Playoff rematches from reg season

[pb278817]

Anyone have any trends on this ats or su? Thanks

 

[PappyOSU]

Not a rematch trend as you requested but still a good one. In NFL games where the line is 9.5 or higher, take the under. It is smashing.

9-2 this season
Last 7 years of sample size the under with this scenario is hitting at a 62% rate

Reasoning is that when the spread is largethe favorite will get out to a lead and start grinding clock, or if the dog is able to keep the game close it typically means its a street fight kind of game. Rarely do these games turn into shootouts from both teams.

Jags are +9.5 in some cases still (most places look like its +9) so I would say the same general principle applies here. Take the under 53

 

[KJ]

Last I've heard the home team who has won both games in the regular season are 12-5 SU the last few years...don't know of any trend against the line.

 

[Colin Wynner]

Going back to 2001.

Playoff rematch, previous winner (Eagles, Chiefs this week):

playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W
SU: 86-61-0 (1.83, 58.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 63-79-5 (-0.81, 44.4%) avg line: -2.6 +6: 100-45-2 (69.0%) -6: 42-104-1 (28.8%) +10: 111-32-4 (77.6%) -10: 28-117-2 (19.3%) O/U: 78-68-1 (2.88, 53.4%) avg total: 45.3 +6: 48-98-1 (32.9%) -6: 103-39-5 (72.5%) +10: 37-108-2 (25.5%) -10: 120-24-3 (83.3%)

Rematch line <=-7: SU: 29-11 (72.5%); ATS: 15-25 (37.5%)

Playoff rematch, previous winner, non-division (Chiefs this week):

1playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W and division != o:division
SU: 68-49-0 (1.66, 58.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 49-63-5 (-1.10, 43.8%) avg line: -2.8 +6: 79-36-2 (68.7%) -6: 33-83-1 (28.4%) +10: 90-23-4 (79.6%) -10: 20-95-2 (17.4%) O/U: 62-55-0 (2.79, 53.0%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 39-77-1 (33.6%) -6: 80-32-5 (71.4%) +10: 30-85-2 (26.1%) -10: 94-20-3 (82.5%)

Rematch line <=-9: SU: 11-6; ATS: 9-8

Rematch within division, where team swept the opponent (includes the 49ers last week):

playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W and PP:W and division = o:division
SU: 6-4-0 (3.10, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-5-0 (-1.10, 50.0%) avg line: -4.2 +6: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) +10: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) O/U: 5-5-0 (4.05, 50.0%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) -6: 8-2-0 (80.0%) +10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -10: 10-0-0 (100.0%)

 

[PappyOSU]

Going back to 2001.

Playoff rematch, previous winner (Eagles, Chiefs this week):

playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W
SU: 86-61-0 (1.83, 58.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 63-79-5 (-0.81, 44.4%) avg line: -2.6 +6: 100-45-2 (69.0%) -6: 42-104-1 (28.8%) +10: 111-32-4 (77.6%) -10: 28-117-2 (19.3%) O/U: 78-68-1 (2.88, 53.4%) avg total: 45.3 +6: 48-98-1 (32.9%) -6: 103-39-5 (72.5%) +10: 37-108-2 (25.5%) -10: 120-24-3 (83.3%)

Rematch line <=-7: SU: 29-11 (72.5%); ATS: 15-25 (37.5%)

Playoff rematch, previous winner, non-division (Chiefs this week):

1playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W and division != o:division
SU: 68-49-0 (1.66, 58.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 49-63-5 (-1.10, 43.8%) avg line: -2.8 +6: 79-36-2 (68.7%) -6: 33-83-1 (28.4%) +10: 90-23-4 (79.6%) -10: 20-95-2 (17.4%) O/U: 62-55-0 (2.79, 53.0%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 39-77-1 (33.6%) -6: 80-32-5 (71.4%) +10: 30-85-2 (26.1%) -10: 94-20-3 (82.5%)

Rematch line <=-9: SU: 11-6; ATS: 9-8

Rematch within division, where team swept the opponent (includes the 49ers last week):

playoffs = 1 and season = P:season and P:W and PP:W and division = o:division
SU: 6-4-0 (3.10, 60.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 5-5-0 (-1.10, 50.0%) avg line: -4.2 +6: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) +10: 7-3-0 (70.0%) -10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) O/U: 5-5-0 (4.05, 50.0%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 3-7-0 (30.0%) -6: 8-2-0 (80.0%) +10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -10: 10-0-0 (100.0%)

Was curious myself so thank you bro. Strong performance.

What website do you pull that from, if you dont mind me asking? Killer Sports?

 

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

Appreciate the work gents ..

Best of luck Brothers

 

[Colin Wynner]

Was curious myself so thank you bro. Strong performance.

What website do you pull that from, if you dont mind me asking? Killer Sports?

Thanks - yes, Killer Sports