scdoggy
Moderator (Honorary)
Week one plays:
Baltimore/Denver over 45 -163 two units
Actually have an open ended parlay with the first half cashing, so I'm really only laying one unit to get two on this play but for purposes of record keeping, I'll post it as a straight play. I see the public love on Denver and I can't argue that Baltimore's defense should be down a bit this season and Peyton has circled this one all summer. But what kept me off the Denver side is I don't think their defense stops the Ravens. Flacco is still one of the better quarterbacks in the league (despite what critcs say), with an elite RB in the backfield and if this guy isn't pressured he is going to eat this Denver secondary alive. Bought this down to cover what I see as some very key numbers in this game in 48, 47, 46. I've got Baltimore scoring 24 + and Denver getting at least 28. If this moneyline gets much better than the +280 I'm staring at, I'll have to take a crack just on principle. No matter how lucky you think Baltimore was in last year's postseason, this team is the defending super bowl champion playing against a QB who despite all his talent has seen his share of misfortune in pressure situations...
I'll post writeups when I lock them in, but I'll wait for some reduced vig options on the rest of these. My card will likely look something like this:
Cleveland -1
Dallas -3 Will be a very large wager, and would gladly lay 4 here
Lesser leans:
Saints, Bengals, Redskins
Baltimore/Denver over 45 -163 two units
Actually have an open ended parlay with the first half cashing, so I'm really only laying one unit to get two on this play but for purposes of record keeping, I'll post it as a straight play. I see the public love on Denver and I can't argue that Baltimore's defense should be down a bit this season and Peyton has circled this one all summer. But what kept me off the Denver side is I don't think their defense stops the Ravens. Flacco is still one of the better quarterbacks in the league (despite what critcs say), with an elite RB in the backfield and if this guy isn't pressured he is going to eat this Denver secondary alive. Bought this down to cover what I see as some very key numbers in this game in 48, 47, 46. I've got Baltimore scoring 24 + and Denver getting at least 28. If this moneyline gets much better than the +280 I'm staring at, I'll have to take a crack just on principle. No matter how lucky you think Baltimore was in last year's postseason, this team is the defending super bowl champion playing against a QB who despite all his talent has seen his share of misfortune in pressure situations...
I'll post writeups when I lock them in, but I'll wait for some reduced vig options on the rest of these. My card will likely look something like this:
Cleveland -1
Dallas -3 Will be a very large wager, and would gladly lay 4 here
Lesser leans:
Saints, Bengals, Redskins
