Opinions needed

[Rjdbruin]

I have 3 open parlays with Bet365

5 teamer that pays $9700, cash out is $5600 (now $6000). Obviously it's headed in the right direction on all 3 parlays.

9 teamer (now 8 teamer) with N.C.St void that pays $2500, cash out is $1100

9 teamer (7 team rr) with just W.V. wrong that pays $2100, cash out is $1400

All 3 parlays have K.St -3.5

Do I let it ride, cash out 1, 2 or all of them or hedge with L.S.U. now getting 6.5

Thanks

 

[smo1a]

I'd hedge a bit personally and take some free money with a pretty good middle opp to scoop.

 

[guaranteeed]

I am usually in the dont hedge area. But since you're set up really nice, maybe cash out to cover your initial bets if possible? Make it a true free roll

I know you can use the cash out slider at bet365 so you can set it to get a specific amount, dont need to cash out entire bet

 

[guaranteeed]

Totally depends on your confidence in the bet still. Would you make the straight up bet at this number, do you think it's still +ev do have kansas st.

 

[wizardofodd]

What position are you in is the question also...

How much do you normally bet and how much did you put on those plays?

With the middle opportunity, I always take a positive return and shoot for the middle, so just to give an example on the above without knowing the details, I would

Take out the $6K and bet $2500 on LSU+7

KState covers, you net $6K
LSU covers, you net $6K
KSt wins by 4,5,6, you net $11K
of course you can also get that push on LSU+7 and net $8500

 

[Rjdbruin]

I am usually in the dont hedge area. But since you're set up really nice, maybe cash out to cover your initial bets if possible? Make it a true free roll

I know you can use the cash out slider at bet365 so you can set it to get a specific amount, dont need to cash out entire bet

My initial bets are more than covered as I had already won a 4 & 7 teamer. We all know how waiting on your last bet to come in goes and because it will be a few e tra days for this game to play from the last bowl games has got my mind whirling.

I don't really post picks on here but I can say this bowl season I have had only 3 wrong and 2 of those I bet with my heart (Cncy & Michigan) because I wanted them to win.

Being here in Ontario, Canada and have this thing they call proline that even my wife plays (for peanuts) of course but she has cash many 3 & 4 team parlays. She is always wondering why I just play small when playing.... because BET365 is for my only but she does always ask me why I have the green screen on to which I reply the score updates for games is way faster then t.v.

 

[Rjdbruin]

What position are you in is the question also...

How much do you normally bet and how much did you put on those plays?

With the middle opportunity, I always take a positive return and shoot for the middle, so just to give an example on the above without knowing the details, I would

Take out the $6K and bet $2500 on LSU+7

KState covers, you net $6K
LSU covers, you net $6K
KSt wins by 4,5,6, you net $11K
of course you can also get that push on LSU+7 and net $8500

Trust me, I have been pondering that all day now the BET365 finally put up a cashout today as there was nothing yesterday.

The $9700 was originally $31,000 but I got scared and did a few edits thus causing the payout to come down (big mistake) or I would just need K.St for that amount.

If I do nothing and L.S.U. scores first then I am on pins and needles as the cash out amounts goes down.

I haven't looked but something is going on for the number to jump from 3.5 to 4.5 and now to 6.5

 

[PaintCrew]

There is never any perfect answer to this as like the others says it depends on your normal outlay, risk tolerance, and a million other factors. In the end you simply have attack it where you are comfortable with any outcome. If it's $$$ that would help out the family this year that you'd be kicking yourself for not securing.... I'd hedge some to lock a nice chunk in. My gut tells me if your mind is whirling about all the options it's probably healthiest to lock a bunch of profit in and potentially hit it even bigger with a middle.

I like @wizardofodd 's approach up above.

No matter what you are in a phenomenal spot and simply do what's best for you & family and enjoy the ride!

 

[jedi ninja]

Always hedge. Especially when there is a middle involved, and even more so when the middle looks like it’ll be a TD. That’s a dream scenario.

 

[Rjdbruin]

Hearing LSU doesn't have a rostered QB with a few more opt outs and apparently the interim coach will not be coaching.

Just things I just read but not sure how accurate!

I hate to see the game get canceled!

 

[twinkie13]

It won’t cancel. I seriously doubt it. Jontre Kirklin is gonna play QB. Now, he hasn’t thrown the ball in a bit but neither did Jarvis Landry. You seen him throw a pass?
Jontre is a HS legend at Lutcher. The other 2 QBs are walkons

 

[cubsker]

Figure out your edge, plug into Kelly calculator......profit.

 

[Rjdbruin]

Well the gambler in me stayed the course and didn't take the cashout (good decision) and even added plenty on the K.St. tt . A very good ending to a very good bowl season.

Thanks to everyone that had input $$$

 

[twinkie13]

Well the gambler in me stayed the course and didn't take the cashout (good decision) and even added plenty on the K.St. tt . A very good ending to a very good bowl season.

Thanks to everyone that had input $$$

Well done bro