Last week I broke even and missed out on the Bills and Packers. New week, here goes nothing...
Tampa -7 +102 5 units W
Minnesota ML +110 5 units L
Oakland +3.5 -111 5 units W
New England ML +100 5 units W
St Louis +9 -116 5 units L
San Francisco +7 -101 4 units W
This is too much for a flat, injury-plagued Seattle team to lay in division play. Look in tee*dub's thread for a detailed breakdown.
Tampa opened at -9, then there was the expected public overreaction to Tampa's loss in New Orleans and Atlanta's spanking of Detroit. This overreaction presents the odd situation where the public is on a road dog. The line has been bet down to 7, so I will gladly play the contrarian here and make the value investment.
Minnesota opened at +2 and are now +1 although most bets are on Indy as the road fave. Both lost in the first week, but I expected Minnesota to lose, and although I liked Chicago to cover the 10.5, Indy looked off. Manning was not connecting with Harrison and Wayne effectively, and the OL was collapsing in front of Addai. Jeff Saturday is a game time decision. I will take the home dog with the attributes I know to make a good team: good defense, good OL, good running game. Tavaris Jackson had decent moments last week, but I still think he is the worst starter in the league. He could be the one thing that holds Minnesota back. Still, give me the Vikings around even money on the moneyline.
Oakland opened at +4 then dropped to +3.5 despite most action on KC. This could be another overreaction to week one performances. Denver ran away with that game in Oakland on Monday night and did so without their star WR Brandon Marshall. KC hung tough with the Patriots. It seems that this game should be a spanking in Arrowhead, yet we have a line that indicates a much closer game. I'll take the 3.5 and hope for a KC win by a FG or an Oakland victory.
Tampa -7 +102 5 units W
Minnesota ML +110 5 units L
Oakland +3.5 -111 5 units W
New England ML +100 5 units W
St Louis +9 -116 5 units L
San Francisco +7 -101 4 units W
This is too much for a flat, injury-plagued Seattle team to lay in division play. Look in tee*dub's thread for a detailed breakdown.
Tampa opened at -9, then there was the expected public overreaction to Tampa's loss in New Orleans and Atlanta's spanking of Detroit. This overreaction presents the odd situation where the public is on a road dog. The line has been bet down to 7, so I will gladly play the contrarian here and make the value investment.
Minnesota opened at +2 and are now +1 although most bets are on Indy as the road fave. Both lost in the first week, but I expected Minnesota to lose, and although I liked Chicago to cover the 10.5, Indy looked off. Manning was not connecting with Harrison and Wayne effectively, and the OL was collapsing in front of Addai. Jeff Saturday is a game time decision. I will take the home dog with the attributes I know to make a good team: good defense, good OL, good running game. Tavaris Jackson had decent moments last week, but I still think he is the worst starter in the league. He could be the one thing that holds Minnesota back. Still, give me the Vikings around even money on the moneyline.
Oakland opened at +4 then dropped to +3.5 despite most action on KC. This could be another overreaction to week one performances. Denver ran away with that game in Oakland on Monday night and did so without their star WR Brandon Marshall. KC hung tough with the Patriots. It seems that this game should be a spanking in Arrowhead, yet we have a line that indicates a much closer game. I'll take the 3.5 and hope for a KC win by a FG or an Oakland victory.
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