Philadelphia/New Jersey Total

BetCrimes1984

CTG Big Brother
This boils down to recent results for each team (Philly off 4 straight Overs, Jersey off 5 straight Overs & 7-1 last 8) influencing the line imo above & beyond what recent history tells us to expect from these 2 teams.

5-0 to Under at an avg of 175.2 pts last 5 meetings

5-0 to Under at an avg of 182.4 pts last 5 meetings in Philly

2-0 to Under at an avg of 174.5 with both playing B2B


Jersey this season is

20-11-1 to Under at an avg of 188.5 pts with Krstic in their lineup
19-18 to Under at an avg of 197.5 pts w/out Krstic in their lineup

Krstic is shooting 37.5% on the season (lowest last 3 seasons, 49.3%) and averaging 5.6 ppg (lowest last 3 seasons, 10.0 ppg) - pretty easy to see why the difference. He returned from a 3 game absence their last game.

Also, Jersey are...

5-1-1 to Under at an avg of 192.1 pts in road ATS wins vs the East
6-4 to Over at an avg of 196.4 pts in road ATS losses vs the East


small bet on Under 200.5 points
 
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91 at the half - can afford 109 in the 2nd half.

As long as the Nets keep hanging around and don't allow Philly to ease up, I think we should be good.

Jefferson & Carter, off their huge nights vs Denver, are 4-15 combined. See no reason why that will improve in the 2nd half, either.
 
i jumped in 2nd half under 105. 4 pt difference from game total. hopefully doesn't matter. let's get this under!!
 
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