Pappy's Picks NFL Divisional Round / NFL YTD 121-82-10 (60%)

[PappyOSU]

Divisional round is upon us and there are just 8 teams left standing. Lets get the best bets identified and finish strong.

Finally have the Composite System YTD record splits updated:

RECORD BY TYPE	Unit P&L	Win	Loss	Push	Win %
Overall	100	261	188	14	58.13%
CFB Spread Record	44	128	99	4	56.39%
NFL Spread Record	53.5	96	60	8	61.54%
CFB Totals Record	3.5	12	7	0	63.16%
NFL Totals Record	-1	25	22	2	53.19%

RECORD BY UNIT	Unit P&L	Win	Loss	Push	Win %
Overall	100	261	188	14	58.13%
3 Unit Bets	18	27	21	3	56.25%
2.5 Unit Bets	17.5	28	21	3	57.14%
2 Unit Bets	34	39	22	0	63.93%
1.5 Unit Bets	3	34	32	4	51.52%
1 Unit Bets	14	61	47	2	56.48%
0.5 Unit Bets	13.5	72	45	2	61.54%

RECORD BY WEEK	Unit P&L	Win	Loss	Push	Win %
Overall	100	261	188	14	58.13%
CFB Week 0	1.5	3	0	0	100.00%
CFB Week 1	3	12	4	0	75.00%
CFB Week 2	2.5	10	6	1	62.50%
CFB Week 3	3	9	7	0	56.25%
CFB Week 4	9	10	7	0	58.82%
CFB Week 5	-5.5	10	11	1	47.62%
CFB Week 6	-8	7	9	0	43.75%
CFB Week 7	5.5	9	5	1	64.29%
CFB Week 8	5.5	9	3	0	75.00%
CFB Week 9	-1.5	6	11	0	35.29%
CFB Week 10	4.5	11	8	0	57.89%
CFB Week 11	0	9	9	0	50.00%
CFB Week 12	10.5	11	5	0	68.75%
CFB Week 13	-3.5	6	10	1	37.50%
CFB Conf Title	5.5	5	2	0	71.43%
CFB Bowls	15.5	13	9	0	59.09%
NFL Week 1	11.5	11	3	0	78.57%
NFL Week 2	5.5	8	4	1	66.67%
NFL Week 3	14.5	10	2	2	83.33%
NFL Week 4	7.5	9	5	0	64.29%
NFL Week 5	6	9	4	0	69.23%
NFL Week 6	-2.5	4	7	0	36.36%
NFL Week 7	2	2	2	0	50.00%
NFL Week 8	1	8	4	0	66.67%
NFL Week 9	6.5	7	5	2	58.33%
NFL Week 10	2	9	6	0	60.00%
NFL Week 11	-1	5	5	2	50.00%
NFL Week 12	-3.5	6	5	0	54.55%
NFL Week 13	3.5	4	2	0	66.67%
NFL Week 14	-6	5	7	0	41.67%
NFL Week 15	3	8	6	1	57.14%
NFL Week 16	1	3	1	0	75.00%
NFL Week 17	0	3	3	1	50.00%
NFL Week 18	3	7	6	1	53.85%
NFL Wild Card	-1.5	3	5	0	37.50%

Took me a minute to get everything pieced back together from my trip home for Xmas Southwest airline fiasco. They just reimbursed me 3 grand in travel expenses though, plus 50K free miles, plus about $500 in travel vouchers. So honestly not even mad about it anymore lol. Totally redeemed themselves.


NFL system picks need to do better, end of story. Been on a pretty uninspiring run since week 11, and totals are on an 0-7 slide which is absolutely horrendous. That being said, there are some nice plays taking shape for this weekend. Going to get this back on track.


Picks for this weekend will be posted tomorrow night.

 

[PappyOSU]

Final Composite Scores - NFL Divisional Playoff Round

Year To Date Record: 121-82-10 (60%)

Pick	Source Count	Opponent's Count	Composite Score	Recommended Units
Jags +9.5	22	11	67	3
Bengals +5.5	28	19	55	2.5
JAX/KC Under 53	10	2	37	1.5
Giants +7.5	20	15	27	1
NYG/PHI Over 48	5	1	19	0.5
Niners -4	22	21	9	FYI
DAL/SF Over 46	5	3	7	FYI
CIN/BUF Under 49	6	4	7	FYI

Hope this information helps bring everyone great success.

Best of luck. LFG!

 

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

Best of luck Brother

Sweep your slate $$

 

[B.A.R.]

Crush it

 

[PappyOSU]

Nice lil back door on the Jags but most importantly my 7 game losing streak on totals is finally over lol.

2-0 start now let’s finish strong.

FYI the Niners are on the verge of being bumped up to an official play, likely 0.5 unit pizza bet but potentially 1 full unit. I have a handful of sources that post their picks the night before or the day of, and as picks continue to trickle in from the greater good the Niners are picking up some momentum. I’ll confirm this by tomorrow morning.

 

[PappyOSU]

Finished yesterday 2-2 and so much for that strong finish I was hoping for.. +3 units and moving on

No official play on the Niners yet. FYI

Just to give you an idea why, from my pool of sources there have been 3 picks made on the Cowboys so far this morning (all from Action Network writers) vs. just 2 picks that have come in for the Niners (one computer model, one top twitter capper). So SF lost a lil ground overall but the race isn’t over and there is still time for this to change

I will keep an eye out and confirm no later than an hour before that game kicks off

 

[PappyOSU]

Ok I’ve scoured the ends of the earth for qualified sources and their picks on tonight’s game. As a reminder every source of input to the composite system must be above 50% YTD (or have an exemption to that based off past performance or quality of work) in order to have their picks registered into the model.

4 more sources were entered. 3 of them picked the 49ers vs. just 1 additional pick on the Cowboys.

Considering the line is back at -3.5 this is enough to elevate SF to an official system play. If you choose to tail, get those bets in. Best of luck to all regardless. This one is going to come down to the wire.

ADDING: Niners -3.5 (0.5 unit pizza bet)

 

[B.A.R.]

Ok I’ve scoured the ends of the earth for qualified sources and their picks on tonight’s game. As a reminder every source of input to the composite system must be above 50% YTD (or have an exemption to that based off past performance or quality of work) in order to have their picks registered into the model.

4 more sources were entered. 3 of them picked the 49ers vs. just 1 additional pick on the Cowboys.

Considering the line is back at -3.5 this is enough to elevate SF to an official system play. If you choose to tail, get those bets in. Best of luck to all regardless. This one is going to come down to the wire.

ADDING: Niners -3.5 (0.5 unit pizza bet)

Nice!

 

[PappyOSU]

NFL composite finishes 4-2 and +6 units. Solid weekend and happy with the results.

Only 3 games left which is depressing as shit but let’s stay focused and finish the year strong

NFL system remains at 60% year to date (58% combined CFB)

NFL now +58.5 units on the season (+106 units combined)

 

[2daBank]

Nice work

 

[PappyOSU]

Nice work

Appreciate it everyone. You’ve all been great here and I’m glad I found this place

I’ve started compiling early week sources and their picks for conference championship week. There are 2 great games on tap and I can’t wait to dive into them.