No ESPN Handicapper picks this week

TahoeLegend

Pretty much a regular
Getting the picks today. Not sure why they were delayed. Posting them here, but not bothering with Colin and SVP who are listed elsewhere on the thread. I'll update the records each week, but whoever gets Colin's and SVP picks can post them

The BearWeek 7 (0-0) Season (13-15-1)
Bank Picks—Week 6 (3-0) Season (11-6-1)

Michigan St at Wisconsin – Michigan St (+10.5)
Mississippi at Missouri – Mississippi (+12)
USC at Notre Dame – USC (+11)
Iowa St at West Virginia – Iowa St (-10)

Stanford Steve— Week 7 (0-0) Season (17-10-1), Best Bet (3-2-1
)
Colorado at Oregon – Over (57.5)
Charlotte at Florida Intl – Charlotte (+5.5) Best Bet
North Texas at Southern Miss – North Texas (+3.5)

Scott Van Pelt— Week 7 (0-0) Season (21-23)

(Appears elsewhere in the thread)

Colin Cowherd Marquee 3-- Week 7 (0-0) Season (6-8-1)
(Appears elsewhere in the thread)

Blazing Five—Week 6 (0-0) Season (18-6-1)
Seattle at Cleveland – Cleveland (+2)
New Orleans at Jacksonville – Jacksonville (-2)
Atlanta at Arizona – Atlanta (-2.5)
Tennessee at Denver – Tennessee (+2)
Dallas at NY Jets – NY Jets (+7)

Max Meyers—Week 6 (0-0) Season (16-10) Parlays (1-0)

Utah -13
Wash St/Arizona St Over 58
Washington -6.5
Temple +5.5
Tennessee +7

RJ BellBest Bet of the Week— Week 6 (0-0) Season (7-2-1)
New Orleans at Jacksonville – Jacksonville (-1)
San Francisco at LA Rams – San Francisco (+3.5)

My Picks— Week 7 (0-0) Season (17-13) (+16.3 units)
Multi-Unit bets (3-1), Max Bets (1-0) Parlays (1-1)

(Four early picks, bet on Tuesday)
Iowa +4x (they let me down last week, but I’ll stick with them)
Texas +10x
Temple +5x
Oregon/Colo over 58 (first half of 2-team parlay)
(Bet today)
Ole Miss +12x
(Leaning to Virginia, Washington, LSU, slight lean to Mich State, Ariz St, Bama)
 
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I have the podcast, and have listened. They act a little coy this week. Almost as if they were told that the podcast is giving too much information.

Funny how for years gambling seemed to be frowned upon by ESPN. But now, they are all about that life.

Regardless, I'll post those later. If it helps, great. If not, whatever. Cant hurt, right?
 
On Podcast here is what I recall:

Stanford Steve:

N Texas +3
Charlotte 49rs + ?
Oregon/Colorado Over 57


Bear:

Iowa State (it was double digits like -10)
Ole Miss +12
USC +like 11
 
Bear definitely referenced those 3 above on an XM radio show I heard last night.

Regarding ESPN+ Tahoe, I subscribe for the Saturday game options. I really value having access to those games and it is only like $5.99 a month I cancel it in December. I don't watch anything other than the live games. I gotta have them.
 
On Podcast here is what I recall:

Stanford Steve:

N Texas +3
Charlotte 49rs + ?
Oregon/Colorado Over 57


Bear:

Iowa State (it was double digits like -10)
Ole Miss +12
USC +like 11

Steve mentioned oregon 1st H. But, wasn't a part of the wrap-up. His others were:

Ore over
Charlotte +5.5
Utah/Ore St over
WVU/Iowa St over
Tease - 3-tm UVA +12/Ore -10.5/Syr +15

Bear was those listed above and:

Mich St
Tennessee

Steve ML- NIU
Bear ML- Temple
 
Saw SVP winners segment on Twitter...

Scott Van Pelt—Week 7 (0-0) Season (20-24)
Virginia at Miami – Miami (-2)
Louisville at Wake – Louisville (+6.5)
Washington at Arizona – Arizona (+5.5)
Arkansas at Kentucky – Arkansas (+7)
Mississippi St at Tennessee – Tennessee (+6.5)
Nebraska at Minnesota – Minnesota (-7.5)
UNLV at Vanderbilt - UNLV (+14.5)
Florida at LSU - LSU (-13.5)

Stanford Steve also gave his Charlotte +5.5 pick again.
 
I have the podcast, and have listened. They act a little coy this week. Almost as if they were told that the podcast is giving too much information.

