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Play2win

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STL -136 ml 0.5u (Ross @ Garcia)

Stl .276 team avg season, 141 runs scored
Nats .232 team avg season, 87 runs scored
L7 days (7 games) STL .295 team avg
L7 days (6 games) Nats .214 team avg, last in MLB
STL hitting .283 at home and .300 in day games
Nats hitting .235 on road and .216 in day games

Ross was forced to leave his last start and also missed another start due to a blister on his pitching hand.
Ross @ home: 10 games/8 starts 2.28 ERA
Ross on road: 9 games/8 starts 4.07 ERA
1 start LY vs/at STL allowed 3 ER in 2.2 innings, 6 walks
10 games/9 night starts 2.49 ERA but 9 games/7 day starts 3.80 ERA
1 start w/ Nelson 4 ER in 4 innings

Garcia is 11-4 2.35 ERA in March/April starts
L2 starts vs Nats 4 hits and 1 earned in 5.2 innings and 5 hits with 1 earned run in 7 innings
38 games/37 starts in day 16-7 2.90 ERA
404.2 career innings @ Busch 2.65 ERA, 2 home starts this season 1.29 ERA and 10 home starts last season 1.70 ERA

Nats 2-5 L7 Ross road starts
Nats 0-6 L6 Ross starts vs team with a winning record
STL 6-2 L8 off a loss
STL 7-1 L8 Garcia starts off a team loss in previous game
 
Play2win said:
STL -136 ml 0.5u (Ross @ Garcia)

Stl .276 team avg season, 141 runs scored
Nats .232 team avg season, 87 runs scored
L7 days (7 games) STL .295 team avg
L7 days (6 games) Nats .214 team avg, last in MLB
STL hitting .283 at home and .300 in day games
Nats hitting .235 on road and .216 in day games

Ross was forced to leave his last start and also missed another start due to a blister on his pitching hand.
Ross @ home: 10 games/8 starts 2.28 ERA
Ross on road: 9 games/8 starts 4.07 ERA
1 start LY vs/at STL allowed 3 ER in 2.2 innings, 6 walks
10 games/9 night starts 2.49 ERA but 9 games/7 day starts 3.80 ERA
1 start w/ Nelson 4 ER in 4 innings

Garcia is 11-4 2.35 ERA in March/April starts
L2 starts vs Nats 4 hits and 1 earned in 5.2 innings and 5 hits with 1 earned run in 7 innings
38 games/37 starts in day 16-7 2.90 ERA
404.2 career innings @ Busch 2.65 ERA, 2 home starts this season 1.29 ERA and 10 home starts last season 1.70 ERA

Nats 2-5 L7 Ross road starts
Nats 0-6 L6 Ross starts vs team with a winning record
STL 6-2 L8 off a loss
STL 7-1 L8 Garcia starts off a team loss in previous game
Click to expand...


BOL Player
 
PHI +119 ml 0.5u (Bauer @ Eickhoff)

Eickhoff was knocked around in his last start giving up 7 earned runs at Milwaukee but maybe he can bounce back in this home start...5 home starts 1.59 ERA vs 7 road starts 4.35 ERA and also has a 1.83 ERA in 8 night starts.

Bauer will be making his first start of the season and has allowed 6 earned runs in 6 relief appearances this season. He has a 4.50 ERA in 64 career starts.

Phillies have won 7 of their last 8 games
Indians are 4-9 L13 Bauer starts
Home team has won 10 of last 11 games with Rackley behind the plate
 
Ross this season
[TABLE="class: data"]
<tbody>[TR="bgcolor: #FFFFFF"]
[TD="class: datacell"][/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
[h=3]Last 10 | Season[/h] [TABLE="class: data"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]Date[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]Opp[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]S/R[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]Res[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]Scr[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]M/L[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]IP[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]H[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]R[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]ER[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]SO[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]BB[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]HR[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]PIT[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]P/IP[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2b"]G/F[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD] 4/20/2016[/TD]
[TD] @ MIA [/TD]
[TD] S [/TD]
[TD] ND[/TD]
[TD] 3-1[/TD]
[TD] W -106[/TD]
[TD] U 8[/TD]
[TD] 2.0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 33[/TD]
[TD] 16.5[/TD]
[TD] 1.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD] 4/15/2016[/TD]
[TD] @ PHI [/TD]
[TD] S [/TD]
[TD] W[/TD]
[TD] 9-1[/TD]
[TD] W -140[/TD]
[TD] O 7.5[/TD]
[TD] 7.2[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0 [/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 107[/TD]
[TD] 14.0[/TD]
[TD] 1.60[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD] 4/10/2016[/TD]
[TD] MIA [/TD]
[TD] S [/TD]
[TD] W[/TD]
[TD] 4-2[/TD]
[TD] W -150[/TD]
[TD] U 8[/TD]
[TD] 7.0[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1 [/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 97[/TD]
[TD] 13.9 [/TD]
[TD] 2.33[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
No real interest in betting against this.
Last year was last year
 
Mets/Marlins ml parlay +199 0.5u

Mia is 6-0 in their last 6 games, all on the road
Mil is 1-6 in their last 7 games
Anderson has 3 career starts @ Miller and a 7.71 ERA
Chen has a good start with Hamari
Mil hitting .175 vs LHP this season and are 3-10 in their L13 vs starting LHP
Road team has won 4 of L5 with Hamari behind plate

