NFL weeks 4-9

P

PirateAlew

Dean Smith Disciple
Thursday
⭐️Cowgirls/Midgets Over 44.5-114
Dallas Cowgirls-5-112

I hate both teams as a recovering Skins fans from the glory days of the hogs in the 80's. I hate cowgirls more but $ is money. Giants are 1-6 ATS against Dallas at home and last time they beat Dallas, a guy named Andy Dalton was filling in at QB. We get some value on the line with the giants winning and cowgirls losing. Dallas fought hard at the end, and I think they carry the momentum prime time against a weaker team that isnt in their class. Plenty of points should be scored as both defenses have been soft so far---Dallas is 5 for 5 on overs and 8 of the last 11 games between these 2 went over.
No weddings/parties to attend this saturday/Sunday so I can do the regular capping, rest of games for Sunday and NCAA Saturday out a bit later this week.
 
Sunday
⭐️Steelers ML-130

⭐️Bills+3-120

⭐️Saints+3-116

⭐️Texans-6-105

⭐️Browns ML-110

⭐️Arizona/Washington Over 48.5

⭐️Bills/Ravens Over 46

⭐️Patriots+11-115
⭐️Eagles ML-118 (Rain game? Give me more physical ground team with defense)
⭐️Packers-2.5

⭐️Jets-8

Commanders+3.5

Chiefs-7-114

Rams+3

Cryolina Panther kittens+5

Clev/Vegas Over 36

New Orleans/Atlanta Over 40.5

Jax/Houston UNDER 45

Philly/TB Under 43

Monday
⭐️Lions/Seahawks Over 45-120
Lions-3.5

Looking at a few--Vikings, Broncos, and 49ers games, monitoring injury news.
 
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⭐️Patriots+11-115
⭐️Eagles ML-118 (Rain game? Give me more physical ground team with defense)
⭐️Packers-2.5
Commanders+3.5
Chiefs-7-114

Monday
⭐️Lions/Seahawks Over 45-120
⭐️Dolphins -2-118
Lions-3.5
Dolphins ML-125 (1st Half)
 
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added:

Bills Team Total Over 20.5-130

Bills scored 47, 31, and 34 this season. This offense is a well oiled machine looking like a week 12 team. Ravens defense has many holes, unlike previous ravens squads. they gave up 28 last week to an inconsistent Dallas offfense, and 26 to a medicore raiders and 27 to the chiefs in week 1. Last time these 2 met in October, 2022 Bills put up 23 in Baltimore, FWIW. That was with a better Baltimore defense and younger more inexperienced bIlls offense.

I could easily see Bills scoring 30+ tonight
 
If they dont score 30 I'd be shocked, like Bills last night.... Patisies and Broncos both put up 20 and those offenses are bottom tier. Lions scored 26 game 1 and 16 then 20; this offense is licking its chops going against the hawks defense. Detroit is averaging a healthy 72 plays per game, gaining 5 yards per play. At over 70 plays per game, they lead the NFL in this category, and at home with their crowd I expect an offensive juggernaut tonight.


Lions Team Total Over 26.5-110
 
Sunday
⭐️Bears-4
⭐️Baltimore ML-130
⭐️Buffalo+1.5
⭐️Seahawks-6.5
⭐️Green Bay/LA Over 48-115
⭐️Steelers-2-120
⭐️Vikings-2
⭐️Colts+3
⭐️Commanders-3
Denver-2.5
Bodymore/CincyOver 48.5
San Fran-7-115
Miami+1
Jets/Vikings Over 40-115
Commanders/Browns Over 43-115
Steelers/Cowgirls UNDER 44.5
Bears/Panthers Under 41
 
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Green Bay/LA Over is a top play above...

