NOV 22-26

[mrpickem]

[91-70-9 56.5% +17.67u]

• 105 Chicago Bears -3 -115
• 107 Washington Redskins +7 -110
• 109 Atlanta Falcons/New Orleans Saints Under 60 -108

Bears just looks too easy, Lions defense garbage and bears fairly complete team
Really think the boys have packed it in and Garret is gone after season
POD is under 60 in night cap...
20 times home team has been favored by 10 or more on Thursday and 80% went under the total

also when a hot home team that has covered at least 5 of last 6 hosts a struggling opponent that has only cover 2 or less of last 6...the under cashes over 60% over last 10 years

not to mention the dog covers 61% of those games as well

now it's time to party

View attachment 36001

:cheers3:

 

[B.A.R.]

Haha. Nice pic. Good luck.

 

[mrpickem]

Well hell...that was tougher than expected but congrats Bear backers :cheers3:

 

[Mitur Binisdirty]

Love the Under pick. Odds makers thinking this is Rams/Chiefs 2.0? Good luck!

 

[mrpickem]

adding

• 109 Atlanta Falcons/New Orleans Saints 1st Half Under 31 -108

 

[mrpickem]

3-1 ON TURKEY DAY...NOT BAD AT ALL

• 251 Jacksonville Jaguars -3 -115
• 251 Jacksonville Jaguars/Buffalo Bills Over 36½ -105
• 253 Oakland Raiders +12½ -102
• 255 San Francisco 49ers/Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 54½ -105
• 257 New York Giants +4½ -102
• 257 New York Giants +190 ~ .5u
• 257 New York Giants/Philadelphia Eagles Under 49 -102
• 261 New England Patriots/New York Jets Over 46½ -103
• 264 Carolina Panthers -3 -110

Jax -3 (Steelers had to fight back to beat Jax last week. Fournette rushed 28 times and Jax is finally running the offense they envisioned in the beginning of the season. I don't see how anyone takes the bills with any confidence here)
NYG +5 ... I dont have any confidence in PHI atm and any team with Odell and Saquon and a reliable qb has a good chance anywhere and even better vs this current philly team. Despite injuries in secondary I think the DL makes up for it with mad pressure all day

Bonus prop spot: Mccaffrey under 15.5 total rush attempts. I think maybe mac is more useful to the panthers as a pass threat. Hes only carried over 15.5 three times in ten games.

Last 3 years when playing at home Pats & Vikes both cover over 70%. Also of note when games are in BUF or MIA the over has cashed 75% while less than 20% when played in KC
View attachment 36095

View attachment 36096

 

[mrpickem]

couple more...

• 253 Oakland Raiders/Baltimore Ravens 1st Half Over 21 -110
• 253 Oakland Raiders/Baltimore Ravens Over 42 -103
• 260 Cincinnati Bengals 1st Half -110

 

[mrpickem]

meh...7-8 day

• 271 Green Bay Packers +3½ -102
• 271 Green Bay Packers +155 1st Half

 

[mrpickem]

Monday nighter...

• 273 Tennessee Titans* +3½ -108
• 273 Tennessee Titans* +3 -115 vs Houston Texans for 1st Half
• 273 Tennessee Titans/Houston Texans* Over 21 -105 for 1st Half

 

[Vapster]

GL mrp