October

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
CFL
LAST - [9-11 -8.2u]
YEAR - [39-40 -24.02u]

Early action...

SATURDAY
  • 115 4/3.85 ILLINOIS +6½ -104
  • 143 3/2.86 Northern Illinois -4½ -105
  • 149 3/2.86 Navy +14 -105
  • 158 3/2.86 Memphis -18½ -105
  • 176 3/2.86 MISSISSIPPI u55 -105
  • 183 3/2.86 OKLAHOMA o69½ -105
  • 186 3/2.86 Iowa u42 -105
Alltime...home chalk of 10 or more has only covered 40% when a total of 40 or less :cowboy:

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Thanks to the "woke" era we get...

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mid-afternoon...
  • 131 3/2.86 Michigan State +7½ -105
  • 156 3/2.86 UL Lafayette u47½ -105
  • 181 3/2.91 Mississippi St u44½ -103
  • 195 3/2.91 Central Michigan +6½ -103
  • 197 3/2.86 Miami Ohio +3 -105
  • 201 3/2.88 BOWLING GREEN -9-104

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night card...
  • 127 3/2.91 NC State +6½ -103
  • 188 3/2.88 WEST VIRGINIA o61 -104
  • 189 4/3.81 Auburn u45 -105
  • 213 3/2.86 TROY STATE +5½ -105
  • 218 3/2.86 Wyoming u42½ -105

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CFL
LAST - [9-9 +0.68u]
YEAR - [48-49 -23.34u]


SUNDAY
  • 2.20/2 E.Washington / Florida o70 -110



Such a rarity of CFG on a Sunday in October,
.......I just hadda have a little action. :rubbingin:​


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CFL
LAST - [0-1 -2.2u]
YEAR - [48-50 -25.54u]

Can't seem to get off the snide this year, as I've been sucking hind tit. Hopefully, I can right the ship today and start moving forward. I do really like several spots today FWIW.

:haveanidea:

SATURDAY (early action)
  • 4/4.00 313 Purdue +3 +100
  • 3/2.78 319 Michigan -22
  • 4/3.81 337 TCU -7½ -105
  • 4/3.74 337 TCU o68½ -107
  • 4/3.85 378 LSU u64½ -104
  • 4/3.85 383 TEXAS o65 -104
  • 4/3.81 390 Miss St u57 -105
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  • TCU has surprised many with huge wins vs SMU and Oklahoma. They face another hot and rising Top 25 team in KU. TCU is clicking in all areas and looks to have a very high ceiling. Most likely, the Jayhawks' offense will be overmatched by the Frogs' D today. TCU has a solid DPA average of -5.25 on the year with a positive DPS of +3.0 as well. KU while logging an amazing -20 DPA on the year, also blows on offense...underperforming at an average of -13.5 DPS!
  • Big Blue is loaded and the Hoosiers really blow. UM has been dominant and outscored opponents by 33.8 ppg! They are 7-1 vs IU in the Harbaugh era. The Wolves should be able to name the score today and should easily cover this big number.

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Here's all the teams above 60% ATS for 2021-22 with total wins and average DPS/DPA

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...and here's the losers below 40% ATS
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mid-afternoon...
  • 4/3.81 323 Virginia Tech +14½ -105
  • 4/3.81 330 Massachusetts u46 -105
  • 4/3.81 382 TEXAS TECH o66 -105
  • 4/3.81 391 Wisconsin -10 -105
  • 4/3.81 392 NORTHWESTERN u44½ -105
  • 4/3.81 396 Navy u46½ -105
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nite card...
  • 3/2.86 334 Kentucky u45 -105
  • 4/3.85 356 IOWA STATE u45-104
  • 4/3.81 387 SOUTHERN MISS +7-105
  • 4/3.81 410 NEW MEXICO u37-105
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CFL
LAST - [7-9-1 -9.08u]
YEAR - [55-59 -34.62u]

THURSDAY
  • 3.21/3 BAYLOR -3 -107
  • 3.15/3 WEST VIRGINIA u55-105
  • 3.15/3 TEMPLE +23½ -105
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CFL
YEAR - [55-62 -44.13u]
LAST - [0-3 -9.51u]


SATURDAY
  • 3.09/3 MIAMI FLORIDA -7½ -103
  • 2.94/3 CENTRAL MICHIGAN -13 +102
  • 2.94/3 MINNESOTA -7 +102
  • 3.15/3 Illinois u39½ -105
  • 3.15/3 Oklahoma o64 -105
  • 3.09/3 Nevada -6½ -103

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mid-afternoon :cheerclap:
  • 3.15/3 TENNESSEE u67½ -105
  • 3.15/3 GEORGIA -37½ -105
  • 3/15/3 SYRACUSE -3 -105
  • 3.24/3 Tulane -11½ -108
  • 3.15/3 NORTHERN ILLINOIS +3½ -105
  • 3.15/3 ARKANSAS +1 -105
  • 3.15/3 TCU -5 -105
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:cheerclap:
 
NIGHT CARD
  • 3.15/3 NORTH CAROLINA -7 -105
  • 3.15/3 NEW MEXICO ST +7 -105
  • 3.12/3 SAN JOSE ST -7 -104
  • 5.25/5 UTAH ST -14 -105

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CFL
YEAR - [63-72 -53.16u]
LAST - [8-10 -9.03u]

THURSDAY
  • 3/2.86 Virginia +3 -105
What a dumpster fire this season has been so far, no where to go but up

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68% ATS winner over last 10 years when:
  • away team w/line from +4 and -4
  • previous delta pts scored <= -10
  • opp previous delta pts allowed >=8
Pictured last 35... 23-12 ATS 65.7%​


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:tongueout2:​
 
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CFB
YEAR - [65-72 -47.36u]
LAST - [2-0 +5.8u]

FRIDAY
  • 3/2.86 Tulsa -13 -105
  • 3/2.86 UAB +1½ -105

Finally a decent night, but still a huge hole I'm trying to get out of...

