P2W Thursday bases

[Play2win]

Bal +110 0.5u
KC +128 0.5u

 

[Elbutre88]

w/you on both, play. let's gettum.

 

[edou1x]

@Play2win: How can you back KC when venture alloed 8 Runs in 8 innings over his last 2 starts@CWS?? + CWS is on a LWLWLW betting pattern that is not very frequent in MLB where wins and losses tend to be more streaky than in any other sports, but BOL with your wager anyway and CWS is hitting 0,340 vs righties at the moment

 

[edou1x]

just waiting for the umpire but unless it's eddings or some body like that will be on CWS O TT and CWS-KC O7

 

[austinhous]

I saw a few good reasons to bet KC. First off, the Royals have the lowest K rate in baseball and are leading the MLB in batting average and runs scored. They're 10-2 SU in your boy Ventura's starts lined greater than -105 in his career and 10-0 SU in those games when they scored more than zero runs. If you are looking for value in baseball, taking KC in those twelve games has netted you a +75.8% return on your investment. That's a good return with low relative risk compared to taking huge favorites.

Sale has gone 6.0 innings in his first two starts this season, throwing 101 and 98 pitches per start, and their bullpen threw 49 pitches last night. Since 2013 the White Sox are 4-10 SU in Sale's starts when he goes less than 7.0 IP and they used three or more relievers in the previous game. Sale is 6-1 SU versus the Royals and 7-0 to the under when he goes 7 or more innings. But when he goes less than 7 innings versus the Royals, the Sox are only 1-5 SU.

Add to it that the Royals are 15-5 SU @CWS since 2013 (2-2 SU versus Sale). They've scored 6.6 runs per game in Yordano's five starts @CWS, including a 6-2 SU win versus Sale on September 17 last season. P2 might have different reasons, but those are the reasons why I am backing KC tonight. BOL

 

[gsro]

gluck P2W

 

[Play2win]

Thanks guys. Maybe I'll get some time later, if so I'll post some quick KC thoughts. BOL.

 

[Play2win]

I saw a few good reasons to bet KC. First off, the Royals have the lowest K rate in baseball and are leading the MLB in batting average and runs scored. They're 10-2 SU in your boy Ventura's starts lined greater than -105 in his career and 10-0 SU in those games when they scored more than zero runs. If you are looking for value in baseball, taking KC in those twelve games has netted you a +75.8% return on your investment. That's a good return with low relative risk compared to taking huge favorites.

Sale has gone 6.0 innings in his first two starts this season, throwing 101 and 98 pitches per start, and their bullpen threw 49 pitches last night. Since 2013 the White Sox are 4-10 SU in Sale's starts when he goes less than 7.0 IP and they used three or more relievers in the previous game. Sale is 6-1 SU versus the Royals and 7-0 to the under when he goes 7 or more innings. But when he goes less than 7 innings versus the Royals, the Sox are only 1-5 SU.

Add to it that the Royals are 15-5 SU @CWS since 2013 (2-2 SU versus Sale). They've scored 6.6 runs per game in Yordano's five starts @CWS, including a 6-2 SU win versus Sale on September 17 last season. P2 might have different reasons, but those are the reasons why I am backing KC tonight. BOL

great stuff as always :shake:

 

[bloodhound]

Bal +110 0.5u
KC +128 0.5u

On both Bal and KC...no prob backing either SP and their run support

:cheers:

 

[tuck321]

Will be on them myself but the 4 days rest has haunted him.

 

[Play2win]

Ventura as a dog is auto play for me, KC as dog in general close to auto play. I don't take any Ventura stats serious as we are yet to see the best of him. KC is known for pitching and defense, right? Well they are great at both but they can hit too..#1 in avg .303, #2 ops, #3 hits, #5 runs , #3 tb...KC .299 vs LHP (#3 mlb) and have scored most runs mlb vs Lhp with 37, CWS #21 runs vs RHP.
Sale was great in his last start and I had him , that was 5 days today on 4..not a problem statistically but just saying, also March/April not best for Sale.
I really think KC was in look ahead mode last night, the way this team hits 6 hits and no runs vs Pelfrey, KC already had 2 of 3 there no urgency. I think they plate those runs tonight, 8 LOB yesterday and 1 for 7 RISP.
Love that Morales 2/3 2B, HR vs Sale, Cain 13/37 .351, Escobar 18/45 .400, Perez 11/37 .297 vs Sale.

KC: 11-1 L12 road/dog
KC: 15-6 L21 road overall
KC: 7-2 L9 off a loss
KC: 13-4 Ventura road starts L2 seasons, 7-0 L7
CWS: 8-20 L28 off a win
CWS: 5-12 L17 home fav -110 to -150

 

[Play2win]

As great as Sale is CWS only 4-5 in his last 9 starts

 

[Bushleague]

Good luck p2w, on both of these promising pups as well

 

[Play2win]

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[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]PITCHED FOR[/TD]
[TD="width: 7%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]RUNS[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]OPP[/TD]
[TD="width: 7%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]RUNS[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]IP[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]ER[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]BB[/TD]
[TD="width: 3%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]K'S[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]TEAM RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]O/U RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%, bgcolor: #084A6A"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
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[/TR]
[TR="class: Sport_data"]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]04/06/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]KC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]10[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]CHW[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 4%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 3%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]7½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]O[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]-119[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 15%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]J Samardzija[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: Sport_data"]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]09/28/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]KC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 7%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]@CHW[/TD]
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[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]O[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 8%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]175[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 15%, bgcolor: #CCCCCC"]C Bassitt[/TD]
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[TR="class: Sport_data"]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]09/17/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]KC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 7%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]CHW[/TD]
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[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 3%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]6½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]O[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 8%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]-109[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 15%, bgcolor: #F0F0F0"]C Sale[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
2 of last 3 Ventura vs CWS were good

KC 7-1 L8 vs CWS, 5-1 L6 at CWS

 

[BJPLAYER]

gl p2w....we need some arms in boston

 

[smo1a]

GL P2. On balty as well. Lean over in Chicago, but ya'll have some good arguments for KC. Go get em!