Funny how for years gambling seemed to be frowned upon by ESPN. But now, they are all about that life.

Regardless, I'll post those later. If it helps, great. If not, whatever. Cant hurt, right?

I have zero doubt in my mind that those ESPN guys could have way better betting records if they wanted to. Just considering the sheer amount of data available to them...
 
Saw SVP winners segment on Twitter...

Scott Van Pelt—Week 7 (0-0) Season (20-24)
Virginia at Miami – Miami (-2)
Louisville at Wake – Louisville (+6.5)
Washington at Arizona – Arizona (+5.5)
Arkansas at Kentucky – Arkansas (+7)
Mississippi St at Tennessee – Tennessee (+6.5)
Nebraska at Minnesota – Minnesota (-7.5)
UNLV at Vanderbilt - UNLV (+14.5)
Florida at LSU - LSU (-13.5)

Stanford Steve also gave his Charlotte +5.5 pick again.
Ty
 
I have zero doubt in my mind that those ESPN guys could have way better betting records if they wanted to. Just considering the sheer amount of data available to them...

A lot of those ESPN guys, as much as they may be in tune with sports itself, still don't understand some of the nuances of gambling. Bear and Steve are pretty good since they are about that life. But some of the others just don't understand things like travel, checking weather, spots, etc.
 
A lot of those ESPN guys, as much as they may be in tune with sports itself, still don't understand some of the nuances of gambling. Bear and Steve are pretty good since they are about that life. But some of the others just don't understand things like travel, checking weather, spots, etc.
Basically anyone on mainstream TV or these media personalities all over Twitter are awful. They literally have no clue. The ones who are good will never see the light of day. I'll use a comparison...there are a handful of people at this site I'd have as coaches/coordinators/time management consultants lol etc in different sports above the recycled garbage we see out there...
 
They might be trying to hide it behind their paywall/ESPN subscriber only info. Here is what I found...this is long...

Stanford Steve (2-3 last week, 17-11-2 overall)
The Bear (4-0 last week, 14-11-1 overall)


Charlotte 49ers at Florida International Panthers (-5.5, 61)

Stanford Steve:
The 49ers are off a bye week and the Panthers are fresh off a win over UMass. Both teams are still looking for their first win in conference play. Charlotte is 0-4 vs. FIU, losing the last three by a total of nine points, which includes two one-point losses. The 49ers' new regime under Will Healy leads C-USA and ranks in the top 30 in FBS in scoring at 35.8 PPG and rushing yards per game at 219. They also have had great success when getting to the red zone, scoring 14 TDs on 17 trips. I think the 49ers can win the game, but we'll take the points.

Pick: Charlotte +5.5. Charlotte 31 FIU 29

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North Texas Mean Green at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (-4, 58.5)

espnplus-editorial_v2@2x.png
NFL & CFB Best Bets

CFB: Week 7 early betting look
CFB: Stanford Steve and The Bear
Connelly: Advanced betting trends
NFL: Week 6 lines offering value

PickCenter: NFL | CFB

Stanford Steve: Both teams start conference play off a bye after playing some good competition in nonconference play. Plenty of people thought the Mean Green would win their side of Conference USA, but they have plenty of doubters now after they got handled by the Houston Cougars. Houston started a new quarterback and gave it to North Texas, returning a punt and a kickoff for a touchdown and winning 46-25. You have to think head coach Seth Littrell, who was a hot commodity in the offseason, got his team grounded during the bye week and got their attention. They have plenty of talent, led by quarterback Mason Fine, who has already thrown for 1,200 yards and 11 touchdowns. I like the Mean Green to cover on the road.

Pick: North Texas +4. North Texas 28, Southern Miss 27

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Ole Miss Rebels at Missouri Tigers (-12.5)

The Bear:
The introduction of quarterback John Rhys Plumlee has added a dimension to the Rebels offense that Rich Rodriguez can utilize. Factor in the loss of linebacker Cale Garrett for the Tigers and Missouri's task is a bit tougher. Outside of the game against Alabama, Ole Miss' defense hasn't played too poorly, and I'd imagine they are probably kicking themselves for close losses to Memphis and Cal. I think the Rebels hang around here.

