NHL This Month 1

Thanks bar, and any DFS conversation people want to have, more than willing. Typically multi enter fanduel tourneys. (do do football sunday/mlb too)
 
LIKE that OVER in Edmonton. only 5 1/2 -115 with two teams that have "fire power" and two average a best goalies :)
 
Thank you all

Exact same thoughts pre and post van/edm match LeRink

Fyi all plays posted, unless noted, are to risk/win 1 unit

1-1 +- 0

PIT PL +132
BOS ML -110
CLG ML +106
ARI ML +110
 
Last edited:
2-1 +.59
4-5 -1.41 Total

Ya, only two days in and that happens!!

NYR ML -134
CAR ML +104
NJD/BUF O5,5 -120
DET/NSH U6 -124
BOS ML -139
LAK ML +133
ANA ML -109
 
Ya tough two games vs the blues/boston in which they were very close games, lost a 2 goal lead vs detroit by 1.. that one hurt.

But they have a top 10 top line, a top goaltender, and a defense that is very good (atleast the top pairing/klingberg... I think they will be fine with the avoidance of injuries
 
0-2 -3.4

12-14 -3.87 Total

Line movement went my way to in that game, didn't get there though

TBL ML -103
DET/MTL O6 -107
MTL PL +125
STL PL +125 (2 units) (sorry but how does ottawa score here?... they need to win 1-0 in a shootout)
MIN ML +108
DAL ML -110
BOS ML -104 (2 units)
VGS/ARI U5.5 +104
 
1-1 +.02
17-20-1 -3.26 Total

MIN/TOR U6.5 -118
TBL ML -137 (2 Units)
TBL PL +180
ARI ML +118
PHI/CLG O6 -109
DET/VAN O6 -109
CAR PL +155
 
Thanks.. figured it was time after 10+ years...

5-1-1 +6.44
22-21-2 +3.18 Total

DAL ML -112
DAL PL +240
EDM ML -129
BUF/ANA U5.5 -127
CAR/SJS O6.5 -110 (2 Units)

Lean Phi/Edm O, Pit ML, Tor/Was U

Gl all
 
Thanks.. figured it was time after 10+ years...

5-1-1 +6.44
22-21-2 +3.18 Total

DAL ML -112
DAL PL +240
EDM ML -129
BUF/ANA U5.5 -127
CAR/SJS O6.5 -110 (2 Units)

Lean Phi/Edm O, Pit ML, Tor/Was U

Gl all

with you on Dallas:shake:
 
That team Vito... jeeez, but what a beautiful goal by Milano. Those that didn't see it, need to go check it out asap.

2-3 -0.39
24-24-2 +2.79 Total

Made my first mistake of the season.... I must have misread it, could have sworn Hutton was in net for buffalo and not ullmark. Even the bigger fanduel tourney had 5%+ ownership on hutton. I do see ullmark confirmed like 25 minutes prior, but idk. Oh well, live and learn.

WPG ML -134
CLG PL +100
VGS PL -121 (2 Units)
NSG/ARI U5.5 +102
BUF ML +108

Lean VAN ML, MTL PL, WPG PL
 
Short on time, will update record asap.

NYR +200
PIT ML -141
CAR ML -125

This is where Dallas wins...calling it now. Dont trust carolina goaltending, but they are dominate everywhere else, so taking a shot at a a cheap price.... and NYR is to big of a number in a game where they are the worse team, but a lot closer than perception seems.
 
Thurs 2-3 -2.68
Fri 1-2 -1.25
27-29-2 -1.14 Total

Ya Teapot, don't expect to win that every time though... got to be better than 33% on that price. Next time ;)

Counting CAR as a loss for now (down 4-0) Edit: Now 4-2, if this happens, I'll adjust.

