Tough call today vs. Dallas. Stars have not been a good offensive team lately, so Pens will have to do the heavy lifting. Good news is that the number is only 5 1/2.
Stars/Turco have allowed 7 goals on 40 shots the last two games. Power play is sputtering at 8.7% last 5 games. But the PK has been solid. They've lost 4 in a row and are desperate to win before heading west for three games. But they're also 3-7 on the back half of back-to-backs.
Pens on the other hand were a PK disaster in Chicago, and the PP has been average at best, with or without Crosby (actually looks better without IMO). Huge win to start the road trip in Chicago, like Dallas a win puts them in the top 8.
Correlated parlays are perfectly matched today, interesting:
1 unit pays 2.74 with Pens/over
1 unit pays 2.74 with Dallas/under
Gonna play a 1/2 unit on each, thinking this one breaks one of two ways: either Dallas scores first and plays a lockdown game in response to the last two debacles and their 4 game losing streak, or the Pens score first, the pace stays frenetic and the floodgates open with two goalies that have been less than stellar.
BOL!
P.S. - Pens are now +2500 to win the Eastern Conference on Bookmaker. That's a nice number that'll only go down in March when they have an 8 game homestand that will probably solidify their spot in the top 8. Booking it now and will look for some hedge options come playoff time.