⭐️Steelers-2-120
⭐️Vikings-2
⭐️Colts+3
⭐️Commanders-3
San Fran-7-115
Miami+1
Jets/Vikings Over 40-115
Commanders/Browns Over 43-115
Steelers/Cowgirls UNDER 44.5
 
Yeah yeah. I made out alright yesterday thanks to the Pod and top 2.. bears and ravens. Thanks for your concern and stopping by
 
With Saints employing a man coverage, Watson, Worthy, Moore, Kelce and others should eat with Mahomie throwing darts. I have this game as a near toss up so Saints the bigger play but think this could turn into a shoot out, a 31-28 type game. If I lose the saints bet, I'd highly doubt the chiefs score less than this to win.

Chiefs Team Total Over 23.5
 
Sunday

⭐️Atlanta FAILCONS-6
⭐️Steelers-3
⭐️Chicago ML-116
⭐️Colts+3-118
⭐️Tampa Succaneers-3-120
⭐️Commanders/Ravens Over 51-115
⭐️Packers-5
⭐️Broncos+3
⭐️Cincy Bengals/NY Jints Over 46.5-112
Commanders+7
Giants+4
Dallas Cowgirls+3.5-116
Filthadelphia Iggles-9
Colts/Titans Over 42-114
Packers/Cards Over 47
Clev/Philly Over 42-115
Broncos/Chargers UNDER 36-115
 
Bengals are 1-4 for good reason. they cant run the ball and have one of the worst defenses in the game. Giants arent that good but have an above avg defense, and with cincy being one-dimensional they present big matchup issues. New York also leads the NFL in sacks, expect them to rush Burrow and really cause issues. With these issues and cincy's lack of run game, they should be in a lot of 3rd and long situations, again playing into NYG defense at home. No RB for cincy has even gone over 80 yatrds in a game so if they get up at any point, they cant ground and pound and drain the clock....so i'll take the points in a near toss up game, go with the better defense at home
 
great day sunday, hope to get some more MNF, hopefully Bills show up unlike their cross-state foes last night.

⭐️Bills ML-112
Bills/Jets Over 40.5-115
 
awesome! hope we cash brother

I feel this total is just too low, even with the rookie QB's and denver's good defense. think we get some TD's tonight and over 40 points.

Denver/New Orleans Over 37-105
 
⭐️Bengals-4.5-115
⭐️Atlanta Failclowns-2.5-115
⭐️Green Bay-2.5-115
⭐️Colts-3-105
⭐️Carolina/Washington Over 51-112
⭐️Rams-6.5-115
⭐️Jets ML-120
⭐️Philly-3-115
⭐️Detroit+2-115
⭐️Chiefs+2
Chiefs/Niners Over 46.5
Commanders-8-117
Bills-9
Detroit/Minny Over 50-112
Patriots+6.5-115
Chiefs TT Over 20.5-145
Bengals/Browns Over 41
Rams/Raiders Over 43-118
Green Bay/Houston Over 47.5
Philly/NYG Under 43
Jets/Steelers Under 39.5-115
Miami/Indy UNDER 44

Monday
⭐️Bucs/Ravens Over 48.5-112
⭐️LA Chargers ML-125
Tampa+4-115

Awesome week 6, great start to week 7. Let's keep it rolling...
 
Sunday

⭐️Ravens-8-112
⭐️Atlanta-2
⭐️Washington+3
⭐️Lions-11
⭐️49ers-4
⭐️Dallas/San Francisco Over 47
⭐️Bengals-2-117
⭐️Buffalo/Seattle Over 45-115
⭐️Chiefs-9-115
⭐️Atlanta/Tampa Over 45
⭐️Bills-3
⭐️Jets-6.5-120
Texans-4
KC/Vegas Over 41
Wash/Chicago Over 43
Chargers-7-108
Jaguars+4.5
Arizona+5
Broncos-10
Dallas/San Francisco Over 47
Texans/Colts Over 45
Baltimore/Cleveland Over 45
Jax/Green Bay Under 49.5
Chargers/Saints Under 41

MNF
⭐️Steelers-5-118 (Posted Friday)
⭐️Steelers Team Total Over 20.5-120
Steelers/Giants Over 36-115
 
