Player Props Week 3 Discussion

He Hate Me

He Hate Me

I hope everyone is treated the same
A couple of player props that I played for tomorrow:

Malachi Fields over 75 yds rec -115 (Bet365)
Malachi FIles over 100 yds rec +210 (Bet365)
Colandrea over 255.5 yards passing -118 (ESPN)

The Fields bet is a large bet for me with 75% on the main line and 25% on the alt line. The Colandrea bet is a medium bet for me. Colandrea is gonna throw the ball a lot and Fields is gonna catch most of those balls. Maryland struggles to stop the pass. Pretty simple, the only fear is Colandrea throws a couple of picks and UVA goes more conservative.

Thomas Castellanos over 57.5 yards rushing -114 (FD)

This is a small bet for now only because I do not know how good the Mizz rush D is this year. I would not have made this bet against the 2023 Mizz team.
 
He Hate Me said:
A couple of player props that I played for tomorrow:

Malachi Fields over 75 yds rec -115 (Bet365)
Malachi FIles over 100 yds rec +210 (Bet365)
Colandrea over 255.5 yards passing -118 (ESPN)

The Fields bet is a large bet for me with 75% on the main line and 25% on the alt line. The Colandrea bet is a medium bet for me. Colandrea is gonna throw the ball a lot and Fields is gonna catch most of those balls. Maryland struggles to stop the pass. Pretty simple, the only fear is Colandrea throws a couple of picks and UVA goes more conservative.

Thomas Castellanos over 57.5 yards rushing -114 (FD)

This is a small bet for now only because I do not know how good the Mizz rush D is this year. I would not have made this bet against the 2023 Mizz team.
Click to expand...

Love it. Good luck brother.
 
I also played Ryan Wlliams (Ala) to score a TD +187 (Bet365)

I thought about playing is receiving total but settled on the TD prop.

I wanna play Justin Marshall the Col St rb, but I am still undecided. I think Col St has played their first two games against Tex and No Colorado in preparation for their 3rd game of the season, today, at home, against Colorado. They have gone out of their way to use the first two games as practice to establish the run and Marshall appears to be a more than capable back. Stopping the run is the Col weakness. I expected a total for Marshal in the high 60s and the lowest I see is 72.

It is not a prop, but I will also be on the ODU 1st half line today. Thanks @Dollaz for letting me know about Wilson being out at QB. ODU will be at home and are always jacked up to play VT. It seems that VT has to wait until the halftime to make any adjustments. From what I can read about Colton Joseph who will be starting at QB for ODU, he is also capable running the ball, which is a soft spot for VT. Anyway, the 1st half line opened at +7.5 and I see +10s now based on the QB news . Gonna wait to see if I can somehow get +10.5 before I bet id.
 
He Hate Me said:
A couple of player props that I played for tomorrow:

Malachi Fields over 75 yds rec -115 (Bet365)
Malachi FIles over 100 yds rec +210 (Bet365)
Colandrea over 255.5 yards passing -118 (ESPN)

The Fields bet is a large bet for me with 75% on the main line and 25% on the alt line. The Colandrea bet is a medium bet for me. Colandrea is gonna throw the ball a lot and Fields is gonna catch most of those balls. Maryland struggles to stop the pass. Pretty simple, the only fear is Colandrea throws a couple of picks and UVA goes more conservative.

Thomas Castellanos over 57.5 yards rushing -114 (FD)

This is a small bet for now only because I do not know how good the Mizz rush D is this year. I would not have made this bet against the 2023 Mizz team.
Click to expand...

I been back and 4th on Castellanos rush yards all week, I think mizzou d is pretty fast but they havnt played anyone I have no clue if they can contain a running qb? Little worried they can get a few sacks which obviously hurts. I think im looking more at mizzou wr’s but for them to get theirs Castellanos prob needs to play well and force the offense cause drink will be as conservative he can get away with.
 
2daBank said:
I been back and 4th on Castellanos rush yards all week, I think mizzou d is pretty fast but they havnt played anyone I have no clue if they can contain a running qb? Little worried they can get a few sacks which obviously hurts. I think im looking more at mizzou wr’s but for them to get theirs Castellanos prob needs to play well and force the offense cause drink will be as conservative he can get away with.
Click to expand...
Missouri D solid. Passing on Cast rush today. The sacks are my worry, like yourself.
 
2daBank said:
I been back and 4th on Castellanos rush yards all week, I think mizzou d is pretty fast but they havnt played anyone I have no clue if they can contain a running qb? Little worried they can get a few sacks which obviously hurts. I think im looking more at mizzou wr’s but for them to get theirs Castellanos prob needs to play well and force the offense cause drink will be as conservative he can get away with.
Click to expand...
Yeah, I could not decide between Burden or Wease.
 
B.A.R. said:
Missouri D solid. Passing on Cast rush today. The sacks are my worry, like yourself.
Click to expand...
Yeah, the Missouri D was good last year and I guess they can be as good this year but probably just solid. I just remember Jayden Daniels running all over them last year at Mizzou so I had to bet something.
 
