Peel's Picks: NHL 19-20 Betting Tracker (+50.14u last season)

[peelpub94]

The NHL is back boys and I couldn't be any happier. Last season we tracked 2 models, both of which netted positive results. This season I'm only tracking one using similar edge play methodologies. Based on data from last season, betting only on teams with 3% to 7% edge would have made profit of $5,817 or a 12.7% ROI. I will be deploying something similar this season and invite you all to jump in! Let's kill the books!

Last year's model
This year's model

Will also be tracking on twitter: @peelspicks

 

[PaintCrew]

Stoked about this....I will be following along and thanks for sharing

 

[peelpub94]

Picks are up for tomorrow night

 

[LeRinkRat]

your spread sheet a little confusing for a old geezer like me, PeelPub4. could you just post your nightly picks please ???

 

[pressitup]

Shit , I took StL pl
Well, we do battle tonight.
GL this season , sir

 

[peelpub94]

your spread sheet a little confusing for a old geezer like me, PeelPub4. could you just post your nightly picks please ???

I manage the spreadsheet about 1 hour a day, and post plays on twitter. I can't commit to a 3rd place of posting.

 

[peelpub94]

Shit , I took StL pl
Well, we do battle tonight.
GL this season , sir

FWIW, I'm just tracking Accuscore's projections. I don't like WSH at all in this match up.

 

[LeRinkRat]

I manage the spreadsheet about 1 hour a day, and post plays on twitter. I can't commit to a 3rd place of posting.

well old buddy I do NOT know your twitter handle. please give so I can follow

 

[pressitup]

well old buddy I do NOT know your twitter handle. please give so I can follow

twitter: @peelspicks

 

[Teapot9]

Bump

 

[peelpub94]

Up approximately 9 units since last Wednesday:

NHL 19-20 Tracker

docs.google.com

 

[Teapot9]

Love following this.

If you follow this on a daily basis it will certainly help you when you’re in that grey area of if you should or shouldn’t.

 

[Inspekdah]

Nice calls on Panthers and Sabres today!

 

[peelpub94]

YTD: 22-18 +7.95u

8 consecutive positive days. October going mostly like how it went in 2018. Let's keep it going.

 

[peelpub94]

YTD:

33-28
16% ROI
+$1,070

 

[L8kersFan74]

Followed you in baseball as well, and, thanks again, Peel.

Quick question: In hockey, have you noticed a certain part of the season that is typically more successful with this model than other parts of the season? Beginning, middle, or end?

 

[peelpub94]

Followed you in baseball as well, and, thanks again, Peel.

Quick question: In hockey, have you noticed a certain part of the season that is typically more successful with this model than other parts of the season? Beginning, middle, or end?

100% the beginning.

 

[peelpub94]

$1,709 October baby.

Moneypuck Risk	Moneypuck Net
$10,255	$1,709
ROI	17%
W-L	52-44

 

[Teapot9]

Great job.

 

[peelpub94]

On quite a run this November

YTD
+27.41u
91-84
15% ROI

NHL 19-20 Tracker

Info Moneypuck inside the numbers thanks to our friend "argh" from 2018-19. Thanks for always correcting my mistakes! Average odds for losing bets = +159 / for winning bets = +133. Average odds for away bets = +168 / home bets = +118. Both are valuable because Win% for Away bets is 43,25% (need ...

docs.google.com

 

[Teapot9]

What’s the play in Montreal?

 

[peelpub94]

What’s the play in Montreal?

Once the line comes out I'll know.

 

[peelpub94]

Need OTT line to hit at least +182

 

[Bushleague]

Dunno if u have access to any NJ books peel

DK hanging Sens +188 currently

 

[peelpub94]

Dunno if u have access to any NJ books peel

DK hanging Sens +188 currently

Thanks for heads up

 

[Bushleague]

Just a cent away at BOL +181 at their shop

 

[peelpub94]

Just a cent away at BOL +181 at their shop

Yup, I keep SBR live odds up on 1 screen all day:

NHL Odds & Lines

Live NHL Betting Odds & NHL lines. Find the best hockey odds, betting lines and point spreads provided by Sportsbook Review along with more pro hockey information.

www.sportsbookreview.com

 

[Vapster]

Great Oct & Nov So Far peel :shake:

 

[peelpub94]

Great Oct & Nov So Far peel :shake:

Thanks, bud. Hope you're doing well!

 

[peelpub94]

November and YTD Recap:

YTD: 110-102 | +29.55u | 13% ROI
NOV: 58-58 | +12.46u | 10% ROI
OCT: 52-44 | +17.09u | 17% ROI

 

[BenchCoach]

Thank you for all your work hoss...look forward to your sheet everyday

 

[Teapot9]

Great stuff peel love the sheet

 

[tuck321]

How do we get this sheet?

 

[Teapot9]

How do we get this sheet?

PayPal me $299.99 and then you’ll get the sheet.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1j97EUV6gy1mjQu0vzDAUc1j_dXP0gM4y9ilg4d-bS-c/htmlview

 

[tuck321]

what does the sheet provide?

 

[tuck321]

FYI bet Colorado Toronto is 1-6 playing back to back and Colorado is 3-1 playing on 3 days rest with a 16 and 10 record against a lousy goaltender

 

[Teapot9]

what does the sheet provide?

Winners on a regular basis

 

[Teapot9]

FYI bet Colorado Toronto is 1-6 playing back to back and Colorado is 3-1 playing on 3 days rest with a 16 and 10 record against a lousy goaltender

Why are the Leafs favorites?

 

[tuck321]

Pure rep but Colorado got Rantanen back last game one of their best shooters and i am trailing them

 

[Teapot9]

Pure rep but Colorado got Rantanen back last game one of their best shooters and i am trailing them

Now we shall wait and see what the sheet says.

 

[jedi ninja]

Why are the Leafs favorites?

Because they’re at home and are also getting (more than likely) a player back tonight as well...Mitch Marner.

 

[peelpub94]

That Avs bet was one of the easiest of the year to cap. You won't find too many of those throughout the season. I am annoyed I went with LA last night. The Caps have no weakness.

 

[Teapot9]

Colorado on the b2b tonight in Montreal

 

[peelpub94]

Colorado on the b2b tonight in Montreal

Lots of interesting stuff in this game. Keith Primeau's son Cayden starts his first NHL game for the Habs. Landeskog is a game time decision and Rantanen is back as of last night.

 

[peelpub94]

YTD: 161-159 | +37.75u | 11% ROI

DEC: 51-57 | +8.20u | 7% ROI
NOV: 58-58 | +12.46u | 10% ROI
OCT: 52-44 | +17.09u | 17% ROI

 

[tuck321]

I seem to have forgotten the site for ref info that uses Action in the name. What is it? Pretty unseful

 

[Teapot9]

@peelpub94 any leans in Avs/Wild?