Throwback420
Diehard L.A. fan
Well first off the first quarter of the Nfl has been good so far. On last week called some nice upsets on the ML . This week i think we might see alot more close games maybe some ot games, last week their were quite a few beatdowns I think this week might be different and some top teams might get a scare or lose straight up. Alot of times my plays look weird to some for Instance last week i had chiefs pts and ml not to many people agreed but I just play them how I see them. On to week 5 ...........
NFL WEEK 5:
Jags -2 @ KC - Ok last week I picked the chiefs to upset the chargers, Now this week's game is much harder but the Chiefs get to play at home which always a hard place to play, Arrowhead is no joke. The Jags proved they can win on the road by beating the broncos at Invesco field. They are coming off a bye week so they have had plenty of time to scout the chiefs. One thing that will be different in this game compared to the sd game is that Garrard and Rivers are totaly different qb's. I knew rivers would make some mistakes against a solid defense in the Chiefs. Imo I think Garrard has all the tools and weapons to pick apart this Chiefs defense. He can do it with his arm or legs. He has not threw a pick all year so im confident he can play smart. Jags also have a nice 1-2 punch to pound the rock. Last year Larry Johnson ran for 138 yds and 3 tds, so you know the Jags defense wants to get revenge on him. All though the Chiefs offense has been clicking in its last 2 games I like the Jags defense to match up with the Chiefs. I think this game will be close with the Jags pulling away late. Also i think this is a revenge game from last year, I think these 2 played for a playoff spot and the Chiefs won 35-30 * All trends point to the Chiefs as a home underdog but im going against them
Redskins -3 vs Lions - I know this is an unpopular pick but I really like the Redskins defense to give Kitna and the Lions offense fits. The lions have been great this year passing the ball(312 ypg) and the Redskins defense has been great this year against the pass(217 ypg) so it should be a nice matchup. The lions are coming off a crazy 4th quarter against the Injured Bears. The skins had a bye last week but the week before they allowed the gmen to score 21 unanswered in the 2nd half to blow a 14pt lead at home. It was a crucial loss this team could have been 3-0. I know Moss and Portis are banged up and I will moniter there health before I put my play in. If Portis is out oh well, Moss out would be huge imo. I think Jason Campbell will do just enough against a sub par defense, He will not pull a Brian Griese that is for sure. I still believe the main matchup will be the Lions Offense vs the Skins defense. I think redskins will get a couple of scores on defense or special teams in this one. Redskins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.
Dolphins +5 and or Ml @ Hou -
Seahawks +5.5 and ML @ Pitt - The Rematch of Superbowl XL - I really like the seahawks to win this game. I know alot of people really love this team but imho I think they are really over rated. The cards defense man handled the steelers offense. If it wasn't for a long bomb on a 3rd and 20+ yds the score wouldn't have been that close. The seahawks defense is coming off a game against the 49ers only allowing 3 pts. I think this defense can rattle big ben into some turnovers just like the cards did. I know this game is at Pitt and the steelers are something else at home but I will take my chances. This should be a great game I think seahawks win a late one by a FG. Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Browns +17 and ML @ NE -
Cards -3.5 @ STL - To say the Rams are banged up is an understatement they have 15+ players on the injury sheet. This is not you normal rams. This team has been so erratic from the running game to the passing game. The oline cant even block for Bulger. The offense averages only 9.8 pts a game.The main thing is their defense they are just horrible they have been giving up 26 pts a game they also give up 156 yds a game rushing and you know damn well that Whisenhunt wants to pound the rock. Edge has been pretty solid this year so im sure he can pound this sorry rams defense. I know on Offense the cards have a huge qb controversy but who cares as long as they are both playing well. The cards have really been playing well especially on defense, Adrian Wilson is the most under rated player in the NFL the guy is just crazy. I expect this defense to give the rams some fits. Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.
Gmen -3.5 vs J-E-T-S -
SD ML @ Denver - Alright this is a huge game in the afc west and this game will affect a game I have been spoting all year the Raiders ML @ SD in week 6. If San Diego Wins Raiders should have huge value on the ML if the Chargers lose value will not be as good so onto the game...
I think this is the game LT finally breaks lose unless Norv Turner fucks it up and only he can lol. The broncos defense has been giving up an average of 181 yds per game on the run. Wow thats alot. I know the Dolts have only averaged only 86yds running we all know that LT is better than that. I know the Chargers won both games last year against the broncos and you sure as hell know they want revenge. Denver's pass D has been solid only giving up 114yds that is crazy. Norv Turner must pound the rock if the chargers want this game and I think even Norv knows that atleast I hope lol. If the running game gets going it should open up the Pass and Gates and Jackson should get some huge plays. For denvers offense 2 startes are banged up Walker and Henry that should be huge. If Walker is out that will be huge because the Dolts have been horrendous on pass defense but pretty solid against the run so Broncos will most likely have to pass. I think the chargers need to get their pass rush going. They should rattle Cutler into some mistakes which he has shown in afc west matchups. I think Chargers win a close back and forth battle as LT has his breakout game. Chargers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Broncos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC West.
Green Bay -3 vs Da Bears -
Bills +10 and ML vs Cowboys -
leans or need to look at more Ravens , Bucs , Tenny ....
