Playoff rematches from reg season

Not a rematch trend as you requested but still a good one. In NFL games where the line is 9.5 or higher, take the under. It is smashing.

9-2 this season
Last 7 years of sample size the under with this scenario is hitting at a 62% rate

Reasoning is that when the spread is largethe favorite will get out to a lead and start grinding clock, or if the dog is able to keep the game close it typically means its a street fight kind of game. Rarely do these games turn into shootouts from both teams.

Jags are +9.5 in some cases still (most places look like its +9) so I would say the same general principle applies here. Take the under 53
 
Going back to 2001.

Playoff rematch, previous winner (Eagles, Chiefs this week):


playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W
SU:86-61-0 (1.83, 58.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:63-79-5 (-0.81, 44.4%) avg line: -2.6+6: 100-45-2 (69.0%) -6: 42-104-1 (28.8%) +10: 111-32-4 (77.6%) -10: 28-117-2 (19.3%)
O/U:78-68-1 (2.88, 53.4%) avg total: 45.3+6: 48-98-1 (32.9%) -6: 103-39-5 (72.5%) +10: 37-108-2 (25.5%) -10: 120-24-3 (83.3%)

Rematch line <=-7: SU: 29-11 (72.5%); ATS: 15-25 (37.5%)

Playoff rematch, previous winner, non-division (Chiefs this week):

1playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W and division != o:division
SU:68-49-0 (1.66, 58.1%)Teaser Records
ATS:49-63-5 (-1.10, 43.8%) avg line: -2.8+6: 79-36-2 (68.7%) -6: 33-83-1 (28.4%) +10: 90-23-4 (79.6%) -10: 20-95-2 (17.4%)
O/U:62-55-0 (2.79, 53.0%) avg total: 45.5+6: 39-77-1 (33.6%) -6: 80-32-5 (71.4%) +10: 30-85-2 (26.1%) -10: 94-20-3 (82.5%)

Rematch line <=-9: SU: 11-6; ATS: 9-8

Rematch within division, where team swept the opponent (includes the 49ers last week):

playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W and PP:W and division = o:division
SU:6-4-0 (3.10, 60.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:5-5-0 (-1.10, 50.0%) avg line: -4.2+6: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) +10: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -10: 2-8-0 (20.0%)
O/U:5-5-0 (4.05, 50.0%) avg total: 45.5+6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) -6: 8-2-0 (80.0%) +10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -10: 10-0-0 (100.0%)
 
Colin Wynner said:
Going back to 2001.

Playoff rematch, previous winner (Eagles, Chiefs this week):


playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W
SU:86-61-0 (1.83, 58.5%)Teaser Records
ATS:63-79-5 (-0.81, 44.4%) avg line: -2.6+6: 100-45-2 (69.0%) -6: 42-104-1 (28.8%) +10: 111-32-4 (77.6%) -10: 28-117-2 (19.3%)
O/U:78-68-1 (2.88, 53.4%) avg total: 45.3+6: 48-98-1 (32.9%) -6: 103-39-5 (72.5%) +10: 37-108-2 (25.5%) -10: 120-24-3 (83.3%)

Rematch line <=-7: SU: 29-11 (72.5%); ATS: 15-25 (37.5%)

Playoff rematch, previous winner, non-division (Chiefs this week):

1playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W and division != o:division
SU:68-49-0 (1.66, 58.1%)Teaser Records
ATS:49-63-5 (-1.10, 43.8%) avg line: -2.8+6: 79-36-2 (68.7%) -6: 33-83-1 (28.4%) +10: 90-23-4 (79.6%) -10: 20-95-2 (17.4%)
O/U:62-55-0 (2.79, 53.0%) avg total: 45.5+6: 39-77-1 (33.6%) -6: 80-32-5 (71.4%) +10: 30-85-2 (26.1%) -10: 94-20-3 (82.5%)

Rematch line <=-9: SU: 11-6; ATS: 9-8

Rematch within division, where team swept the opponent (includes the 49ers last week):

playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W and PP:W and division = o:division
SU:6-4-0 (3.10, 60.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:5-5-0 (-1.10, 50.0%) avg line: -4.2+6: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) +10: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -10: 2-8-0 (20.0%)
O/U:5-5-0 (4.05, 50.0%) avg total: 45.5+6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) -6: 8-2-0 (80.0%) +10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -10: 10-0-0 (100.0%)
Click to expand...
Was curious myself so thank you bro. Strong performance.

What website do you pull that from, if you dont mind me asking? Killer Sports?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top