MLB Parlay for Today at (+310) Features Two NL West Games
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, August 29, 2022 at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
Who Starts for Philadelphia?
Ranger Suarez starts for Philadelphia today.
In sundry situations, he is a strong "over" pitcher.
The "over" is hitting in over 60 percent of his starts overall, as the favorite, and at night.
Suarez in Arizona
Some pitchers do not like the uniquely dry Arizona climate because it affects their grip.
Suarez, throughout his career, has been one of those pitchers.
In three career appearances in Phoenix, totaling six innings, Suarez is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA.
By far, then, Arizona's Chase Field is Suarez's least-favorite venue in which to compete.
Who Starts for Madison Bumgarner?
Madison Bumgarner, an intimidating pitcher in name only, starts for Arizona tonight.
Bumgarner's recent stretch of starts contributes to the fact that the "over" tends to hit in his games more often than the "under."
He has had the disadvantage of facing teams, such as St. Louis and Colorado, that are uniquely strong against left-handed pitching.
But it is also true in all of his starts that he is struggling to avoid yielding runs.
Each of his last five opponents has scored at least four earned runs off him.
Bumgarner's Decline
Bumgarner hasn't been good for some time now.
His numbers this year are rather similar to what they were last year.
Even if he doesn't give up a home run in a given at-bat, the opposing batter is rather likely to achieve hard contact against his pitches.
Bumgarner's individual pitch quality is unattractive, as evident in his meager velocity and spin rate.
His locational tendencies also don't tend to bail him out to any extent.
As heat maps show, he is horrendously prone to leaving pitches in the most middle parts of the strike zone where batters are generally more able to make hard contact.
Bumgarner vs. Philly Batters
To be exact, Bumgarner throws a cutter, fastball, curveball, and changeup.
These pitches make up 99.8 percent of his arsenal.
Opponents regularly thrive against his cutter and fastball, which are his two favorite pitches and which make up 70.2-percent of his repertoire.
His cutter yields a .487 slugging rate, and opposing batters slug .585 against his fastball.
But Philly batters will do well against all his pitches.
They rank fourth in slugging against Bumgarner's four pitches from lefties.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
Monday, August 29, 2022 at 9:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park in San Francisco
Who Starts for San Diego?
Mike Clevinger starts for the Padres tonight.
Clevinger's pitch selection is intelligent in that he throws his fastball most often, and his fastball is his most effective pitch.
Opponents are batting .178 and slugging .307 against Clevinger's fastball.
They struggle with its high spin rate, which makes it harder for them track its location.
Moreover, Clevinger effectively distributes this pitch along different parts of the strike zone, which gives it a dimension of unpredictability, while steering clear of the more middle parts of the zone.
Clevinger vs. Giant Batters
Clevinger's arsenal enjoys a positive degree of variety.
In addition to his fastball, Clevinger throws four pitches between 11 and 22 percent of the time.
Giant batters, historically, struggle against Clevinger.
He has achieved 13 shutout innings in two career starts against the Giants.
No active Giant batter has more than a hit against him.
One should expect this success to continue for two reasons.
One, Giant batters are already struggling now to hit anything.
They've failed to exceed three runs in any of their past five games.
Two, they rank 25thin slugging against Clevinger's favorite pitches from righties.
Who Starts for San Francisco?
Carlos Rodon starts today for the Giants.
Rodon is tough at home: in San Francisco, he enjoys a six-to-one strikeout-to-walk ratio, and opponents hit .208 and slug .312 against him.
But Rodon has also been hard to hit no matter where he pitches.
His FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) was under 1.00 in both of his last starts and in three of his last five starts.
During this five-start span, he allowed a combined total of five runs.
Slugging well below average against Rodon's favorite pitches from lefties, San Diego won't disrupt Rodon's strong form.
Best Bet: Parlay Phillies/Diamondbacks over 9 at +100 & Padres/Giants under 7 at +105 at +310 odds with BetOnline
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, August 29, 2022 at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
Who Starts for Philadelphia?