Another nice 63% trend over last 7 years:
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This one seems to be more streaky as it has gone 12-7 the other way for approx the past L23 months and 17-4 the 13 months before that. It is showing signs of getting back on track after going 4-4 L8. My confidence level is not what it was last night, especially laying huge wood on a Friday night...but I'll give it a shot as this Owls team is truly atrocious.
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CFB
YEAR - [65-74 -53.36u]
LAST - [0-2 -6u]

Saturday
  • 3.15/3 Ohio State -29 -105
  • 3.00/3 NAVY +3 +100
  • 3.18/3 AIR FORCE -1½ -106
  • 3.15/3 MINNESOTA +5 -105
  • 3.24/3 Hawaii +6½ -108

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CFB
YEAR - [65-72 -47.36u]
LAST - [2-0 +5.8u]

FRIDAY
  • 3/2.86 Tulsa -13 -105
  • 3/2.86 UAB +1½ -105

Finally a decent night, but still a huge hole I'm trying to get out of...

Another nice 63% trend over last 7 years:
EqUuNof.png

This one seems to be more streaky as it has gone 12-7 the other way for approx the past L23 months and 17-4 the 13 months before that. It is showing signs of getting back on track after going 4-4 L8. My confidence level is not what it was last night, especially laying huge wood on a Friday night...but I'll give it a shot as this Owls team is truly atrocious.
View attachment 69583
View attachment 69584

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Nice angle. I only recently realized you could use dps/dpa as a search term.
 
CFB
YEAR - [68-77 -56.69u]
LAST - [2-3 -3.33u]

SATURDAY
  • 4/3.85 125 Miami Ohio -8 -104
  • 4/3.81 135 OHIO STATE -15½ -105
  • 4/3.74 139 NOTRE DAME +1½ -107
  • 4/3.57 143 MIAMI FLORIDA -2½ -112
  • 3/2.86 154 RUTGERS +14 -105
  • 4/3.77 155 RUTGERS o40 -106
  • 4/3.81 159 Oklahoma -1 -105
  • 4/3.88 186 Auburn +3 -103

Penn St can't keep up in the shootout the Buckeyes will force down their throat. PSU's options at QB are not great and that will be a problem. The Ohio State U will look to run it up and impress the BCS to come out on top. They are 4-0-1 ATS in L5 and seem to be hitting on all cylinders. Happy Valley may be Sad Valley today. ;/

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mid-afternoon...
  • 4/3.81 147 Northwestern +11½ -105
  • 4/3.81 152 Iowa o37½ -105
  • 4/3.81 157 Georgia State u54½ -105
  • 4/3.81 187 South Alabama -9½ -105
  • 4/3.81 190 Arkansas State u52 -105
  • 4/3.81 187 Temple +14½ -105
  • 4/3.88 190 WESTERN KENTUCKY -10 -103
  • 4/3.64 8904 APPALACHIAN STATE u59½ -110

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Night games...
  • 4/3.88 COASTAL CAROLINA +2½ -103
  • 4/3.81 Arizona State -13 -105
  • 4/3.88 COLORADO STATE +25 -103
  • 4/3.85 MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE +2½ -104
  • 4/3.54 San Diego State +10½ -113
  • 4/3.81 Nevada +24½ -105
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Finally, a good week to finish the month. There's still plenty of work to be done to right the ship, but a least this brings hope.

CFB
YEAR - [81-86 -42.52u]
LAST - [13-9 +14.17u]

SATURDAY
✅4/3.85 125 Miami Ohio -8 -104
❌4/3.81 135 OHIO STATE -15½ -105
✅4/3.74 139 NOTRE DAME +1½ -107
❌4/3.57 143 MIAMI FLORIDA -2½ -112
❌3/2.86 154 RUTGERS +14 -105
❌4/3.77 155 RUTGERS o40 -106
✅4/3.81 159 Oklahoma -1 -105
❌4/3.88 186 Auburn +3 -103
❌4/3.81 147 Northwestern +11½ -105
✅4/3.81 148 Iowa o37½ -105
✅4/3.81 152 Georgia State u54½ -105
✅4/3.81 157 South Alabama -9½ -105
✅4/3.81 158 Arkansas State u52 -105
✅4/3.81 187 Temple +14½ -105
❌4/3.88 190 WESTERN KENTUCKY -10 -103
✅4/3.64 8904 APPALACHIAN STATE u59½ -110
✅4/3.88 COASTAL CAROLINA +2½ -103
❌4/3.81 Arizona State -13 -105
❌4/3.88 COLORADO STATE +25 -103
✅4/3.85 MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE +2½ -104
✅4/3.54 San Diego State +10½ -113
✅4/3.81 Nevada +24½ -105

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