Throwback's Boxing Special Oct 6:
Marco Antonio Barrera +285
+ ko prop +850
------------------------------------------------
2007 NFL YTD:
ATS : 19-17-3 ( -1.40 units)
Underdog ML : 10-16 (+15.30 units)
2nd Half plays. 5-1 ( +1.40 units)
parlays 2-2 (+1.15 units)
NFL WEEK 5:
Jags -2 @ KC - Ok last week I picked the chiefs to upset the chargers, Now this week's game is much harder but the Chiefs get to play at home which always a hard place to play, Arrowhead is no joke. The Jags proved they can win on the road by beating the broncos at Invesco field. They are coming off a bye week so they have had plenty of time to scout the chiefs. One thing that will be different in this game compared to the sd game is that Garrard and Rivers are totaly different qb's. I knew rivers would make some mistakes against a solid defense in the Chiefs. Imo I think Garrard has all the tools and weapons to pick apart this Chiefs defense. He can do it with his arm or legs. He has not threw a pick all year so im confident he can play smart. Jags also have a nice 1-2 punch to pound the rock. Last year Larry Johnson ran for 138 yds and 3 tds, so you know the Jags defense wants to get revenge on him. All though the Chiefs offense has been clicking in its last 2 games I like the Jags defense to match up with the Chiefs. I think this game will be close with the Jags pulling away late. Also i think this is a revenge game from last year, I think these 2 played for a playoff spot and the Chiefs won 35-30 * All trends point to the Chiefs as a home underdog but im going against them
Redskins -3 vs Lions - I know this is an unpopular pick but I really like the Redskins defense to give Kitna and the Lions offense fits. The lions have been great this year passing the ball(312 ypg) and the Redskins defense has been great this year against the pass(217 ypg) so it should be a nice matchup. The lions are coming off a crazy 4th quarter against the Injured Bears. The skins had a bye last week but the week before they allowed the gmen to score 21 unanswered in the 2nd half to blow a 14pt lead at home. It was a crucial loss this team could have been 3-0. I know Moss and Portis are banged up and I will moniter there health before I put my play in. If Portis is out oh well, Moss out would be huge imo. I think Jason Campbell will do just enough against a sub par defense, He will not pull a Brian Griese that is for sure. I still believe the main matchup will be the Lions Offense vs the Skins defense. I think redskins will get a couple of scores on defense or special teams in this one. Redskins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.
Dolphins +5 and or Ml @ Hou -
Seahawks +5.5 and ML @ Pitt - The Rematch of Superbowl XL - I really like the seahawks to win this game. I know alot of people really love this team but imho I think they are really over rated. The cards defense man handled the steelers offense. If it wasn't for a long bomb on a 3rd and 20+ yds the score wouldn't have been that close. The seahawks defense is coming off a game against the 49ers only allowing 3 pts. I think this defense can rattle big ben into some turnovers just like the cards did. I know this game is at Pitt and the steelers are something else at home but I will take my chances. This should be a great game I think seahawks win a late one by a FG. Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Browns +17 and ML @ NE -
Cards -3.5 @ STL - To say the Rams are banged up is an understatement they have 15+ players on the injury sheet. This is not you normal rams. This team has been so erratic from the running game to the passing game. The oline cant even block for Bulger. The offense averages only 9.8 pts a game.The main thing is their defense they are just horrible they have been giving up 26 pts a game they also give up 156 yds a game rushing and you know damn well that Whisenhunt wants to pound the rock. Edge has been pretty solid this year so im sure he can pound this sorry rams defense. I know on Offense the cards have a huge qb controversy but who cares as long as they are both playing well. The cards have really been playing well especially on defense, Adrian Wilson is the most under rated player in the NFL the guy is just crazy. I expect this defense to give the rams some fits. Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.
Gmen -3.5 vs J-E-T-S -
SD ML @ Denver - Alright this is a huge game in the afc west and this game will affect a game I have been spoting all year the Raiders ML @ SD in week 6. If San Diego Wins Raiders should have huge value on the ML if the Chargers lose value will not be as good so onto the game...
I think this is the game LT finally breaks lose unless Norv Turner fucks it up and only he can lol. The broncos defense has been giving up an average of 181 yds per game on the run. Wow thats alot. I know the Dolts have only averaged only 86yds running we all know that LT is better than that. I know the Chargers won both games last year against the broncos and you sure as hell know they want revenge. Denver's pass D has been solid only giving up 114yds that is crazy. Norv Turner must pound the rock if the chargers want this game and I think even Norv knows that atleast I hope lol. If the running game gets going it should open up the Pass and Gates and Jackson should get some huge plays. For denvers offense 2 startes are banged up Walker and Henry that should be huge. If Walker is out that will be huge because the Dolts have been horrendous on pass defense but pretty solid against the run so Broncos will most likely have to pass. I think the chargers need to get their pass rush going. They should rattle Cutler into some mistakes which he has shown in afc west matchups. I think Chargers win a close back and forth battle as LT has his breakout game. Chargers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Broncos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC West.
Green Bay -3 vs Da Bears -
Bills +10 and ML vs Cowboys -
leans or need to look at more Ravens , Bucs , Tenny ....
Throwback's Boxing Special Oct 6:
Marco Antonio Barrera +285
+ ko prop +850
------------------------------------------------
2007 NFL YTD:
ATS : 19-17-3 ( -1.40 units)
Underdog ML : 10-16 (+15.30 units)
2nd Half plays. 5-1 ( +1.40 units)
parlays 2-2 (+1.15 units)
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