Pick: Ole Miss +12.5

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USC Trojans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-11)

The Bear:
The Trojans outgained Washington in Seattle two weeks ago but were done in by three Matt Fink interceptions and one 89-yard run by Salvon Ahmed (his other 16 carries netted 64 yards). Kedon Slovis is back for USC at quarterback, and he's got some weapons at wide receiver if injuries to Notre Dame's Shaun Crawford and Daelin Hayes affect the Irish defense against a much better offensive unit than they faced last week in Bowling Green. Will the return of Irish running back Jafar Armstrong boost a unit that managed just 322 total yards against Virginia and 321 at Georgia? If the Trojans can avoid the game-altering turnover they suffered at Washington -- and the ones Virginia did itself in with two weeks ago -- they can hang around here.

Pick: USC +11

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Iowa State Cyclones (-10) at West Virginia Mountaineers

The Bear:
According to our power rankings, Iowa State is a top-20 team. West Virginia is outside the top 70. The Cyclones haven't run it very well this year, but the Mountaineers haven't fared too well against the run, nor have they forced too many turnovers. Quarterback Brock Purdy could give them fits. Iowa State ate apart a much better West Virginia offense last year, and if the Mountaineers continue to throw interceptions, it will likely mean a second straight double-digit home loss.

Pick: Iowa State -10

Stanford Steve's no-brainer over to take
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Colorado Buffaloes at Oregon Ducks (-21, 58.5)

I like the situation here for the Ducks. I know they have hated rival Washington up next in Seattle, but last week had to leave a bad taste in the Ducks' mouth, as they beat Cal 17-7 despite three first-half turnovers. The offense is now as healthy as its been and you have to feel they want to get out to a good start vs. the undermanned Buffaloes, build up a lead and maybe coast to the end, leaving the back door open for plenty of points. The last time the Buffs played in Eugene, it was quarterback Steven Montez's first career start -- and Colorado won as a monster underdog, so he will not be fazed by the atmosphere, but I think his defense might be. For the record, the road team is 5-14 in Pac-12 conference road games on Friday night. I like the over.

Pick: Over 58.5. Oregon 42 Colorado 21 (over 58.5)

Stay-away games
The Bear
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Virginia Cavaliers at Miami Hurricanes (-2, 43.5)

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Last week Miami fell behind Virginia Tech 28-0 and turned the ball over four times in its first 13 plays. Last year in Charlottesville, N'Kosi Perry completed five of his six passes -- two were to Cavaliers. The Hurricanes' season appears to be spiraling downward. And yet the Canes are 2-point favorites? Run away. Run far away from this one.

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Washington State Cougars at Arizona State Sun Devils (PK, 59)

The Cougars allowed 67 points to UCLA. Not much else needs to be said.

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Colorado State Rams (-3, 66.5) at New Mexico Lobos

A true test of the adage, "If there's a game on a Friday night, you have to bet it." No, you don't.

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Kent State Golden Flashes (-14.5, 57.5) at Akron Zips

Kent State spent two of the last three weeks getting beat up by Auburn and Wisconsin. Sure, in between the two it pummeled Bowling Green. But do you really want to lay more than TD? Or feel good about taking the Flashes with a punchless Akron team?



Stanford Steve
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Washington State Cougars at Arizona State Sun Devils (-1, 58.5)

A 12:30 p.m. Pacific kickoff time in Tempe and the Sun Devils haven't played against any kind of offense... and on the other side you have a new defensive coordinator for Wazzu after an interesting resignation. Go have fun with that game.

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UMass Minutemen at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-32, 62.5)

The worst 4-1 team in the country is giving 32 points to the worst team in college football, not named Akron. No thanks.

The Bear's money-line parlay of the week
Eight-team favorite ML parlay. Based on current Caesars odds, $100 returns $67.41.

Oregon -1600
Indiana -5000
Toledo -3500
Michigan -2500
Georgia -2500
LSU -500
Alabama -800
Clemson -3500

The Bear's underdogs to play on the ML and/or in a parlay or round-robin
Louisville +195
Temple +185
Northern Illinois +210
Michigan State +330
Ole Miss +400
USC +320
Arizona +180

The Bear: If you had to play one or two, who ya got?
Connecticut +34 at Tulane or Massachusetts +32 at Louisiana Tech

Stanford Steve's weeknight teaser
UL Monroe +6.5
Oregon -10.5
Virginia +12


Bear Bytes
What is Florida up against?


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Dating back to 2010, the last 12 ranked teams to pull a home upset and face another ranked team as an underdog the following week are 1-11 SU, 4-8 ATS. The only win came in 2014 with Ole Miss at A&M the week after the Rebels upset Alabama.

Aggies typically don't win these games

Texas A&M is 2-9 since 2000 at Kyle Field as a ranked team vs. a top-10 opponent. Among teams that have played at least four games meeting that criteria, only Tennessee (1-7) has a worse record in that span.

