Pocono 350 Preview Article

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Top Bet For Sunday’s Pocono 350




NASCAR Cup Series Pocono 350
Sunday, June 28, 2020 at 4 p.m. ET (FS1) at Pocono Raceway



Second Leg of a Double Header

This weekend features two NASCAR Cup Series events.

On Saturday, the Pocono 325 takes place. You can see my coverage of this race here: Pocono 325 Preview Article

Sunday will witness this weekend’s second race, the Pocono 350.

As a result, this will be a historic weekend for NASCAR, which, for the first time in its modern history, is producing a Cup Series weekend doubleheader.

How Both Races Differ From Each Other: Length

As the name suggests, the Pocono 350 is slightly longer than Saturday's Pocono 325.

Whereas Saturday's Pocono 325 consists in 130 laps, the Pocono 350 mandates 10 extra laps.

For the Pocono 325, there are three stages: Stage 1 is slated to end at lap 25, Stage 2 at lap 77, and then the final stage at lap 130.

Sunday’s Pocono 350 will also behold three stages: Stage 1 is programmed to conclude at lap 30, Stage 2 at lap 85, and then the last stage at lap 140.

In hopefully completing 140 laps, Sunday’s Pocono 350 competitors will have accumulated 350 miles (140 laps x 2.5 miles per lap).

How Both Races Differ From Each Other: Starting Position, Pit Selection, Fans

For Saturday’s installment, starting position will be determined by random draw while pit-stall selection has been established based on the results at Talladega.

We’ll need to wait for Saturday’s race to finish in order to discover who will start at what position in Sunday’s event.

On Sunday, the starting lineup for the Pocono 350 will be formulated as follows: Positions 1-20 will reflect an inversion of Saturday’s first 20 finishers.

For example, the winner of Saturday’s race will start Sunday’s in 20th place. Whoever finishes 20th on Saturday will start in pole position on Sunday.

The same logic of inversion, then, applies to positions 21-40.

As for the selection of pit-stalls, Sunday’s pit-stall ordering will derive from Saturday’s results. Whoever wins the Pocono 325 will get first pick of the pit-stall.

Regarding fans, neither event will be allowed to host any.

Betting Approach

Oddsmakers have not released odds for Sunday’s event.

But with little handicapping time available in between both events, it is best to come prepared for Sunday well in advance.

After all, barring an unlikely injury, I don’t see how Saturday’s event could possibly influence a driver’s ability to perform on Sunday.

For Sunday’s race, I want to pick a winner.

The driver who I want to focus on is Erik Jones. Here’s why.

Key Trend: Car

In order to cash a winner, let’s go ahead and exclude all Ford drivers.

I do not want to pick a Ford driver because the last five winners at Pocono Raceway have been Toyota drivers.

Why Erik Jones

I hyped-up Kyle Busch for Saturday’s event because he finds himself in a superbly favorable match-up with Martin Truex Jr.

But the odds on him to win at Pocono will not be too salivating because of how highly favored he finds himself.

The betting value on Jones, though, will be too good to pass up.

Not only is he a Toyota driver. But also, throughout his racing career, he has performed, relatively speaking, conspicuously well at Pocono.

In six career races at this track, he has four top-five finishes. He averages an 8.33 finishing position at Pocono.

The Verdict

Oddsmakers will offer a sweet deal for Erik Jones because they do not account for the trend and history that I have discussed.

As a Toyota driver with an excellent history at Pocono Raceway, Erik Jones should be your favorite driver to invest in to win this weekend along with Kyle Busch in match-up betting.


Best Bet: Erik Jones To Win Pocono 350 (Odds TBA)
 
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