He Hate Me said:
Yeah, the Missouri D was good last year and I guess they can be as good this year but probably just solid. I just remember Jayden Daniels running all over them last year at Mizzou so I had to bet something.
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I'm rooting for ya.

I wouldn't bet the under -- just have an off feeling so not betting the money maker today.

Probably regret.
 
B.A.R. said:
Understandable here.

There's a chance Morris doesn't play either. So, that only makes Loveland more of a locked in target.
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He's questionable...fwiw

Today seems like a good day to get good for Michigan running game but the Edwards and Mullings numbers @BOL are appropriate.
 
B.A.R. said:
I'm rooting for ya.

I wouldn't bet the under -- just have an off feeling so not betting the money maker today.

Probably regret.
Click to expand...

Im afraid of him also. I just dunno wtf happens here outside I’m pretty confident in burden. Super tempted to take the points.
 
Man I’m dangerously low on weed, fear not I smoked the last my watermelon roll when I capped these last night so they should be good! Still have few gummies just ate one so hopefully I can get my mlb capping on!

I gotta change my fucking brakes this weekend to, I knew when I bought this it was coming, god I hate doing these, something always a little different or there a fucjing tool just for those you ain’t got. But I hate a lot more spending god knows what paying to have it done when I know I can do it and it only cost like 40 bucks (or whatever the fuck Brake pads cost these days). Maybe I’ll put off til 2marro but these games ain’t all that great anyways
 
B.A.R. said:
He's questionable...fwiw

Today seems like a good day to get good for Michigan running game but the Edwards and Mullings numbers @BOL are appropriate.
Click to expand...
Well, both RBs have went over their rushing numbers (75.5 and 68.5)

Durrr..
 
He Hate Me said:
Gonna tail Mumpfield, split my bet with over 66.5 -115 (CZRS) and over 90 +205 (DK)
Click to expand...

I know I was looking at ESPN bet last night I gotta get few more outs going, I can’t keep using excuse hard to see on my phone with one good eye and phone be changing light and dark! I gotta just bring my Chromebook and sit inside casino and move some money into all these cause I got shitty lines today so I mostly just took next rounded up number for plus, makes the RRs pay fatter but it gonna burn me one these days!

I like Pitt qb passing yards also
 
And dare I say it, I did a sgp with pitt, qb passing, and I put Greene over 50 rush even tho he been a shell, figure now or never against a not very good pit d!
 
How much we believe gators can run? And can we trust Johnson to be the guy getting the carry’s? 64.5 ain’t shit if he get 12-5 carry’s and I don’t see a world Aggies offense makes this a shootout!
 
I rolled with the Colorado st kid. If buffs have the heart to stop him so be it.

I really like Dart but it kinda depends if wake can do just enough offensively to let him play long enough with that big ass 320 number!! Seems hard to pick out which ol miss wrs, I could play 2 and a te! lol
 
2daBank said:
I rolled with the Colorado st kid. If buffs have the heart to stop him so be it.

I really like Dart but it kinda depends if wake can do just enough offensively to let him play long enough with that big ass 320 number!! Seems hard to pick out which ol miss wrs, I could play 2 and a te! lol
Click to expand...
Yes on Dart...

All about how much they need to pass...
 
I took Pavia over 48.5 yds rushing -118 (ESPN)

I did not look at this because I did not think it would be a close game but the line is -9 and for some reason ESPN had Pavia at 48.5 and the only other two places I could find a line were at 60.

I also played ODU 1st half +10 -102 (DK)
 
He Hate Me said:
I took Pavia over 48.5 yds rushing -118 (ESPN)

I did not look at this because I did not think it would be a close game but the line is -9 and for some reason ESPN had Pavia at 48.5 and the only other two places I could find a line were at 60.

I also played ODU 1st half +10 -102 (DK)
Click to expand...

I think candy wins by 2 tds but apparently I dunno wtf im talking bout! Lol.
 
He Hate Me said:
I wanna play Justin Marshall the Col St rb, but I am still undecided. I think Col St has played their first two games against Tex and No Colorado in preparation for their 3rd game of the season, today, at home, against Colorado. They have gone out of their way to use the first two games as practice to establish the run and Marshall appears to be a more than capable back. Stopping the run is the Col weakness. I expected a total for Marshal in the high 60s and the lowest I see is 72.

It is not a prop, but I will also be on the ODU 1st half line today. Thanks @Dollaz for letting me know about Wilson being out at QB. ODU will be at home and are always jacked up to play VT. It seems that VT has to wait until the halftime to make any adjustments. From what I can read about Colton Joseph who will be starting at QB for ODU, he is also capable running the ball, which is a soft spot for VT. Anyway, the 1st half line opened at +7.5 and I see +10s now based on the QB news . Gonna wait to see if I can somehow get +10.5 before I bet id.
Click to expand...
I did play Marshall over 73.5-115 rushing yds (Bovada)

And I added even more to Fields at over 71.5 -115 receiving yds
 
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