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The Capping Genius
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College Football 2013. 0-0
Legend.
Top Play = 4 units
#1 Play = 3 units
#2 Play =2 units
#3 Play =1 units
Several plays look to good to be true, as we open the season with some real mismatches against the sprrad. I have been reading other posted threads on games I already liked and considered who they were that posted them. Many here have write ups that magnify my own selections, so its good to know I'm not fading most of those plays.
BYU -1 over Virginia. Top Rated Play.
This game has a severely wrong line.
(As a courtesy,CollegeKingRex has a great write up that I liked as well).
(I'm still trying to figure out how Virginia covered against VT in the last game of the regular season by putting up a measly 217 yds on offense)
BYU is rock-solid on defense even with the loss of 7 players. The fact that they held opponents to an average of 15pts/gm is significant to say the least as they were even more impressive holding bowl level opponents to only 18pts to back it up. The defensive system is the key, as coaching is what makes it work and not so much as who is playing. The Cougars have held 16 of the last 19 opponents to under 300 yds offense and that includes smashing SDSU in the bowl game and only allowing 263 yards.
I lined this game as BYU -5, with an extra -3 just on defense (likely turnovers by Virg)as the Cavs will get beat in all four quarters in this one. This line is off by a full td and more as -8 would still not turn me away. Special teams (with BYU speed) will also rule this one. I agree that this could be the lowest scoring teams at home and all season.
In the last 16 years these two tangled twice and both times the home team lost SU.
Alabama -20 Over Virginia Tech. #1 Rated Play.
The Crimson Tide made most of their point spread money on the road last year as they went 5-2 (only 2-4 home)for the cash. No better way to start the season than traveling against the Hokies. VT had two games LY against teams that couldn't compete with Bama. They lost to Fla State and Miami, Fla. VT was dogged at home by 12.5 and lost by 6. They also went to Miami as a -1.5 favorite and lost SU 12-30. This is just about the same team they had a year ago (less five starters on offense) and they should find that the only thing they get out of this, is a sold-out stadium and large TV money for getting smashed on TV by the Tide.
Mississippi -3 over Vanderbilt. #2 Play.
The Commodores pulled out a big win LY as Jordan Rodgers rallied them from behind 16-6 at the half to win SU 27-26 in Mississippi. That's the whole story. He's gone now and the 'Dores will try to hold on at home against an Ole Miss team loaded with returning starters on both sides of the ball. Mainly quarterback Bo Wallace.
A big factor that isn't present this year, is that Ole Miss has no one to think about in their next game as they face a less competitive bunch from SE Missouri. Last season when they lined up to play Vandy, they had LSU on deck away. With Rodgers gone, this should make playing defense much easier than a year ago, resulting in more positive possessions by Ole Miss.
Wallace should have a big day running as well as passing as the Rebels return 9 starters on offense, as well as 10 on the solid defense that killed Pitt easily in the bowl win to finish off last year. The Dores defense is still solid as they return 8 starters from a team the was ranked in the top 20 on defense LY, but the offense wont be able to keep up with Wallace and the Rebel attack.
more to add .
Legend.
Top Play = 4 units
#1 Play = 3 units
#2 Play =2 units
#3 Play =1 units
Several plays look to good to be true, as we open the season with some real mismatches against the sprrad. I have been reading other posted threads on games I already liked and considered who they were that posted them. Many here have write ups that magnify my own selections, so its good to know I'm not fading most of those plays.
BYU -1 over Virginia. Top Rated Play.
This game has a severely wrong line.
(As a courtesy,CollegeKingRex has a great write up that I liked as well).
(I'm still trying to figure out how Virginia covered against VT in the last game of the regular season by putting up a measly 217 yds on offense)
BYU is rock-solid on defense even with the loss of 7 players. The fact that they held opponents to an average of 15pts/gm is significant to say the least as they were even more impressive holding bowl level opponents to only 18pts to back it up. The defensive system is the key, as coaching is what makes it work and not so much as who is playing. The Cougars have held 16 of the last 19 opponents to under 300 yds offense and that includes smashing SDSU in the bowl game and only allowing 263 yards.
I lined this game as BYU -5, with an extra -3 just on defense (likely turnovers by Virg)as the Cavs will get beat in all four quarters in this one. This line is off by a full td and more as -8 would still not turn me away. Special teams (with BYU speed) will also rule this one. I agree that this could be the lowest scoring teams at home and all season.
In the last 16 years these two tangled twice and both times the home team lost SU.
Alabama -20 Over Virginia Tech. #1 Rated Play.
The Crimson Tide made most of their point spread money on the road last year as they went 5-2 (only 2-4 home)for the cash. No better way to start the season than traveling against the Hokies. VT had two games LY against teams that couldn't compete with Bama. They lost to Fla State and Miami, Fla. VT was dogged at home by 12.5 and lost by 6. They also went to Miami as a -1.5 favorite and lost SU 12-30. This is just about the same team they had a year ago (less five starters on offense) and they should find that the only thing they get out of this, is a sold-out stadium and large TV money for getting smashed on TV by the Tide.
Mississippi -3 over Vanderbilt. #2 Play.
The Commodores pulled out a big win LY as Jordan Rodgers rallied them from behind 16-6 at the half to win SU 27-26 in Mississippi. That's the whole story. He's gone now and the 'Dores will try to hold on at home against an Ole Miss team loaded with returning starters on both sides of the ball. Mainly quarterback Bo Wallace.
A big factor that isn't present this year, is that Ole Miss has no one to think about in their next game as they face a less competitive bunch from SE Missouri. Last season when they lined up to play Vandy, they had LSU on deck away. With Rodgers gone, this should make playing defense much easier than a year ago, resulting in more positive possessions by Ole Miss.
Wallace should have a big day running as well as passing as the Rebels return 9 starters on offense, as well as 10 on the solid defense that killed Pitt easily in the bowl win to finish off last year. The Dores defense is still solid as they return 8 starters from a team the was ranked in the top 20 on defense LY, but the offense wont be able to keep up with Wallace and the Rebel attack.
more to add .
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