Dogging it

Texas has been an underdog each of the last six years vs. Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry Game and has covered all six games, winning three times outright. OU did cover in the Big 12 Championship Game last year.

Texas vs. Oklahoma in Red River Rivalry Game:

2018, Texas +7.5, Won by 3
2017, Texas +9.5, Lost by 5
2016, Texas +11, Lost by 5
2015, Texas +16.5, Won by 7
2014, Texas +15.5, Lost by 5
2013, Texas +13, Won by 16

Unchartered territory

The only time since 1978 that Florida State has been a 20-point dog was in Bobby Bowden's final regular-season game. The Seminoles were +25 at Florida in 2009. FSU lost that game 37-10 to the Gators.

Humbled Huskies?

Washington is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in its last seven Pac-12 road games as a favorite. That includes three outright losses as a a favorite of at least 12.5 points. The last time Washington went to Tucson, in 2016, the Huskies needed OT to win as a 14-point favorite against an Arizona team that finished 3-9.

Tidal wave

The only other time Tulane has been a 30-point favorite over an FBS team came in 1998 when the Green Wave were a 37-point favorite over UL Lafayette. Tulane is favored by 34 over Connecticut.

Devil of a time

In its last 10 games as a favorite, Duke is 0-10 ATS and lost nine of them straight-up. Going back further, in the Blue Devils' last game 17 games as a favorite, they are 2-15 ATS with 13 outright losses. That will be tested this week vs. Georgia Tech.

Golden era


Kent State is a 14.5-point favorite vs. Akron. It's the biggest favorite Kent State has been over an FBS team since 2013 when the Golden Flashes were an 18-point favorite over Miami (OH).

Give a hoot

Since 2015, Temple is 17-5 ATS with 11 outright wins as an underdog. Included in that is a 20-17 win over Maryland earlier this year as a 5.5-point underdog.

U got it?

Utah has lost four of its last six Pac-12 road games in which it was favored. Included in that is a 30-23 loss at USC in September.

Spartans usually bounce back after a loss

Excluding the 2016 3-9 outlier season for Michigan State, in the Spartans' last 11 games immediately following a double-digit loss they have 10 wins and one loss, by a field goal last year at Nebraska.
 
Condensing this all, without the write ups...

The Bear
4-0 last week, 14-11-1 overall

Ole Miss +12.5
USC +11
Iowa State -10
Michigan St +10.5

Bear's Money-Line parlay of the week
Eight-team favorite ML parlay. Based on current Caesars odds, $100 returns $67.41.

Oregon -1600
Indiana -5000
Toledo -3500
Michigan -2500
Georgia -2500
LSU -500
Alabama -800
Clemson -3500

Underdogs to play on the ML and/or in a parlay, round-robin
Louisville +195
Temple +185
Northern Illinois +210
Michigan State +330
Ole Miss +400
USC +320
Arizona +180

Had to play one or two dogs, who you got?
Connecticut +34 at Tulane or Massachusetts +32 at Louisiana Tech

Stanford Steve
2-3 last week, 17-11-2 overall

Charlotte +5.5. Charlotte 31 FIU 29
North Texas +4. North Texas 28, Southern Miss 27
CSU-OU; Over 58.5. Oregon 42 Colorado 21 (over 58.5)

Stanford Steve's weeknight teaser
UL Monroe +6.5 WIN
Oregon -10.5
Virginia +12

Colin Cowherd's Marquee 3 (CFB)
USC at Notre Dame (-10)
Penn State at Iowa (+3.5)
Florida at LSU (-13)

Scott Van Pelt—
Week 7 (0-0) Season (20-24)

Virginia at Miami – Miami (-2)
Louisville at Wake – Louisville (+6.5)
Washington at Arizona – Arizona (+5.5)
Arkansas at Kentucky – Arkansas (+7)
Mississippi St at Tennessee – Tennessee (+6.5)
Nebraska at Minnesota – Minnesota (-7.5)
UNLV at Vanderbilt - UNLV (+14.5)
Florida at LSU - LSU (-13.5)
 
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Week 6 RJ Bell NFL Picks
Season Record (7-2-1)

  • New Orleans at Jacksonville – Jacksonville (-1)
  • San Francisco at LA Rams – San Francisco (+3.5)
He also picked this in the "Dream Preview Podcast"
Philadelphia at Minnesota – Minnesota (-3)
 
I have the podcast, and have listened. They act a little coy this week. Almost as if they were told that the podcast is giving too much information.

