CollegeKingRex
CTG Regular
Sup fellas... Choppy last week, but all in all good start to the season in the Niffel. Numbers are really tightening up; so hard to find a good value play every week anymore. Sometimes it seems they pop up once a month, and you might even miss them if you're not paying attention.
This will be closer to a home game for the Jags, repeat "hosts" in London, than playing Dallas at "home" would be. Jags continue to play hard, and Dallass going the wrong way. Points could work here, with Robinson establishing a ground game for the Jags that was non-existent when Gerhart was getting the first-string carries. Jags have covered three of four, and will be in it with a chance to win it at the end, if they're not playing from ahead all day. Expect Romo to struggle with a bit of rust here; Jags D will play hard. Can Bortles stop shooting his team in the foot?
The play: Jags +7
How will Detroit come out of the bye, now that 81 is back in the fold no less? If Miami repeats its effort from last week, they will win this game for fun. I lean Detroit flat early and Meemi 1st half, but will pass it because i would have liked a bit better price.
Bills were catching points at one point, which made little sense to me. That said, Fat Andy is 11-1 on the road ATS since taking the KC job.
Missed the price on Saints, as i made it a smidge higher than it is now and should have laid 4, but was distracted by multiple other things this week. Still would be a lay, gun to my heads. I'm anti-49ers and i think the Saints are about to get rolling.
Made Tenny a smidge higher but laying DD's with Balty on a semi-short week is probably not one of the smarter things to do, even with Titans stiff starting at QB.
I shudder to think about how bad the decision will be for the offices today. How can the sharp guys just pile on the Jets when the public would willingly lay 6 flat? Big Ben threw for 12 TD passes in two weeks, and now gets a defense that has given up 24 TD's and has just one INT. (Shuddering). That said, I did make the game a smidge cheaper myself.
A lean to Tampa at home with the revenge angle. Not sure how Atlanta turns around the ship after their collapse a fortnight ago in London. No play for now, but will consider +3 flat or better.
Lean Oakland at +11.5 or better; they'll play hard. Just so tough to fade Denver off a loss; had they done their shit last week i would be all over Oakland today.
Lean Rams on paper, but my number is a smidge higher.
Made Packers a smidge higher but who knows what you get out of the Bears today out of the bye.
Somehow made Philly higher even though I lean Caro. I think it's because I only downgraded Philly slightly for losing Ryans, but I actually UPGRADED them for having Sanchez over Foles. Yes, I think Sanchez is a better QB for that system (more athletic, has more experience) than Foles is. Pass.
One side. No totals. Meh. I'll be back around halftime of the 1:00s looking for plays. With only seven games, I'll be able to watch six of them comfortably and be getting good intel on the other one. GL today...
:shake:
This will be closer to a home game for the Jags, repeat "hosts" in London, than playing Dallas at "home" would be. Jags continue to play hard, and Dallass going the wrong way. Points could work here, with Robinson establishing a ground game for the Jags that was non-existent when Gerhart was getting the first-string carries. Jags have covered three of four, and will be in it with a chance to win it at the end, if they're not playing from ahead all day. Expect Romo to struggle with a bit of rust here; Jags D will play hard. Can Bortles stop shooting his team in the foot?
The play: Jags +7
How will Detroit come out of the bye, now that 81 is back in the fold no less? If Miami repeats its effort from last week, they will win this game for fun. I lean Detroit flat early and Meemi 1st half, but will pass it because i would have liked a bit better price.
Bills were catching points at one point, which made little sense to me. That said, Fat Andy is 11-1 on the road ATS since taking the KC job.
Missed the price on Saints, as i made it a smidge higher than it is now and should have laid 4, but was distracted by multiple other things this week. Still would be a lay, gun to my heads. I'm anti-49ers and i think the Saints are about to get rolling.
Made Tenny a smidge higher but laying DD's with Balty on a semi-short week is probably not one of the smarter things to do, even with Titans stiff starting at QB.
I shudder to think about how bad the decision will be for the offices today. How can the sharp guys just pile on the Jets when the public would willingly lay 6 flat? Big Ben threw for 12 TD passes in two weeks, and now gets a defense that has given up 24 TD's and has just one INT. (Shuddering). That said, I did make the game a smidge cheaper myself.
A lean to Tampa at home with the revenge angle. Not sure how Atlanta turns around the ship after their collapse a fortnight ago in London. No play for now, but will consider +3 flat or better.
Lean Oakland at +11.5 or better; they'll play hard. Just so tough to fade Denver off a loss; had they done their shit last week i would be all over Oakland today.
Lean Rams on paper, but my number is a smidge higher.
Made Packers a smidge higher but who knows what you get out of the Bears today out of the bye.
Somehow made Philly higher even though I lean Caro. I think it's because I only downgraded Philly slightly for losing Ryans, but I actually UPGRADED them for having Sanchez over Foles. Yes, I think Sanchez is a better QB for that system (more athletic, has more experience) than Foles is. Pass.
One side. No totals. Meh. I'll be back around halftime of the 1:00s looking for plays. With only seven games, I'll be able to watch six of them comfortably and be getting good intel on the other one. GL today...
:shake:
