MLB Parlay for Tuesday
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
Tuesday, August 9, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Minute Maid Park in Houston
Who Starts for Texas?
Generally speaking, tonight presents a good spot for the "under" because Texas is a strong "under" team when it is an underdog.
When Texas is the dog, then the "under" is hitting 56.1 percent of the time.
This tendency becomes even stronger when tonight's Ranger starter Martin Perez is the pitcher.
When Texas is the dog and Perez is starting, then the "under" is hitting 71.4 percent of the time.
Perez's Form and Opponent History
Perez is particularly reliable at the moment because of the strong form that he's enjoying.
He has allowed one earned run in each of his last four starts, totaling 25 innings.
Perez's performances this season against Houston have been similar in their strength to that of his current form.
On April 28, he allowed one run in seven innings to the Astros.
Then, on May 20, he threw a complete-game shutout in Houston.
Throughout his career, Perez has boasted tremendous success in the Astros' venue.
In Houston, his ERA is 1.98 in seven career starts.
Perez's Stuff
No other team struggled to deter itself from chasing Perez's pitches outside the strike zone than the Astros did in both his starts against them this year.
As heat maps show, Perez loves to emphasize with his pitch location the borders of the strike zone.
The effectiveness of his precise location and plate-nibbling tendencies is maximized by the strong movement of his pitches, which he uses to distort the batter's ability to discern whether his pitches will land inside or outside the strike zone.
Of his pitches, his cutter enjoys the most absurd amount of horizontal movement relative to the average cutter.
The cutter is one of three pitches that Perez throws over 20 percent of the time.
He also favors a sinker and changeup.
Opponents are slugging .335 against the sinker, .308 against the changeup, and .294 against the cutter.
Who Starts for Houston?
Jose Urquidy starts for Houston tonight.
Similar to Perez, Urquidy is pitching excellently.
He has allowed a combined total of three earned runs in his last three starts in each of which he endured at least six innings.
Urquidy vs. Texas Batters
Urquidy matches up well given the pitches that he favors.
To be clear, he only favors one pitch, his fastball.
He throws this pitch between three and four times as often as he throws any other pitch.
Thus, his level of reliability in a given start hinges wildly on his opponent's ability to succeed against this pitch.
Urquidy merits optimism tonight because Texas ranks 29th in slugging against the fastball from righties.
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
Tuesday, August 9, 2022 at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle
Who Starts for New York?
Gerrit Cole starts for the Yankees tonight.
One may be predisposed to go against Cole tonight because his last start came against Seattle and it was a bad one.
However, Cole has a great history in immediate rematches.
This year, he yielded a sub-1.10 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) when facing Baltimore a second consecutive time and when facing Tampa Bay a second consecutive time.
Tonight, Cole merits optimism because he loves pitching in Seattle's venue.
He has a 1.71 ERA in five career starts in Seattle.
Who Starts for Seattle?
Unfortunately, Seattle starts Luis Castillo tonight.
This is particularly unfortunate for Castillo because, right before he became a Mariner, he had to face the Yankees as a member of Cincinnati.
In tonight's game he'll be facing New York for the third time in a month.
Castillo vs. Yankee Batters
New York also has the advantage of matching up well against Castillo.
Castillo throws a fastball, changeup, sinker, and slider.
The Yankees rank fourth in slugging against his pitches from righties.
Moreover, they are well-equipped to handle Castillo's heat.
They rank third in slugging against the high-velo (94-99 mph) fastball and sinker from righties.
Best Bet: Parlay Rangers/Astros under 8 at -115 & Yankees ML at -127 at +234 odds with BetOnline
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
Tuesday, August 9, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Minute Maid Park in Houston
Who Starts for Texas?
Generally speaking, tonight presents a good spot for the "under" because Texas is a strong "under" team when it is an underdog.
When Texas is the dog, then the "under" is hitting 56.1 percent of the time.
This tendency becomes even stronger when tonight's Ranger starter Martin Perez is the pitcher.
When Texas is the dog and Perez is starting, then the "under" is hitting 71.4 percent of the time.
Perez's Form and Opponent History
Perez is particularly reliable at the moment because of the strong form that he's enjoying.
He has allowed one earned run in each of his last four starts, totaling 25 innings.
Perez's performances this season against Houston have been similar in their strength to that of his current form.
On April 28, he allowed one run in seven innings to the Astros.
Then, on May 20, he threw a complete-game shutout in Houston.
Throughout his career, Perez has boasted tremendous success in the Astros' venue.
In Houston, his ERA is 1.98 in seven career starts.
Perez's Stuff
No other team struggled to deter itself from chasing Perez's pitches outside the strike zone than the Astros did in both his starts against them this year.
As heat maps show, Perez loves to emphasize with his pitch location the borders of the strike zone.
The effectiveness of his precise location and plate-nibbling tendencies is maximized by the strong movement of his pitches, which he uses to distort the batter's ability to discern whether his pitches will land inside or outside the strike zone.
Of his pitches, his cutter enjoys the most absurd amount of horizontal movement relative to the average cutter.
The cutter is one of three pitches that Perez throws over 20 percent of the time.
He also favors a sinker and changeup.
Opponents are slugging .335 against the sinker, .308 against the changeup, and .294 against the cutter.
Who Starts for Houston?
Jose Urquidy starts for Houston tonight.
Similar to Perez, Urquidy is pitching excellently.
He has allowed a combined total of three earned runs in his last three starts in each of which he endured at least six innings.
Urquidy vs. Texas Batters
Urquidy matches up well given the pitches that he favors.
To be clear, he only favors one pitch, his fastball.
He throws this pitch between three and four times as often as he throws any other pitch.
Thus, his level of reliability in a given start hinges wildly on his opponent's ability to succeed against this pitch.
Urquidy merits optimism tonight because Texas ranks 29th in slugging against the fastball from righties.
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
Tuesday, August 9, 2022 at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle
Who Starts for New York?
Gerrit Cole starts for the Yankees tonight.
One may be predisposed to go against Cole tonight because his last start came against Seattle and it was a bad one.
However, Cole has a great history in immediate rematches.
This year, he yielded a sub-1.10 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) when facing Baltimore a second consecutive time and when facing Tampa Bay a second consecutive time.
Tonight, Cole merits optimism because he loves pitching in Seattle's venue.
He has a 1.71 ERA in five career starts in Seattle.
Who Starts for Seattle?
Unfortunately, Seattle starts Luis Castillo tonight.
This is particularly unfortunate for Castillo because, right before he became a Mariner, he had to face the Yankees as a member of Cincinnati.
In tonight's game he'll be facing New York for the third time in a month.
Castillo vs. Yankee Batters
New York also has the advantage of matching up well against Castillo.
Castillo throws a fastball, changeup, sinker, and slider.
The Yankees rank fourth in slugging against his pitches from righties.
Moreover, they are well-equipped to handle Castillo's heat.
They rank third in slugging against the high-velo (94-99 mph) fastball and sinker from righties.
Best Bet: Parlay Rangers/Astros under 8 at -115 & Yankees ML at -127 at +234 odds with BetOnline