Cain on 5 days rest has been a problem...2014 5 days rest 0-5 4.04 35.2 IP, 2015 5 days rest 0-2 8.27 20.2 IP, 2016 5 days rest 0-1 11.57 4.2 IP
SF is 3-12 L15 Cain starts on 5 days rest
Cain in March/April: 8-16 3.96 ERA (his highest era for any month throughout his career)
4 starts this season for Cain 6.43 ERA
Cain day: 2015 23 IP 5.48 ERA and 2016 10.1 IP 8.71 ERA
deGrom 2.34 ERA in his L27 starts, 2 starts vs SF 1.17 ERA, 20 day starts 12-2 1.31 ERA, 26 starts at Citi 1.86 ERA
 
Some indication based on days rest that Jordan may be off his game today but not Tyler
 
CIN F5 +180 0.5u (Simon @ Liriano)

I'll go the F5 route here and avoid Cin pen, mlb worst era 6.29
Cin 165 AB's vs LHP .273 avg and 26 runs/568 AB's vs RHP .231 avg and 60 runs
Simon has been atrocious 16.39 ERA but did have a good start vs Pit this season, 5 IP 5 hits 1 ER 2 BB 7 K's
Pit bats 32/143 .224 vs Simon
Simon 2.27 career ERA @ PNC in 39.2 innings
Simon has 3 games and 1 start w/ Hernandez 2.08 ERA

Liriano 4 starts this season 4.64 ERA, 6.97 ERA in his last 2 starts
Liriano in March/April: 7-19 5.22 ERA
Vs Cin this season 5 IP 5 hits 3 ER 4 walks 3 K's
4 career starts w/ Hernandez he's 0-3 6.00 ERA 21 innings
 
KC -104 ml 1u (Ventura @ Miley)

Ventura 4 starts this season 2.35 ERA
On 5 days rest 15-6 3.27 ERA 23 starts
2 Safeco starts 3.00 ERA
Had a start w/ B. Welke last season 6 IP 2 H 0 ER 4 BB 11 K's

Miley 4 starts this season 7.04 ERA
25 Games/22 Starts in March/April 4.70 ERA
5 days rest 56 starts 4.53 ERA
1 Safeco start 10 hits 6 earned runs in 6 innings

KC 9-2 L11 (0-2 L2) after they score 2 or less runs in previous game
KC 13-3 in Ventura starts off a loss in previous game last 2 seasons
Sea 1-10 after shutting out their opponent last 3 seasons
 
NYY +113 ml 0.5u (Pineda @ Porcello)

Pineda is on his best rest of 5 days
4 days: 12-12 4.60 ERA 27 starts
5 days: 12-5 2.54 ERA 26 starts
6+ days: 3-10 4.61 ERA 19 starts
NYY is 11-3 L14 Pineda starts on 5 days rest
He had 2 Fenway starts last season 2-0 1.42 ERA

Porcello 19 career Fenway starts 9-8 4.58 ERA
Bos is 3-7 L10 Porcello starts on 4 days rest
He has 3 starts w/ Iassogna all were in 2010 1-2 6.75 ERA
Ellsbury 12/25 .480 avg 2 2B 4 HR vs Porcello
Beltran 8/19 .421 vs Porcello
 
Play2win said:
CWS +145 ml 0.5u
Click to expand...
At this price I'll take a shot even though Latos 0-9 in road starts vs team with winning record L3 seasons (teams record)
Bal 9-1 home but CWS good on road 10-5
Latos off to a great start 4-0 0.74 ERA and I don't trust Gausman
CWS is 11-4 L15 vs RHP and 8-3 L11 on road vs RHP
O's 1-4 L5 vs RHP
O's are 8-17 L25 Gausman starts
O's 4-9 L13 Gausman starts on 4 days rest, 2-7 in his L9 starts vs team with a winning record
 
I didn't start capping for tomorrow and I won't be around until later in the day but I see a couple angles...

Pit 21-4 home/day games L2 seasons
LAA 2-12 road/Sunday games L2 seasons
 
I had SD yesterday but could make a case for LAD today
SD: 5-16 L21 after a win
SD: 3-13 L16 when opponent scores 2 runs or less in previous game
SD: 1-10 L11 after allowing 2 runs or less in previous game
 
Play2win said:
NYY +113 ml 0.5u (Pineda @ Porcello)

Pineda is on his best rest of 5 days
4 days: 12-12 4.60 ERA 27 starts
5 days: 12-5 2.54 ERA 26 starts
6+ days: 3-10 4.61 ERA 19 starts
NYY is 11-3 L14 Pineda starts on 5 days rest
He had 2 Fenway starts last season 2-0 1.42 ERA

Porcello 19 career Fenway starts 9-8 4.58 ERA
Bos is 3-7 L10 Porcello starts on 4 days rest
He has 3 starts w/ Iassogna all were in 2010 1-2 6.75 ERA
Ellsbury 12/25 .480 avg 2 2B 4 HR vs Porcello
Beltran 8/19 .421 vs Porcello
Click to expand...


good luck play i agree with all your plays today....struggling with pineda though due to his inconsistency and porcello's numbers posted above don't reflect his current form....he has his arm angle dialed in and when he has that form he is very tough to hit....i kinda like under and i do expect an excellent outing from pineda....i think if we had bet the dog in every yanks/sox game for the past 15 years we would be miles ahead....lov your stuff
 
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