MLB Parlay for July 14: A Bet That Pays (+264)
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
Thursday, July 14, 2022 at 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado
Who Starts for San Diego?
The Padres start Blake Snell who is by far their least profitable pitcher.
On the season, San Diego is 1-8 and yielding -8.6 units in his starts.
Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, the Padres are 0-4 and yielding -4.4 units in his road starts.
Snell's Problems
Snell's poor performances help explain the extent to which he's been costing his backers.
As it was last year, his walk rate is awful. He really struggles to find the strike zone.
To be exact, he throws pitches in the strike zone with 36.7 percent frequency.
When he does find the strike zone, he often locates his pitches in the parts of the strike zone, around the middle of it, where batters tend to thrive the most.
As heat maps show, this harmful tendency is especially true of his fastball, slider, and curveball.
He actually throws these the pitches most often.
His three favorite pitches in terms of frequency, they combine to make up nearly 93 percent of his pitching arsenal.
When facing Snell, batters thus regularly get to swing at pitches whose location they find favorable.
Snell vs. Rockie Batters
Snell looks particularly unreliable today because he matches up poorly against Colorado given the fact that he is a lefty and given the pitches which he throws.
Colorado is one of the best lefty-hitting teams. The Rockies own the fifth-highest slugging rate against left-handed pitchers.
Moreover, they rank fifth in slugging against Snell's three favorite pitches from lefties.
In particular, who look out for CJ Cron, who was one-for-one in yesterday's game.
Cron is 7-for-15 (.467) with a double and a homer in his career facing Snell.
There are plenty of other lefty-hitting threats in Colorado's lineup, but consider boosting your wager amount if Cron, who is listed day-to-day despite hitting yesterday, plays.
Who Starts for Colorado?
Colorado starts Kyle Freeland who is a profitable pitcher.
Most prominently, Colorado yields +2.3 units in his home starts and +4.8 units in his starts against division rivals.
Two More Reasons to Dislike San Diego
The Padres' lineup merits pessimism because it ranks below-average against Freeland's solid variety of pitches from lefties.
Moreover, despite being favored on the road, the Padres are not the team that they used to be.
They are 6-12 in their last 18 games.
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Thursday, July 14, 2022 at 8:07 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim
Who Starts for Houston?
Houston starts Framber Valdez today.
It is a good sign that Valdez is pitching at night today because he is terribly unprofitable on the road, but the Astros are yielding +2.22 units in his night starts.
Moreover, Valdez displays strong form.
He's allowed a combined total of four runs in his past three games.
In one of those games, he endured six innings, and he lasted eight innings in both of the other two.
Valdez vs. Angel Batters
Tonight, Valdez looks particularly promising because he matches up well against L.A. given the pitches that he throws.
Primarily, Valdez throws a sinker and curveball.
These pitches combine to make up almost 80 percent of his arsenal.
The Angels rank 26thin slugging against his pitches from lefties.
Who Starts for the Angels?
Los Angeles starts Reid Detmers tonight, its least profitable pitcher.
L.A. has lost the last seven games in which Detmers started.
On the season, Detmers is yielding -7.4 units overall and -5.3 units in his seven home starts.
Detmers vs. Astro Batters
Detmers will struggle tonight because he matches up terribly against Astro batters.
Primarily, he throws a fastball, curveball, slider, and changeup.
These pitches make up just over 99 percent of his arsenal.
Houston ranks fourth in slugging against these pitches from lefties.
Houston's Team Form
The Astros look especially solid tonight because they are a strong bounce-back team.
They are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.
Best Bet: Rockies ML at +118 & Astros ML at -151 at +264 odds with BetOnline
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
Thursday, July 14, 2022 at 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado
Who Starts for San Diego?
The Padres start Blake Snell who is by far their least profitable pitcher.
On the season, San Diego is 1-8 and yielding -8.6 units in his starts.
Pertinently to my favorite play for this game, the Padres are 0-4 and yielding -4.4 units in his road starts.
Snell's Problems
Snell's poor performances help explain the extent to which he's been costing his backers.
As it was last year, his walk rate is awful. He really struggles to find the strike zone.
To be exact, he throws pitches in the strike zone with 36.7 percent frequency.
When he does find the strike zone, he often locates his pitches in the parts of the strike zone, around the middle of it, where batters tend to thrive the most.
As heat maps show, this harmful tendency is especially true of his fastball, slider, and curveball.
He actually throws these the pitches most often.
His three favorite pitches in terms of frequency, they combine to make up nearly 93 percent of his pitching arsenal.
When facing Snell, batters thus regularly get to swing at pitches whose location they find favorable.
Snell vs. Rockie Batters
Snell looks particularly unreliable today because he matches up poorly against Colorado given the fact that he is a lefty and given the pitches which he throws.
Colorado is one of the best lefty-hitting teams. The Rockies own the fifth-highest slugging rate against left-handed pitchers.
Moreover, they rank fifth in slugging against Snell's three favorite pitches from lefties.
In particular, who look out for CJ Cron, who was one-for-one in yesterday's game.
Cron is 7-for-15 (.467) with a double and a homer in his career facing Snell.
There are plenty of other lefty-hitting threats in Colorado's lineup, but consider boosting your wager amount if Cron, who is listed day-to-day despite hitting yesterday, plays.
Who Starts for Colorado?
Colorado starts Kyle Freeland who is a profitable pitcher.
Most prominently, Colorado yields +2.3 units in his home starts and +4.8 units in his starts against division rivals.
Two More Reasons to Dislike San Diego
The Padres' lineup merits pessimism because it ranks below-average against Freeland's solid variety of pitches from lefties.
Moreover, despite being favored on the road, the Padres are not the team that they used to be.
They are 6-12 in their last 18 games.
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Thursday, July 14, 2022 at 8:07 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim
Who Starts for Houston?
Houston starts Framber Valdez today.
It is a good sign that Valdez is pitching at night today because he is terribly unprofitable on the road, but the Astros are yielding +2.22 units in his night starts.
Moreover, Valdez displays strong form.
He's allowed a combined total of four runs in his past three games.
In one of those games, he endured six innings, and he lasted eight innings in both of the other two.
Valdez vs. Angel Batters
Tonight, Valdez looks particularly promising because he matches up well against L.A. given the pitches that he throws.
Primarily, Valdez throws a sinker and curveball.
These pitches combine to make up almost 80 percent of his arsenal.
The Angels rank 26thin slugging against his pitches from lefties.
Who Starts for the Angels?
Los Angeles starts Reid Detmers tonight, its least profitable pitcher.
L.A. has lost the last seven games in which Detmers started.
On the season, Detmers is yielding -7.4 units overall and -5.3 units in his seven home starts.
Detmers vs. Astro Batters
Detmers will struggle tonight because he matches up terribly against Astro batters.
Primarily, he throws a fastball, curveball, slider, and changeup.
These pitches make up just over 99 percent of his arsenal.
Houston ranks fourth in slugging against these pitches from lefties.
Houston's Team Form
The Astros look especially solid tonight because they are a strong bounce-back team.
They are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.
Best Bet: Rockies ML at +118 & Astros ML at -151 at +264 odds with BetOnline
