P2W 5/12 MLB

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
5/11: +0.4u
MLB Season: +2.099u

5/12

Tor @ Bal o9 (-110)
Min +137
Mil +113
Mia +118 and +140 (avg +129 1u)
LAA RL +115
KC -122
Atl @ CIN o8 (-105)
Arz F5 +125
Ellsbury o2 H+R+RBI -120
KC ml/LAA RL/o9 in Tor/Cavs ml parlay 0.1/0.833u
LAA TT o4.5 -105
LAA/Sea parlay +175
Live KC -130

All listed pitchers, 0.5u each
 
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Bal @ Tor o9 (-110): Both lineups capable of putting up runs, both starting pitchers off form, both pens capable of allowing runs, Dreckman should'nt hurt, third time Tillman vs Tor this season 7 ER in both, third time around Buehrle vs Bal.
Over 14-6 L20 Buehrle starts

Min +137: love Gibson on 5 days rest 7-1 3.55, was slapped around by Det this season but that was his first start of the season. Simon is very lucky to be 4-1 imo, and has not made it past 5th inning in each of his last two starts.
Det: 3-6 L9 home games scoring 2 runs in 2 of those games and 1 run in 3 of those games.
Min: 5-0 L5 off a loss, 9-2 L11 games overall, 6-2 L8 as dog

LAA RL +115: Wilson has been good, Kendrick has been awful allowing 6,8,4,6,8 ER's in his last 5 starts, LAA piles on the runs then scores more vs shitty rox pen.
Col: 3-13 L16 off a loss, 14-32 off 3 or more consecutive L's last two seasons.

Mil +113: fading Sale who has allowed 14 runs, 13 earned in his last 2 starts 8.1 innings, Fiers is capable at home and had a great start vs CWS last season.
CWS: 0-7 L7 road, 2-12 road this season
Mil: playing much better lately after a poor start, 3-0 L3 games, 8-4 L12 games, 6-3 L9 home games.

Four down, 4 to go..
 
KC -122: Considering the spot KC had absolutely no chance yesterday, Martinez due for regression. .starting tonight.
KC: 24-14 (+11.7u) on the road off a L last 2 seasons
Tex: 3-8 L11 Martinez home starts, 0-8 L8 Martinez home starts vs team with a winning record.

Atl @ CIN o8 (-105): Both teams just had a good look at each pitcher on 5/1, Foltynewicz 2 starts this season 5.0, 5.1 IP...Descalfani 5.0 IP in each of his last 3 starts..means I fully expect both pens to help with this over as well, nice wind blowing out to CF, Holbrook has been neutral with totals this season and in '13 (no games '14) but was on a nice over run '11-'12, 2011: over 20-10, 2012: over 19-13

Arz F5 +125: taking F5 is so I can avoid Arz pen and limit Nats bats as well, I've been aboard the Stras fade train all season and now he has back issues, Arizona's DLR had a strong outing in his last 7 IP 3 hits 8K's vs SD, Nats have never faced him which should help, DLR has pitched at least 5 innings in each start this season and 6 innings in 4 starts this season, DLR's L2 home starts 14 IP 1 ER 2 BB 15 K's
Was: 2-5 L7 Stras starts, 3-13 L16 Stras Tues starts, 4-9 L13 game 2 of series

Mia +118: price moved way against me and after I see lineups may have to go back for more. LAD killing it at home but I have Haren as the better SP, Haren has been very good this season only allowing more than 2 ER's in 1 start out of 6, also has a 1 ER start and 0 ER start to go with it.
Mia: 15-6 L21 tues, 5-1 L6 game 2 of series, 5-2 L7 off a loss
 
Play2Win

I played Texas 1st 5 because,


When Nick Martinez pitches Texas is 6-0 when he starts, and this time, they'll be seeing a face from their past.
Edinson Volquez began his career with the Rangers 10 years ago and will pitch as a visitor in Arlington for the first time Tuesday night when his Kansas City Royals look to even this four-game set.
Martinez (2-0, 1.47 ERA) has been one of baseball's biggest early surprises with the majors' second-lowest ERA. The second-year starter spent the bulk of his college career at unheralded Fordham as an infielder, and he's succeeding despite averaging 3.68 strikeouts per nine innings for baseball's third-worst mark among qualifiers.
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He's searching for his first win in five starts after allowing three runs over 4 2-3 innings in Thursday's 5-4 victory at Tampa Bay. The right-hander, who has yet to allow a homer, has never faced the Royals - who lead the majors with a .287 average.
The only Kansas City hitter he has faced is Kendrys Morales, who is 1 for 6 off him.
Volquez (2-3, 2.65) expects to make this start after allowing three runs over three innings Thursday before he exited due to a blister on his right thumb that popped in a 7-4 win over Cleveland. He issued six walks for the first time in two seasons.
The right-hander went 3-11 in 20 appearances - 17 starts - with the Rangers between 200 5-07 before he was traded to Cincinnati in a deal that brought Josh Hamilton to Texas. Volquez's only career start against the Rangers was a 7-3 loss with San Diego in which he gave up six runs in five innings on June 19, 2012.
Prince Fielder is 4 for 18 with a homer against Volquez and Adrian Beltre is 2 for 11.
Beltre has gone 4 for 8 with two homers and four RBIs in consecutive victories for Texas (14-18), which opened this series with Monday's 8-2 rout. He drilled his 399th homer in the fourth inning as the Rangers won for the sixth time in eight games.
'I'm feeling better,' said Beltre, who has raised his average from .140 to .244 over the past 20 games. 'Offensively, everybody is doing better. No doubt that we didn't want to start as slow as we did, but it's a long season, and we need to start picking it up a little bit.'
Another hitter slowly showing improvement is Shin-Soo Choo, who is batting .304 during an 11-game hitting streak that has raised his average from .096 to .194.
The Royals (20-12) finished with five hits and looked sluggish. They didn't arrive in Texas until about 5:45 a.m. Monday after their 10-inning, rain-delayed victory at Detroit that ended after midnight.
'It's definitely a factor, but it's all part of the grind,' said first baseman Eric Hosmer, who is hitting .339 with 15 RBIs over his last 14 games. 'I don't know if that was the reason. You've got to credit those guys."
Third baseman Mike Moustakas returned from a three-game absence on the bereavement list and went 0 for 3 with a walk.
 
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