Funny how for years gambling seemed to be frowned upon by ESPN. But now, they are all about that life.

Regardless, I'll post those later. If it helps, great. If not, whatever. Cant hurt, right?

Yea they each gave out a few picks on the podcast and talked about having others underlined but don’t think any the podcast picks are “official” just what they write in the chalk article. I’m not into paying those fukks any extra either so I’m
In same boat , no help. Lol
 
Was thrilled bear was really into ol piss cause that one my favorite this week. Bears plays are pretty much all the ones he said on the podcast this week.
 
Just got the official bets of Bear and Steve. Will have RJ Bell and Max Meyers shortly

The BearWeek 7 (0-0) Season (13-15-1)
Bank Picks—Week 6 (3-0) Season (11-6-1)

Michigan St at Wisconsin – Michigan St (+10.5)
Mississippi at Missouri – Mississippi (+12)
USC at Notre Dame – USC (+11)
Iowa St at West Virginia – Iowa St (-10)

Stanford Steve— Week 7 (0-0) Season (17-10-1), Best Bet (3-2-1
)
Colorado at Oregon – Over (57.5)
Charlotte at Florida Intl – Charlotte (+5.5) Best Bet
North Texas at Southern Miss – North Texas (+3.5)

Scott Van Pelt— Week 7 (0-0) Season (21-23)

(Appears earlier in the thread)

Colin Cowherd Marquee 3-- Week 7 (0-0) Season (6-8-1)
(Appears earlier in the thread)

My Picks— Week 7 (0-0) Season (17-13) (+16.3 units)
Multi-Unit bets (3-1), Max Bets (1-0) Parlays (1-1)

(Four early picks, bet on Tuesday)
Iowa +4x (they let me down last week, but I’ll stick with them)
Texas +10x
Temple +5x
Oregon/Colo over 58--first half of 2-team parlay
(Bet today)
Ole Miss +12x
(Leaning to Virginia, Washington, LSU, slight lean to Mich State, Ariz St, Bama
 
I‘m surprised Jacksonville is favored. Minshew couldn‘t have successfully wooed oddsmakers as well could he? Lol

I pointed out 2 lines I thought were insane start of this week, jags and clowns. Big time head scratchers to me. I can see clowns but jags makes no sense to me. Square play of the week imo! Lol
 
@TahoeLegend

Here are Cowherd's Blazin' 5...

THE HERD’S BLAZIN’ FIVE PICKS NFL 2019 WEEK 6 (Season Record 18-6-1):

  • Seattle at Cleveland – Cleveland (+2)
  • New Orleans at Jacksonville – Jacksonville (-2)
  • Atlanta at Arizona – Atlanta (-2.5)
  • Tennessee at Denver – Tennessee (+2)
  • Dallas at NY Jets – NY Jets (+7)
 
Added Max Mayers' picks above

Max Meyers—Week 6 (0-0) Season (16-10) Parlays (1-0)
Utah -13
Wash St/Arizona St Over 58
Washington -6.5
Temple +5.5
Tennessee +7

Got that Iowa number--it's actually 4.5, but I prefer to use the x--at William Hill on Tuesday, 2daBank. Got the Oregon total there also. My two buddies got 57x just before me and by the time I bet it was 58. I've been annoyed ever since. I like that play too. I've made money on Iowa at home at night for years, so hope the trend continues. They played like crap last week and still held Michigan to 7 so I like my chances.
 
Added RJ Bell's Best Bets of the Week (thanks, RoMoPDShow)

RJ BellBest Bet of the Week— Week 6 (0-0) Season (7-2-1)
New Orleans at Jacksonville – Jacksonville (-1)
San Francisco at LA Rams – San Francisco (+3.5)

I'm not seeing his reasoning on his 49er pick. I'm taking the Rams if they drop that extra half point. I vowed about 10 years ago never to give 3x with an NFL favorite as long as I live and I'm glad I did. I hate that number and my life improved when I quit giving it.
 
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I don’t understand all the jags love at all? Or the line for that matter?? I guess they all assuming let down for saints? I can’t believe for s second anyone thinks if they bring their A game they lose to jags??
 
I’ve thought the big 10 schedule set up lovely w Iowa/Michigan/psu for this 3 week stretch. Last week was perfect, now hoping Iowa gets some home revenge, then I’d be pounding psu vs Michigan next week. Love when a plan comes together!! Lol.

I like that ducks over as well. I was way late to party, had to settle for ov60 when I finally got around to it. Hopefully it doesn’t bite me in the ass like tends to happen when I miss good number. Lol.
 
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