D-Woww
Old Man Dan
6-2 week 1
3 team 10 pt teaser open. Closing with Alabama -.5 (so what if its college)
Week 2:
Browns +7
Any time you play the browns, it’s a hold your nose type play. But there is zero reason the Ravens should be laying 7 points on the road to anybody right now. You saw how Baltimore beat Buffalo last week, and credit them for getting the win, but that is how they want to play; ugly and low scoring. You could even argue that Cleveland has more explosive players on the offensive side of the ball than Buffalo does.
The move from RG3 to McCown only makes me like it more. We know what to expect from him and we know he isn’t sexy, but he knows how to run an offense and isn’t going to throw jump ball after jump ball the way Griffin did. Hell be more likely to utilize Barnidge (who did nothing last week) and short passes to Duke Johnson. Those kind of plays waste time and move the ball. 17-13 Ravens, although dotn be shocked if there is a Cleveland straight up win here.
Panthers -13
We saw the same thing last year: SF wins in that weird late night game week 1 and then comes back to earth. This game is going to be domination. Carolina is home and hungry for their first win and aren’t going to let Blaine Gabbert move the ball at all. 34-9 Carolina.
Tennesse/Detroit over 47
Overs all day. Tennessee has a decent offense, Minnesota just has a great defense. But they will get theirs in Detroit. And Detroit may be legit this season. Obviously we have to wait and see, but both teams should get 3 tds and some change 28-24 Lions
Miami + 6.5
I’ll admit, it is not fun to bet against New England. But you kind of have to take this side, as there are a clear 2 extra points on this line. Part of it is because New England is always overvalued a bit because of their popularity, and part is because of last week. Great win for them in Arizona, but everything went right for them and you could tell Bellichick really got his team hyped by playing the underdog card. They don’t have that this week and are due for somewhat of a letdown. 20-17 Pats
New Orleans/Giants over 53
Both teams chuck the ball, both defenses are below average. New Orelans is going to be in a ton of shootouts this year, and I am going to keep on betting the over of their games until it bites me. 33-30 here, I don’t care who wins
Arizona -6.5
At first glance this line looks high. But a few factors push me in this directrion: 1. Jameis is still young and will have rough games, especially on the road. 2. Zona will be pissed 3. Tampa Bay looked much better than they are because Atlanta is really really bad. It wont be as easy this week. 28-20 Cardinals.
Oakland -4.5
Fade Atlanta now while they are still getting lined as a mid-level team. They are a bad team and are a complete mess. Playing in Oakland is not easy for anyone, and it was valuable to bet the raiders there even when they were bad. Now they are good and playing a crappy team and I see a rout. 35-17
Jacksonville +3
You saw what happened to the Chargers offense when they lost Keenan Allen. I think Jacksonville gets their first win on the road, even though SD home field doesn’t mean much at all. This Jacksonville team still does need to show that they can get a lead early and keep it and not always be in catch-up mode, but I trust that offense to get it done. They had hopes of competing this year. Starting 0-2 is killer. They will be going all out.
3 team 10 pt teaser open. Closing with Alabama -.5 (so what if its college)
Week 2:
Browns +7
Any time you play the browns, it’s a hold your nose type play. But there is zero reason the Ravens should be laying 7 points on the road to anybody right now. You saw how Baltimore beat Buffalo last week, and credit them for getting the win, but that is how they want to play; ugly and low scoring. You could even argue that Cleveland has more explosive players on the offensive side of the ball than Buffalo does.
The move from RG3 to McCown only makes me like it more. We know what to expect from him and we know he isn’t sexy, but he knows how to run an offense and isn’t going to throw jump ball after jump ball the way Griffin did. Hell be more likely to utilize Barnidge (who did nothing last week) and short passes to Duke Johnson. Those kind of plays waste time and move the ball. 17-13 Ravens, although dotn be shocked if there is a Cleveland straight up win here.
Panthers -13
We saw the same thing last year: SF wins in that weird late night game week 1 and then comes back to earth. This game is going to be domination. Carolina is home and hungry for their first win and aren’t going to let Blaine Gabbert move the ball at all. 34-9 Carolina.
Tennesse/Detroit over 47
Overs all day. Tennessee has a decent offense, Minnesota just has a great defense. But they will get theirs in Detroit. And Detroit may be legit this season. Obviously we have to wait and see, but both teams should get 3 tds and some change 28-24 Lions
Miami + 6.5
I’ll admit, it is not fun to bet against New England. But you kind of have to take this side, as there are a clear 2 extra points on this line. Part of it is because New England is always overvalued a bit because of their popularity, and part is because of last week. Great win for them in Arizona, but everything went right for them and you could tell Bellichick really got his team hyped by playing the underdog card. They don’t have that this week and are due for somewhat of a letdown. 20-17 Pats
New Orleans/Giants over 53
Both teams chuck the ball, both defenses are below average. New Orelans is going to be in a ton of shootouts this year, and I am going to keep on betting the over of their games until it bites me. 33-30 here, I don’t care who wins
Arizona -6.5
At first glance this line looks high. But a few factors push me in this directrion: 1. Jameis is still young and will have rough games, especially on the road. 2. Zona will be pissed 3. Tampa Bay looked much better than they are because Atlanta is really really bad. It wont be as easy this week. 28-20 Cardinals.
Oakland -4.5
Fade Atlanta now while they are still getting lined as a mid-level team. They are a bad team and are a complete mess. Playing in Oakland is not easy for anyone, and it was valuable to bet the raiders there even when they were bad. Now they are good and playing a crappy team and I see a rout. 35-17
Jacksonville +3
You saw what happened to the Chargers offense when they lost Keenan Allen. I think Jacksonville gets their first win on the road, even though SD home field doesn’t mean much at all. This Jacksonville team still does need to show that they can get a lead early and keep it and not always be in catch-up mode, but I trust that offense to get it done. They had hopes of competing this year. Starting 0-2 is killer. They will be going all out.