DAL ML +120
NYI/CBJ U5.5 -110 (Korpisalo is my concern here... hope he actually doesn't draw the start)
ARI PL +130 (don't see ottawa scoring at all... arizona needs to get to 2.)
VGS ML -120 (Cheap price for two evenly matched skaters, but one isn't coming off the front end of a B2B, and starting a backup goalie)

Wont be around tomorrow, gl
 
4-0 +4
36-32-4 +3.92 Total

To Score Atleast 1 Point (Yes)

Dylan Larkin -250 2.5-1
Tyler Bertuzzi -125 1.25-1
Anthony Mantha -167 1.67-1

To Score Atleast 2 Points (Yes)

Dylan Larkin +280 .5-1.4
Tyler Bertuzzi +525 .5-2.63 (rounding the rest of these)
Anthony Mantha +425 .5-2.13

To Score Atleast 3 Points (Yes)

Dylan Larkin +650 .5-3.25
Antony Mantha +1100 .5-5.5
(not being offered Bertuzzi line)

Said this to a few friends of mine "Don't like the idea of backing Detroit being on a B2B game with a worse goaltender, plus I don't trust their defense. But looking at another way to tackle this game that I like A LOT. Ottawas whole team, top to bottom, is bad.... Detroits whole team top to bottom, is bad. EXCEPT their top line. They are far and away the best unit that'll be on the ice today. Detroit is projected 3~ goals. They are also the top powerplay unit for Detriot. In a short sample size (just 8 games), Ottawa has given their oppenents 4+ powerplays a game. They allow 36.1 shots against (2nd to just the Rangers), and 3.50 goals against per game. I don't see how they will be kept off the score sheet."

Essentially, if they get 1 point, i'll breakeven.
 
Add some more stats

Their usage rates are great... at even strength throughout all season, Larkin/Mantha/Bertuzzi are on the ice together for 25% of an entire game. and 53+% of the time on powerplays (and given the first crack).
 
1-7 -5.67
37-39-4 -1.75 Total

Detroit had 36 shots on goal, their big 3 posted above had 10 shots on goal combined (not counting the misses/blocks).... they were together even strength for 21% of the even strength time... and Detroit went 0 for 5 on full powerplays (that occured through the first 2 periods)... they were on ice for those 10 minutes 66% of the time...

I'd make that same play tonight if I could. And honestly, I may look to do that same concept more throughout the year... plays coming later
 
ARI ML +102 (2 Units)
ARI PL (-1.5) +265
CAR ML -121 (2 Units)
CAR PL +210
STL PL +143
CHI ML -105
PHI/CHI O6.5 +102
ANA ML +132
FLA ML +120
 
womp, bad day... 1-8 -9.04

38-48-4 10.79 Total

ARI ML +114
SJS/TOR O6.5 -127
SJS ML +156
OTT TTu 2.5 +108 (2 Units)

If Hutton confirmed, i'll be playing BUF, currently -115
 
2-2 +1.03
40-50-4 -9.76 Total

CBJ/PHI O6 -107
STL/BOS U5.5 -114
TBL PL +163
MIN ML -134
CLG ML -129
CLG PL +200
 
3-3 -0.29
43-53-4 -10.05 Total

Tampa, and Calgary both led late into the 3rd, neither could get to the finish line though..
 
2-1 +1
45-54-4 -9.05 Total

ARI ML +108 (2 Units)
ARI PL +270

Lean Vancouver, and under... waiting for goalie confirmation before going deeper
 
1-1 +1.08
46-55-4 -7.97 Total

BOS PL +123
PIT PL +163
EDM ML -129
EDM/DET O6 -109
TBL PL +114
MIN TT U1.5 +188
WPG/ANA O6 +100
 
3-4 -.52
49-59-4 -8.49 Total

TBL ML -130 (2 Units)
TBL PL +190
EDM/CBJ O6 -109 (2 Units)
MIN/STL U5.5 -118 (2 Units)
ARI ML -129
FLA/COL U6.5 -108
VAN ML -113 (2 Units)
VAN PL +235
 
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