NFL Week 7

smh212

Awesomeitus Degenerate
  • Sides: 14-8 +7.67
  • Totals: 6-11 -5.85
  • Team Totals: 1-1 -.44
  • Player Props: 7-6 -0.27
  • Teasers: 3-6 -10.60
  • Second Half: 1-0 +1.25
  • 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half total -1.10
  • Parlay: 0-1 -1.00

Talk about being in a funk. Last week I lost 3 games on pick 6's. So far this season has been a favorite and the over year. I'm adjusting too slow. However, we are seeing more blowouts than ever, I think that changes. The NFL so far:

[h=3]Straight Up Trends (Won Loss Tie)[/h] [TABLE="class: data"]
<tbody>[TR="class: datahead"]
[TD="width: 34%"]Category[/TD]
[TD="width: 33%"]Record[/TD]
[TD="width: 33%"]Percent[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Away Teams[/TD]
[TD]39-52-1[/TD]
[TD]42.86%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Home Teams[/TD]
[TD]52-39-1[/TD]
[TD]57.14%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Favorites
[/TD]
[TD]60-31-1[/TD]
[TD]65.93%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Dogs[/TD]
[TD]31-60-1[/TD]
[TD]34.07%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Away Favorites
[/TD]
[TD]17-9-0[/TD]
[TD]65.38%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Away Dogs[/TD]
[TD]22-43-1[/TD]
[TD]33.85%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Home Favorites[/TD]
[TD]43-22-1[/TD]
[TD]66.15%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Home Dogs[/TD]
[TD]9-17-0[/TD]
[TD]34.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
[h=3]Against The Spread Trends (ATS)[/h] [TABLE="class: data"]
<tbody>[TR="class: datahead"]
[TD="width: 34%"]Category[/TD]
[TD="width: 33%"]Record[/TD]
[TD="width: 33%"]Percent[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Away Teams[/TD]
[TD]48-41-3[/TD]
[TD]53.93%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Home Teams[/TD]
[TD]41-48-3[/TD]
[TD]46.07%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Favorites[/TD]
[TD]45-44-3[/TD]
[TD]50.56%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Dogs[/TD]
[TD]44-45-3[/TD]
[TD]49.44%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Away Favorites
[/TD]
[TD]14-10-2[/TD]
[TD]58.33%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Away Dogs[/TD]
[TD]34-31-1[/TD]
[TD]52.31%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Home Favorites[/TD]
[TD]31-34-1[/TD]
[TD]47.69%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD]Home Dogs
[/TD]
[TD]10-14-2[/TD]
[TD]41.67%

[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

GIANTS +6.5 (1.5) AND GIANTS +230 (1)
My line: Dal -4

Could not ask for a better setup. Divisional game where the home team is coming there biggest win in a looong time, against a rival that is licking their wounds from Sundays drubbing at the hands of the Eagles. The Giants we saw Sunday night are not the what the Giants are this year, and Coughlin will have them ready. Dallas has outperformed thus far, and asking them to beat the Seahawks, and come back with a divisional game is tough. Dallas is currently 3rd in the NFL when it comes to outperforming against the closing number. Their +50 is only behind SD (+51.5) and Balty (+56). I think the correction begins today.

:shake:
 
UNDER 43.5 Buf/Min
My line: 41

The Vikings defense does not get the credit it deserves IMO, especially in the secondary. Over their last 4, Minny is 7th in Def Yds/game. When you consider that in their last 4 they faced: Stafford, Rogers, Ryan (in dome), and Brees, that 7th overall looks pretty damn good. Through in a rookie QB for Minny, making is second start, on a bum ankle, on the road in a climate he didn't face that much in college, and I don't Minny get past 17.

Call it 20-17
 
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