Colin Wynner
Pretty much a regular
Fresh off a dominating week 3 by the pool - overall the pool went 62.6%, the top 8 lop-sided picked games went 8-0, overall lop-sided games were 8-1, with Cowboys sparing the sportsbook from seeking a government bailout. After a week like last week, it would be rare to see anything above 50% the following, and as you see below there are very few "even action" sides.
Here are the week 4 numbers:
The Chiefs/Seahawks might end up being a significant liability for the books in terms of parlays, teasers and straight bets.
I played the Bills and Jets as part of my six picks, but I also liked the Jaguars (get right spot), Bears, Bucs and Titans.
If we get Eagles, Bengals and Vikings in early, the Pats ad the Raiders become very attractive as do the Jets on Sunday night.
Good Luck!
Here are the week 4 numbers:
Game/Spread | Fav_Picks | Dog_Picks | FAV_Pct | DOG_Pct | Total Picks | NFL Rank | NOTE |
| Chiefs -9.5 over Jets | 295 | 35 | 89.4% | 10.6% | 330 | 1 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Bills -2.5 over Dolphins | 118 | 131 | 47.4% | 52.6% | 249 | 2 | Public Dog |
| Giants -1 over Seahawks | 44 | 190 | 18.8% | 81.2% | 234 | 3 | Public Dog |
| Eagles -8 over Commanders | 202 | 19 | 91.4% | 8.6% | 221 | 4 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Colts -0.5 over Rams | 60 | 144 | 29.4% | 70.6% | 204 | 5 | Lop-sided Public Dog |
| Bengals -2.5 over Titans | 168 | 34 | 83.2% | 16.8% | 202 | 6 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Lions -2 over Packers | 145 | 48 | 75.1% | 24.9% | 193 | 7 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Vikings -4 over Panthers | 171 | 16 | 91.4% | 8.6% | 187 | 8 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Cowboys -6.5 over Patriots | 143 | 40 | 78.1% | 21.9% | 183 | 9 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Chargers -5.5 over Raiders | 143 | 29 | 83.1% | 16.9% | 172 | 10 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Jaguars -3 over Falcons | 140 | 17 | 89.2% | 10.8% | 157 | 11 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Browns -3 over Ravens | 47 | 92 | 33.8% | 66.2% | 139 | 13 | Public Dog |
| Broncos -3.5 over Bears | 102 | 28 | 78.5% | 21.5% | 130 | 14 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
| Saints -3.5 over Bucs | 38 | 83 | 31.4% | 68.6% | 121 | 15 | Public Dog |
| 49ers -14 over Cardinals | 74 | 25 | 74.7% | 25.3% | 99 | 16 | Lop-Sided Favorite |
The Chiefs/Seahawks might end up being a significant liability for the books in terms of parlays, teasers and straight bets.
I played the Bills and Jets as part of my six picks, but I also liked the Jaguars (get right spot), Bears, Bucs and Titans.
If we get Eagles, Bengals and Vikings in early, the Pats ad the Raiders become very attractive as do the Jets on Sunday night.
Good Luck!