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Someone asked why jags---jags have turned it on lately with an offense that is now clicking, finding success with Tank Bigsby. Jags always do well post England trips with Pederson as coach. Line opened at 5.5-6 and sharps noticed and bet it down to where it is. Packers might be without two of their top receivers, two of their starting offensive lineman, their best two defensive tackles, their best linebacker and their best cover cornerback. That is a lot to be missing. Jacksonville is still playing with a sense of desperation, at 2-5, their season is not over yet.To keep playoff hopes alive, they need at least a 3-1 record in their next 4 against the guantlet of tough playoff teams (Packers, Eagles, Vikes, and Lions), Jordan Love is throwing too many INT's recently, and with all the injuries, he may need to overcompensate again, which leads to mistakes and turnovers. This is among the more winnable games for Jags, expect them to go all out, especially as going 1-3 this stretch could spark a coaching change. I have this game as a pick 'em so a 4 point edge...
 
Gmen offense is the only worry I have with the over, Russell has command of the steelers offense and led them efficiently, more than Fields. They should get 24+ tonight. 3 of last 4 weeks they hit 24 or more with last week hitting 37 on a good Jets defense, and 32 against Vegas. Also a great night for football, weather in the 50's-60's with no precip and light winds

⭐️Steelers Team Total Over 20.5-120
Steelers/Giants Over 36-115

Remember when Primetime unders were the thing? Not so much this year, Luckily.

Full MNF card
⭐️Steelers-5-118 (Posted Friday)
⭐️Steelers Team Total Over 20.5-120
Steelers/Giants Over 36-115
 
PirateAlew said:
Gmen offense is the only worry I have with the over, Russell has command of the steelers offense and led them efficiently, more than Fields. They should get 24+ tonight. 3 of last 4 weeks they hit 24 or more with last week hitting 37 on a good Jets defense, and 32 against Vegas. Also a great night for football, weather in the 50's-60's with no precip and light winds

⭐️Steelers Team Total Over 20.5-120
Steelers/Giants Over 36-115

Remember when Primetime unders were the thing? Not so much this year, Luckily.

Full MNF card
⭐️Steelers-5-118 (Posted Friday)
⭐️Steelers Team Total Over 20.5-120
Steelers/Giants Over 36-115
Click to expand...
Thank you steelers. that was fun. What do ya know, just 3-0....awesome week 8
 
NFL-Week 8=18-10/3-0 Monday after a good Sunday.

Thouhghts on TNF game. If they played this game 10 times, Texans prob win 8 or 9 but its only one game with some circumstances favoring Jets.

2 star Texans WR out.....Texans are playing 3rd Road game in 4 weeks.

Texans look ahead to Lions game next...

Texans got destroyed by Jets last year, with a team not as talanted against a healthy texans team 30-6.......also, New York brings in one of the better rushing defenses in the league, allowing only 4.2 yards per carry (6th). Texans try to set up the pass with the run and should find little success especially on the road in a TNF game. It wont be pretty but i think jets win. I'm going to hold my nose and bet the awful J-E-T-S.

⭐️NY Football J-E-T-S ML-125
Jets/Texans Over 41.5-115
 
PirateAlew said:
NFL-Week 8=18-10/3-0 Monday after a good Sunday.

Thouhghts on TNF game. If they played this game 10 times, Texans prob win 8 or 9 but its only one game with some circumstances favoring Jets.

2 star Texans WR out.....Texans are playing 3rd Road game in 4 weeks.

Texans look ahead to Lions game next...

Texans got destroyed by Jets last year, with a team not as talanted against a healthy texans team 30-6.......also, New York brings in one of the better rushing defenses in the league, allowing only 4.2 yards per carry (6th). Texans try to set up the pass with the run and should find little success especially on the road in a TNF game. It wont be pretty but i think jets win. I'm going to hold my nose and bet the awful J-E-T-S.

⭐️NY Football J-E-T-S ML-125
Jets/Texans Over 41.5-115
Click to expand...
Hope many of you took this jets POD analysis to heart. been reading these lines over 25 years, this was an easy trap for texans bettors.
Nice NFL run last 2. Hope for another big sunday.
 
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