Reno Week #1...

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
I'll have all sorts of different plays in the NFL through the season...

Pre-game sides (rare)
Totals
Team Totals
Props (especially first 4-6 weeks)
Anything with value, really

I've been a big critic of the Chiefs offense the past few years. The defense was superb last season, and they won that Super Bowl due to that. Yes, Mahomes and Kelce are top notch but they were more of a ball-control team the past few years than the early part of the Patrick-Era.

I still see them playing ball control, but they should be pretty explosive as well.

Great QB
Excellent RB
Kelce
Better young talent at WR.

What a team Xavier would end up on! Hopefully, he doesn't drop too many early and all out of favor with Mahomes.

Tonight...

Kansas City 1h TT o13 +100 (pph)

*I know there was some 12.5's out there earlier fwiw at US shop of two.

I am willing to come back live or at halftime with more on this, as see fit.

That is the plan tonight.


Mark Andrews props are still being examined.
 
Open Futures btw.....

All posted earlier in year...

LA Rams +3300
Detroit +1200


More to come here.... as always...
 
Open Futures btw.....

All posted earlier in year...

LA Rams +3300
Detroit +1200


More to come here.... as always...
Love the Lions this year. A bit skeptical about Batch but with support from Morton and Stewart it should still be a great offense.

BOL amigo
 
Bad push on 1h TT...

Oh well.

Chiefs refuse to run.

See if they switch in 2h.

Andrews OL is bad in pass protection, bad capping there. He just needs more time to get down the seams into his areas. Fair enough.
 
2-2-1 for a grand total of (1.00 units)


Andrews bet was bad. I just figured a lot of TE action l around.

Pacheco bet was solid but he basically only got in just over a half of work. Even end of game, KC ran him once and then started to pass again (nearly cost him)

First half TT, I did line shop and had 13s all around. I might look into another book that varies on TTs

2h played out how I hoped.

I'm not unhappy with the night.
 
One note here.

I had 23.5 available but that was -145!

Imo, with not much of a likelihood of a 2pt from KC I was making the right decision.

Bethany throws softball live team totals in football in first month. For example, KC fh tt over was 9.5 after already getting 7 and this was with like 9 to go in half.
 
9/5, 08:45 PM Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

1st Half Kansas City Chiefs Total Points: Over 9.5 -140
-140
 
Two props tonight...


Jayden Reed o3.5 reception -123
Josh Jacobs o64.5 receiving yards -115

1.5 units each.
I'll take it!

I had several lean ideas that did well too -- so happy overall.

With that being said, I didn't think I was winning either, let alone both for a big part of the 2h.
 
4-2-1 +2.00 units


Fwiw, I played Atlanta ML over a week ago. I'm not recommending people lay -190 or so right now. I'd wait in-game.


Dallas TT o20.5 +100
Indy/Houston o48.5 -110
for 2 units.
 
Thinking with puka and kupp running all over our D, Kyren over 13 receiving with dump offs should be the easiest play of the night. Wish I was there.
Or Stafford over passing numbers if the line is accurate and he's playing from behind
 
More defense than expected but that's good for my futures ...

Not feeling this game at all but think Rams go for 4ths quite a bit.

LA Rams o10.5 tt -130
 
Likely getting swept on this game...

Maybe get 1-2

But, this is criminal in general that the Rams refused to establish the run. Bad omen this season if they are going to use this percentage pass to run
 
Somehow pulled out a 2-1 on this game.

Kyren finally got the carries in 2h but was neutralized.

I don't think he saw his 4th carry till late 2nd.

I know OL hurt but that was an interesting strategy tonight early on.
 
Been tossing this around today thinking about the game...

Feels underish...

But, prop wise it was always going to be Breece...

So, what's better?

Rush
Receiving
Combined

Well... Potential to be playing from behind...

Maybe some pressure...

Dump offs... Feels like a feature tonight..


Hall o30.5 -120 (receiving yards)
 
Adjusting...

CMC out...

Jets pound ball more


Breece Hall o64.5 rush yards -120

1.5 units
The Jets want to be super conservative on offense and its why they drafted not one but two mid round running backs when they already had Breece.
 
Well, SF can plug and play at RB, we knew that ..

But goodness the Jets defense was a big disappointment tonight.

Basically we lost a quarter in this game of Jets offense. I don't forsee much more running with a DD deficit. So hopefully get a catch or two and win that prop plus this 2h from Niners...
 
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