Question for those on line movement prediction

[rookie333]

Warriors/Suns Thursday. Suns I'm guessing will be around -6.5 on TNT. Warriors always excel on TNT, and off 2 losses and some rest. Suns will be in a lookahead to Denver the next day with revenge on that HUGE loss. Warriors have lost the Phoenix 3 times this year and will try to not make it 4 outta 4. Still in the race, Warriors need to push..

The Question:
I will obviously be on the Warriors, big too, but where do you see this line moving? Suppose it opens at -6.5. Do you think it would be best if I take it asap, or wait. I think the sharps will be on Warrirors, but all the public bettors especially since its TNT, will be on Suns on the shortish number. I'm kinda glad the Warriors got smashed today, not cuz we lost, but this sets up this nice game, where public will think "Warriors were a fluke". So thoughts? Should I take the opening line, or wait it out?

 

[Gorgolon Lives]

Line will go up before down, though, it all depends on the line.

 

[bluemyboy]

almost impossible to predict that. However, I would check incomming action (one of these -SI, SB, CS, WL), and then also have your page open to 5-10 live lines. Expect it to move in favor of the betting public. Pay special attention to Pin and CRIS as they seem to move first. Pin will usually move some or all of the juice to one side as well before they move a line. if you got the time to watch the line, you can probably beat the move, but it takes some time in front of your computer.

Being the suns, on TNT already having won 3 out of 3, Id think this is a line you wait on to be inflated by incomming action. however that is just my personal oppinion.

 

[handy]

This should be a nice bet on Golden State. Life is dandy when you're listening to Handy!!

 

[JPicks]

FYI.

Line opened at 4.5 at Pinny. O/U 227.5

 

[handy]

Line opened at 4.5 and now is at 4 at some of the books. Get the hint fellas. It's a big time sharp bet on Golden State. Take the points, ML and be happy.

 

[JPicks]

I 100% agree that it's Warriors or nothing on the game, but I don't really see how this could go lower than 3.5. The opening line tells enough of the story of who the books like, but with only three games on tap tomorrow night I've got to think that this short line attracts plenty of Suns action.

 

[rookie333]

thank for your inputs guys? I'm probably gonna wait for gametime for this one. I was hoping for 5 as an open but didn't get it, and I only have sportsbook.com, so they opened at 4 from what I saw. Also, hopefuilly the big number repels some TNT auto-over public action. I'm gonna be on GSW and the over, way more on GS. This will be a HUGE play for me. Hopefully the pub pushes this short line on Phoenix up. If the line goes up to say 5.5,.. (hopefully), I'm probably gonna buy to 7

 

[bluemyboy]

pretty confident that come the afternoon, when people start getting home from work, we see this number climb.

 

[TightWad]

Number will not go down any further, but you need to remind yourself that GSW is the side to play tonight. Handy has it right. And the public will bet it back up later today. Get it now. It takes a lot to pisspound a team 4xs in 1 year.

 

[bluemyboy]

Number will not go down any further, but you need to remind yourself that GSW is the side to play tonight. Handy has it right. And the public will bet it back up later today. Get it now. It takes a lot to pisspound a team 4xs in 1 year.

why get it now if the line will go back up?

 

[Gorgolon Lives]

This is a tough game. It seems the Warriors are getting noticed in this spot by many. And that's definately NOT good. The line has gotten balanced action right now. We will see a jump? Yes, I think this line will hit 5 with high juice later tonight. I don't think it'll reach 5.5. This line reminds me of GS/SAS, where the line is not really moving considerably to the favorite, and A LOT of people like the dog. So, it's hard to determine what kind of money is going to Phx right now.