Ranger Suarez starts for Philadelphia today.
In sundry situations, he is a strong "over" pitcher.
The "over" is hitting in over 60 percent of his starts overall, as the favorite, and at night.
Suarez in Arizona
Some pitchers do not like the uniquely dry Arizona climate because it affects their grip.
Suarez, throughout his career, has been one of those pitchers.
In three career appearances in Phoenix, totaling six innings, Suarez is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA.
By far, then, Arizona's Chase Field is Suarez's least-favorite venue in which to compete.
Who Starts for Madison Bumgarner?
Madison Bumgarner, an intimidating pitcher in name only, starts for Arizona tonight.
Bumgarner's recent stretch of starts contributes to the fact that the "over" tends to hit in his games more often than the "under."
He has had the disadvantage of facing teams, such as St. Louis and Colorado, that are uniquely strong against left-handed pitching.
But it is also true in all of his starts that he is struggling to avoid yielding runs.
Each of his last five opponents has scored at least four earned runs off him.
Bumgarner's Decline
Bumgarner hasn't been good for some time now.
His numbers this year are rather similar to what they were last year.
Even if he doesn't give up a home run in a given at-bat, the opposing batter is rather likely to achieve hard contact against his pitches.
Bumgarner's individual pitch quality is unattractive, as evident in his meager velocity and spin rate.
His locational tendencies also don't tend to bail him out to any extent.
As heat maps show, he is horrendously prone to leaving pitches in the most middle parts of the strike zone where batters are generally more able to make hard contact.
Bumgarner vs. Philly Batters
To be exact, Bumgarner throws a cutter, fastball, curveball, and changeup.
These pitches make up 99.8 percent of his arsenal.
Opponents regularly thrive against his cutter and fastball, which are his two favorite pitches and which make up 70.2-percent of his repertoire.
His cutter yields a .487 slugging rate, and opposing batters slug .585 against his fastball.
But Philly batters will do well against all his pitches.
They rank fourth in slugging against Bumgarner's four pitches from lefties.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
Monday, August 29, 2022 at 9:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park in San Francisco
Who Starts for San Diego?
Mike Clevinger starts for the Padres tonight.
Clevinger's pitch selection is intelligent in that he throws his fastball most often, and his fastball is his most effective pitch.
Opponents are batting .178 and slugging .307 against Clevinger's fastball.
They struggle with its high spin rate, which makes it harder for them track its location.
Moreover, Clevinger effectively distributes this pitch along different parts of the strike zone, which gives it a dimension of unpredictability, while steering clear of the more middle parts of the zone.
Clevinger vs. Giant Batters
Clevinger's arsenal enjoys a positive degree of variety.
In addition to his fastball, Clevinger throws four pitches between 11 and 22 percent of the time.
Giant batters, historically, struggle against Clevinger.
He has achieved 13 shutout innings in two career starts against the Giants.
No active Giant batter has more than a hit against him.
One should expect this success to continue for two reasons.
One, Giant batters are already struggling now to hit anything.
They've failed to exceed three runs in any of their past five games.
Two, they rank 25thin slugging against Clevinger's favorite pitches from righties.
Who Starts for San Francisco?
Carlos Rodon starts today for the Giants.
Rodon is tough at home: in San Francisco, he enjoys a six-to-one strikeout-to-walk ratio, and opponents hit .208 and slug .312 against him.
But Rodon has also been hard to hit no matter where he pitches.
His FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) was under 1.00 in both of his last starts and in three of his last five starts.
During this five-start span, he allowed a combined total of five runs.
Slugging well below average against Rodon's favorite pitches from lefties, San Diego won't disrupt Rodon's strong form.
Best Bet: Parlay Phillies/Diamondbacks over 9 at +100 & Padres/Giants under 7 at +105 at +310 odds with BetOnline
