy 24, Pittsburgh 16
The play: Cincy +3 -120 med. That price is gone and will not come back. Would advocate a moneyline play only for the same amount. You should be able to get +105 or +110 at least.
I'll get Sunday's writeups up a bit later. I took 6 in Minneapolis earlier in the week and went UNDER 42 when I saw the weather forecast back when the total came out. I will scalp out of that total at some point; it's 39 now and I hope to go OVER 38.
I also have Green Bay in the late game and will explain that one in full later today or tomorrow.
GL today; I'll be back in to answer questions about today's games sometime within the next couple of hours and then again before the kick in Houston.
:shake:
Gun to head could only have Houston. Each team has played great (17-2 last 19 combined SU) down the stretch and both are doing it on the defensive side of the ball. Chiefs are +16 in turnovers during this win streak but with both key linebackers Hali and Houston banged up and less than 100 percent, give a slight nod to the Texans, which fell behind by three touchdowns in a Week 1 loss that still stings me (Houston that day and Tampa losing to Tennessee both chafed my ass after looking how these teams were after 6 weeks). Chiefs beat no playoff bound teams in their last seven; neither did Houston. Both defenses have largely dominated week in and week out and you can be sure Alex Smith will go back to game manager role that he has excelled at since Jamaal Charles went down for the year. Would generally rather have him than Hoyer here, but Hoyer is playing with legit revenge after being benched vs. KC the first time.
Prediction: KC 20, Houston 19
No play
Bengals haven't won a playoff game since the 1990 season; almost 25 years to this point ago. They've lost in their first playoff game four years running, but QB Andy Dalton, who piloted the Cincy attack in those losses, is out today. For all of the talk about Cincy's failures, let's not forget that the Steelers haven't won a playoff game in 1,812 days, since the 2011 AFC title game, having failed at this level twice since. Cincy finished with just three spread losses all season and went 3-0 ATS when catching points. The difference here is that each team can move the ball, but the Steeler defense isn't very good, and Cincy's is. Weather will be hovering a bit above freezing and it's probably going to rain and there could be a bit of wind.
The Steeler offense struggled moving the ball the last two weeks against division foes. You can be sure that Cincinnati will us some of the things that worked for Baltimore and Cleveland the last two weeks, and one thing about McCarron is that he has been taking care of the ball for the Bengals. Both Pitt stud RB's are out and I don't see them establishing anything on the ground. Making Big Ben one dimensional will make things very tough on Pitt. As good as Antonio Brown has been in his career, his numbers against the Bengals are underwhelming, to say the least: Less than 80 yards per game and just four touchdowns in 11 career games. The Bengal defense has more interceptions than touchdown passes allowed. Home field in-season revenge works here.
Prediction: Cincy 24, Pittsburgh 16
The play: Cincy +3 -120 med. That price is gone and will not come back. Would advocate a moneyline play only for the same amount. You should be able to get +105 or +110 at least.
I'll get Sunday's writeups up a bit later. I took 6 in Minneapolis earlier in the week and went UNDER 42 when I saw the weather forecast back when the total came out. I will scalp out of that total at some point; it's 39 now and I hope to go OVER 38.
I also have Green Bay in the late game and will explain that one in full later today or tomorrow.
GL today; I'll be back in to answer questions about today's games sometime within the next couple of hours and then again before the kick in Houston.
:shake:
